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2025 Big Bear Hwy
C+ Composite 63.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

2025 Big Bear Hwy · Benton, KY 42025
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1973 0.97 ac lot $179/sqft · 13% below area Est $279k · 46% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This well-kept 2-bedroom home offers rural, lake area living on nearly one acre of land. The home features include an open floor plan with a nicely updated kitchen and bath, vaulted ceiling, and two living areas. The home's thoughtful floor plan with aligned front and back doors captures natural breezes, allowing you to enjoy the outdoors from within the home. The den offers a tranquil bird's eye view past the 23X10' covered deck of the stocked pond, fenced yard, raised garden beds, chicken coop, and the detached heated and cooled garage workshop with loft storage. The large double carport gives you a place to park vehicles or watercraft. This gem is located close to I-69 and just 1.5 miles

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Open floor plan
  • Fenced yard

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED KITCHENCOVERED DECKFENCED YARDRAISED GARDEN BEDSCHICKEN COOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 0.97 acre; State road frontage

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Carport (2 cars); Circular driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle and metal roof; Partial basement with walk-out access
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Storm doors; Fenced yard; Pond on property; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (3.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 45% / reading 40%, grade F, #169 of 676 statewide, top 26%, 487 students, 48% FRL); North Marshall Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 497 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,506 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.23%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,312
List price
$150,000
Delta
-46.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$88,905
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
7.10×
Total profit
$256,202
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42025

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract 379-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $149,000 Active 379-char remark
  3. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 895-char remark
  4. 2026-04-30
    price $150,000 895-char remark
  5. 2026-04-24
    listed $159,000 Active 895-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,461
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,397
− Management
−$1,397
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$264
After-tax cash flow
$1,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
2103810
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$45,324
Composite
28.62/100
National rank
#6710
State rank
#73 of 165 in KY

Livability — Benton

Score
69/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#8655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,238

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,647 people
By 2030
30,276 · -1.2%
By 2040
29,232 · -4.6%
By 2050
27,940 · -8.8%
By 2075
25,289 · -17.5%
By 2100
21,188 · -30.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.11%
Current HPI
288.75
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $140,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Pending WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $150,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $159,000 WKRMLS

Property tax history

-17.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $38 · -42.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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