None · Lebanon, MO 65536

$40,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1969 0.26 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Seller selling "AS IS"

Key facts

• 0.26 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1969

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Cap rate 26.9% vs local median 3.7% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#308 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
• Lebanon R-III (town): math 29% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #256 of 324 in MO (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lebanon Sr. High (math 16% / reading 34%, grade F, #435 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,474 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Laclede County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Laclede County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.09% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 73.46%
• DSCR: 4.27
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 73.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.32×
• Total profit: $37,212
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 77.1%
• Equity multiple: 8.92×
• Total profit: $88,742
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65536

• Home prices YoY: -21.8%
• Active inventory: 256
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,236 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$64 /mo · $771/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$260
• Net cashflow: $686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $368

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2024-09-10
   status Pending
2. 2024-09-10
   listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $771 · $64/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $771 · $64/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,830
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$771
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,186
• − Management: −$1,186
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $8,082
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,940
• After-tax cash flow: $6,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lebanon R-III
• NCES district ID: 2918270
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $38,352
• Composite: 26.73/100
• National rank: #7145
• State rank: #256 of 324 in MO

Livability — Lebanon

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #308
• US rank: #14040

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lebanon, MO
• County: Laclede County · 29,915 people
• City population: 29,915
• Metro: Lebanon, MO
• Population (ZIP): 29,915
• Household income: $53,783
• Rent vs Own: 32.5% rent · 67.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 641.0

Population outlook (Laclede County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,730 people
• By 2030: 33,985 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 32,213 · -7.2%
• By 2050: 30,189 · -13.1%
• By 2075: 24,782 · -28.6%
• By 2100: 18,554 · -46.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Laclede

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.1% · R 82.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +212.7pp toward D · 2008: -279.5pp · 2024: -66.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+65.4 2016: R+64.5 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+279.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.82%
• Current HPI: 196.7643
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lebanon, MO
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2024-09-10 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-09-10 Listed $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $771 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.