5709 Airport Rd · Brush Fork, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on a private lot, this charming ranch-style home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bath with plenty of potential to make it your own. Featuring a solid structure and functional layout, this property is perfect for buyers looking to add their personal touch and create their ideal space. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient one-level living, and the opportunity to transform this home into something truly special. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone searching for a project with great upside, this property is full of possibilities.
Key facts
- Private lot
- One-level living
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storm doors; Storage structure; Accessible entrance
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#255 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brushfork Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #191 of 377 statewide, top 56%, 185 students, 0% FRL); Bluefield Middle School (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #66 of 109 statewide, top 63%, 467 students, 0% FRL); Bluefield High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 608 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.19%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $26,160
- Equity at exit
- $23,685
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $65,375
- Equity at exit
- $37,466
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24701
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Ramsey St Bluefield, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $675 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 205 Monroe St Bluefield, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $750 | $0.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $58,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $58,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $58,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$58,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$1,752
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$933
- − Management
- −$933
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,038
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$729
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,835/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Brush Fork
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #22044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brush Fork, WV
- County
- Mercer County · 33,615 people
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,117
- Household income
- $50,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 302.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Current HPI
- 215.9682
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $58,000 MTCBOR
Property tax history
+94.0%/yrLatest (2025): $97 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…