2025 Big Bear Hwy · Benton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This well-kept 2-bedroom home offers rural, lake area living on nearly one acre of land. The home features include an open floor plan with a nicely updated kitchen and bath, vaulted ceiling, and two living areas. The home's thoughtful floor plan with aligned front and back doors captures natural breezes, allowing you to enjoy the outdoors from within the home. The den offers a tranquil bird's eye view past the 23X10' covered deck of the stocked pond, fenced yard, raised garden beds, chicken coop, and the detached heated and cooled garage workshop with loft storage. The large double carport gives you a place to park vehicles or watercraft. This gem is located close to I-69 and just 1.5 miles
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Open floor plan
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 0.97 acre; State road frontage
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Carport (2 cars); Circular driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle and metal roof; Partial basement with walk-out access
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Storm doors; Fenced yard; Pond on property; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 45% / reading 40%, grade F, #169 of 676 statewide, top 26%, 487 students, 48% FRL); North Marshall Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 497 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.23%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,312
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -46.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $88,905
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.10×
- Total profit
- $256,202
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42025
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract 379-char remark
-
2026-05-12$149,000 Active 379-char remark
-
2026-05-04status Pending 895-char remark
-
2026-04-30price $150,000 895-char remark
-
2026-04-24$159,000 Active 895-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,099
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$264
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 2103810
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,324
- Composite
- 28.62/100
- National rank
- #6710
- State rank
- #73 of 165 in KY
Livability — Benton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #8655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,238
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,647 people
- By 2030
- 30,276 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,232 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 27,940 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 25,289 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 21,188 · -30.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.11%
- Current HPI
- 288.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-11.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $140,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — WKRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $150,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $159,000 WKRMLS
Property tax history
-17.4%/yrLatest (2025): $38 · -42.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…