43 Seascape Dr #43 · Half Moon Bay, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$465,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has been beautifully cared for, updated and move-in ready for its next owners. This 2-bed, 2-bath, 1440 sq ft home is situated on a large sun-soaked lot with an expansive deck to enjoy the warmth (southwest exposure). A side-by-side carport allows for ease and space. A storage shed and low maintenance, paved yard make the home perfect for both indoor & outdoor entertaining. Once inside you'll be welcomed in by the grand living area, with vaulted ceilings w/ decorative exposed beam, dining area with a built-in hutch, situated across from the newly renovated open-concept kitchen equipped with dining bar and ample storage. Two primary bedrooms: east side primary includes an updated bathroom en-suite offering a soaker tub, skylight, shower, toilet & vanity area; a closet of your dreams completes the room. The west side primary bedroom offers an equally large closet and spacious room facing the backyard and all sunshine. The bathroom has been updated and features a large shower and pretty vanity; it is a pass-through into the large laundry room with side-by-side washer and dryer.
Key facts
- Grand living area
- Side-by-side carport
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $465k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $421k (9.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $421k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 1.4% in Half Moon Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in CA, #2,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- Cabrillo Unified (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #498 of 1,400 in CA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,019 units permitted in San Mateo County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($154k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Mateo County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($437k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $465k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $426,796
- List price
- $465,000
- Delta
- 8.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Coral Way #8 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $177 | 91 |
| 22 Sea Breeze Dr #22 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $181 | 84 |
| 14 Driftwood Trl #14 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $303 | 81 |
| 84 Creekside #84 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-1%) | 6mo | $510,000 | $358 | 80 |
| 10 Coral Way #10 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+6%) | 5mo | $610,000 | $399 | 74 |
| 3 Lighthouse Rd #03 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 0mo | $460,000 | $342 | 74 |
| 37 Oceanview Ave #37 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 3mo | $525,000 | $391 | 73 |
| 10 Sunset Ter #10 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (-3%) | 9mo | $475,000 | $341 | 72 |
| 3 Coral Way #3 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 9mo | $510,000 | $379 | 69 |
| 106 Ocean Vw #106 | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 | 1,296 (-10%) | 5mo | $375,000 | $289 | 68 |
| 23 Sea Breeze Dr #23 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-14%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $355 | 60 |
| 15 Dolphin Ct #15 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,650 (+15%) | 8mo | $520,000 | $315 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-68,044
- Equity at exit
- $69,333
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-49,668
- Equity at exit
- $40,205
Cash invested: $130,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94019
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,212 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,439
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$581 /mo · $6,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$194
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$884
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $116,250
- Closing costs
- $13,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $465,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $465,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $465,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $465,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $465,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $465,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $465,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $475,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $475,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$475,000 Active 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
This home has been beautifully cared for, updated and move-in ready for its next owners. This 2-bed, 2-bath, 1440 sq ft home is situated on a large sun-soaked lot with an expansive deck to enjoy the warmth (southwest exposure). A side-by-side carport allows for ease and space. A storage shed and low maintenance, paved yard make the home perfect for both indoor & outdoor entertaining. Once inside you'll be welcomed in by the grand living area, with vaulted ceilings w/ decorative exposed beam, dining area with a built-in hutch, situated across from the newly renovated open-concept kitchen equipped with dining bar and ample storage. Two primary bedrooms: east side primary includes an updated bathroom en-suite offering a soaker tub, skylight, shower, toilet & vanity area; a closet of your dreams completes the room. The west side primary bedroom offers an equally large closet and spacious room facing the backyard and all sunshine. The bathroom has been updated and features a large shower and pretty vanity; it is a pass-through into the large laundry room with side-by-side washer and dryer.
-
2026-04-01$475,000 Active 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
This home has been beautifully cared for, updated and move-in ready for its next owners. This 2-bed, 2-bath, 1440 sq ft home is situated on a large sun-soaked lot with an expansive deck to enjoy the warmth (southwest exposure). A side-by-side carport allows for ease and space. A storage shed and low maintenance, paved yard make the home perfect for both indoor & outdoor entertaining. Once inside you'll be welcomed in by the grand living area, with vaulted ceilings w/ decorative exposed beam, dining area with a built-in hutch, situated across from the newly renovated open-concept kitchen equipped with dining bar and ample storage. Two primary bedrooms: east side primary includes an updated bathroom en-suite offering a soaker tub, skylight, shower, toilet & vanity area; a closet of your dreams completes the room. The west side primary bedroom offers an equally large closet and spacious room facing the backyard and all sunshine. The bathroom has been updated and features a large shower and pretty vanity; it is a pass-through into the large laundry room with side-by-side washer and dryer.
-
2012-05-25historical 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
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2012-05-25soldstatus $127,500 Sold 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
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2012-05-11status Pending Without Release 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
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2011-12-06price $135,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
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2011-10-30price $150,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
-
2011-09-12$165,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
This is a 55+ age park features: pool, spa, exercise room, activities, public transportation. Light and spacious home, vaulted ceilings in main living area, breakfast bar. Two master suites w/ huge walk-in closets, skylights, ceiling fans, newer appliances. Side by side covered parking area. Two sheds, and dog run area. Large open porch sit and enjoy your morning coffee or afternoon cocktail.
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2008-06-27soldstatus $149,900
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2008-05-31historical
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2008-05-12$149,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,047
- − Property taxes
- −$6,975
- − Insurance
- −$2,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,043
- − Management
- −$4,043
- − Depreciation
- −$13,527
- Taxable loss
- −$6,421
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,541
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cabrillo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0606780
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $105,943
- Composite
- 43.02/100
- National rank
- #6651
- State rank
- #498 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Half Moon Bay
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Half Moon Bay, CA
- County
- San Mateo County · 733,415 people
- City population
- 14,419
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,419
- Household income
- $153,781
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 188.0
Population outlook (San Mateo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 864,008 people
- By 2030
- 910,523 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 997,285 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 1,071,189 · +24.0%
- By 2075
- 1,197,206 · +38.6%
- By 2100
- 1,192,523 · +38.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 19% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Mateo
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+50.3) · D 73.5% · R 23.2% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 48.7pp · 2024: 50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+50.3 2020: D+57.7 2016: D+57.7 2012: D+44.8 2008: D+48.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -983.61%
- Current HPI
- 299.1885
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+216.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $475,000 MLSListings
- 2026-04-01 Listed $475,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2012-05-25 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2012-05-25 Sold (MLS) $127,500 MLSListings
- 2012-05-11 Pending — MLSListings
- 2011-12-06 Price Changed $135,000 MLSListings
- 2011-10-30 Price Changed $150,000 MLSListings
- 2011-09-12 Listed $165,000 MLSListings
- 2008-06-27 Sold (MLS) $149,900 MLSListings
- 2008-05-31 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2008-05-12 Listed $149,900 MLSListings
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…