103 Love Joy Loop W · Prichard, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICED TO SELL! Charming historical-style 3 bed 1 bath home on double corner-lot. High ceilings and a den in the back! Wood floors add character and authenticity. Plenty of space for parking. 2 living spaces! Easy access to 3 interstates and both downtowns! Call your favorite REALTOR for a private tour today!
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Listed 82 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $637 of equity ($414 loan paydown + $223 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.00%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $31,337
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 91.15%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 John Helm St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-7%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $48 | 76 |
| 519 Coal St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $46 | 74 |
| 515 Gilbert St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,154 (-6%) | 3mo | $10,000 | $9 | 70 |
| 407 Garrison Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (-1%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $41 | 66 |
| 2435 St Stephens Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (-5%) | 0mo | $107,999 | $92 | 66 |
| 602 Forest Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+3%) | 14mo | $158,000 | $125 | 52 |
| 210 Irby St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,416 (+15%) | 13mo | $73,500 | $52 | 42 |
| 1851 Seale St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,222 (-1%) | 22mo | $122,500 | $100 | 40 |
| 439 Irby St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+3%) | 23mo | $28,000 | $22 | 39 |
| 402 Glendale Pl | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-5%) | 21mo | $29,900 | $26 | 38 |
| 1823 Idell St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 14mo | $148,000 | $137 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $21,547
- Equity at exit
- $18,516
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.37×
- Total profit
- $56,439
- Equity at exit
- $23,175
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36610
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $911 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $370/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Flock Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $795 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 519 Bay Bridge Rd Unit B Prichard, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 408 Rawls Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $59,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-28$69,900 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
PRICED TO SELL! Charming historical-style 3 bed 1 bath home on double corner-lot. High ceilings and a den in the back! Wood floors add character and authenticity. Plenty of space for parking. 2 living spaces! Easy access to 3 interstates and both downtowns! Call your favorite REALTOR for a private tour today!
-
2026-01-22price $75,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $370 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $370 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$370
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$874
- − Management
- −$874
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $3,411
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$819
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prichard
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #24080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prichard, AL
- City population
- 13,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,692
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.37%
- Current HPI
- 42.6203
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-7.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $69,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $75,500 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $370 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…