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403 Craig St
B Composite 73.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

403 Craig St · Norfolk, VA 23523
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,626 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1915 2,692 sqft lot Est $315k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SPACIOUS 4-BEDROOM, 1.5 BATH VICTORIAN HOME OFFERING TONS OF POTENTIAL. THIS PROPERTY IS PERFECT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO RENOVATE, RENT, OR FLIP FOR PROFIT. UNDERSTRUCTURE REQUIRES REPAIRS & INTERIOR REQUIRES TLC. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS, WHERE IS, WITH NO WARRANTIES.

Key facts

  • 2,692 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 29 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Detached Victorian-style home; 2 stories; Crawl foundation; Simple ownership
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Back yard fenced with wood fence; City view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom with full bath on the first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Southside Stem Academy At Campostella (math 11% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,064 of 1,108 statewide, top 96%, 737 students, 95% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 59% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $185k implies a 469% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.51%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$315,444
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 E Liberty St 0.39mi 4/2.5 1,600 (-2%) 4mo $260,000 $163 70
808 Joyce St 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,656 (+2%) 7mo $275,000 $166 68
910 Fairfield St 0.10mi 4/1.5 1,406 (-14%) 4mo $234,700 $167 68
123 Hardy Ave 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,556 (-4%) 4mo $260,000 $167 67
1302 Hatton St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-2%) 2mo $310,000 $194 65
511 Appomattox Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,400 (-14%) 1mo $249,700 $178 62
1623 Conoga St 0.53mi 4/3.5 1,648 (+1%) 5mo $370,000 $225 59
1300 Cass St 0.49mi 4/2.5 1,500 (-8%) 2mo $315,000 $210 57
1608 Selden Ave 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,519 (-7%) 1mo $315,000 $207 56
1510 Landsworth St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,722 (+6%) 1mo $357,000 $207 47
1001 Grayson St 0.49mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,458 (-10%) 2mo $291,000 $200 47
1608 Colon Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-8%) 4mo $115,500 $77 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,970
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$45,126
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23523

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,286 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,105/yr
Insurance
$77
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$480
Net cashflow
$517

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,632
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1512 Marsh St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1727 $2,195 $1.27 44d 1 0.22mi
722 Culpepper St Norfolk, VA 5.0 4.0 1742 $2,550 $1.46 44d 1 0.30mi
413 Walker Ave Norfolk, VA 5.0 3.5 2200 $3,500 $1.59 44d 1 0.33mi
127 Poplar Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,199 $1.29 24d 1 0.39mi
1729 Todd St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 2000 $2,450 $1.23 24d 1 0.39mi
201 Bellamy Ave Norfolk, VA 5.0 2.5 2200 $2,750 $1.25 44d 1 0.44mi
1008 Grayson St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 2200 $2,495 $1.13 44d 1 0.49mi
701 S Main St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,349 $1.25 2d 2 0.52mi
329 S Main St Norfolk, VA 3.0 3.0 1652 $3,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.52mi
1510 Wilson Rd #4 Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1273 $1,400 $1.10 20d 1 0.52mi
1510 Wilson Rd Unit 3 Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1273 $1,200 $0.94 44d 1 0.52mi
1510 Wilson Rd Unit 1 Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,325 $1.20 24d 1 0.52mi
1009 Elkin St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 1914 $2,500 $1.31 12d 1 0.65mi
1108 Jackson Ave Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1784 $2,100 $1.18 4d 1 0.98mi
1151 Perry St Chesapeake, VA 3.0 1.0 1296 $2,000 $1.54 17d 1 1.13mi
2624 Chesterfield Blvd Norfolk, VA 4.0 1.5 1512 $2,000 $1.32 44d 1 1.15mi
1231 Stewart St Chesapeake, VA 4.0 2.5 2159 $2,550 $1.18 3d 1 1.18mi
720 Forbes St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1056 $2,250 $2.13 44d 1 1.23mi
720 Forbes St Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1056 $2,195 $2.08 15d 1 1.23mi
2800 Chesterfield Blvd Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1760 $2,400 $1.36 4d 1 1.27mi
321 E Main St Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1147 $4,929 $4.30 2d 15 1.28mi
1110 Park Ave Unit 23324 Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1749 $2,200 $1.26 24d 1 1.29mi
1110 Park Ave Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1749 $2,100 $1.20 15d 1 1.29mi
820 Maltby Cres Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1850 $2,395 $1.29 24d 1 1.34mi
2806 Kimball Ter Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,100 $1.24 44d 1 1.37mi
2808 Westminster Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1988 $2,295 $1.15 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-20
    listed $185,000 Active
  14. 2015-04-15
    price $39,900
  15. 2014-03-24
    price $54,900 Active
  16. 2014-02-08
    price $64,900 Active
  17. 2013-09-18
    price $74,900 Active
  18. 2001-04-16
    soldstatus $32,500
  19. 1979-10-02
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,105 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,105 · $175/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,429
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,105
− Insurance
−$1,722
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,194
− Management
−$2,194
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$3,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$832
After-tax cash flow
$5,368/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102670
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,358
Composite
35.08/100
National rank
#5026
State rank
#118 of 131 in VA

Livability — Norfolk

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, VA
City population
214,042
Population (ZIP)
7,698

Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,032 people
By 2030
252,347 · +1.3%
By 2040
253,644 · +1.9%
By 2050
251,913 · +1.2%
By 2075
245,281 · -1.5%
By 2100
219,548 · -11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.73%
Current HPI
269.0309
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1133.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $185,000 REINMLS
  • 2015-04-15 Price Changed $39,900 REINMLS
  • 2014-03-24 Price Changed $54,900 REINMLS
  • 2014-02-08 Price Changed $64,900 REINMLS
  • 2013-09-18 Price Changed $74,900 REINMLS
  • 2001-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
  • 1979-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,105 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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