6174 Terrace Dr #13 · Johnston, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the heart of Johnston! Located on a cul-de-sac, just steps from scenic Terra Lake and walking paths, Open-concept main living area with natural light and access to a south-facing deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen has been thoughtfully remodeled with quartz countertops and storage, plus all appliances stay. Upstairs is the primary with bedroom with ample closet space, an updated bathroom, 2nd bedroom and separate laundry area. In the lower level there is more space, a 3rd non-conforming bedroom, office and living area. Additional highlights include a 2-car attached garage, updated bathrooms, and maintenance-free living with exterior upkeep handled for you. Located in the highly rated Johnston School District, this home offers quick access to local parks, trails, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy low-maintenance living in one of Johnston's most desirable areas steps from nature and minutes from everything you need!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Scenic terra lake
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-387 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (32.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.4% in Johnston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#59 in IA, #1,344 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Johnston Community School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.93%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,970
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-60,829
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- -48.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-93,959
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50131
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,660 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6000 NW 62nd Ave Johnston, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1139 | $1,892 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6000 NW 62nd Ave Johnston, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1126 | $1,892 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6300 Merle Hay Rd Johnston, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 14d | 16 | 1.05mi |
| 4807 NW 51st St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $209,000 Pending 116 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $209,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $209,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-03-21status Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the heart of Johnston! Located on a cul-de-sac, just steps from scenic Terra Lake and walking paths, Open-concept main living area with natural light and access to a south-facing deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen has been thoughtfully remodeled with quartz countertops and storage, plus all appliances stay. Upstairs is the primary with bedroom with ample closet space, an updated bathroom, 2nd bedroom and separate laundry area. In the lower level there is more space, a 3rd non-conforming bedroom, office and living area. Additional highlights include a 2-car attached garage, updated bathrooms, and maintenance-free living with exterior upkeep handled for you. Located in the highly rated Johnston School District, this home offers quick access to local parks, trails, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy low-maintenance living in one of Johnston's most desirable areas steps from nature and minutes from everything you need!
-
2026-03-10status Pending 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the heart of Johnston! Located on a cul-de-sac, just steps from scenic Terra Lake and walking paths, Open-concept main living area with natural light and access to a south-facing deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen has been thoughtfully remodeled with quartz countertops and storage, plus all appliances stay. Upstairs is the primary with bedroom with ample closet space, an updated bathroom, 2nd bedroom and separate laundry area. In the lower level there is more space, a 3rd non-conforming bedroom, office and living area. Additional highlights include a 2-car attached garage, updated bathrooms, and maintenance-free living with exterior upkeep handled for you. Located in the highly rated Johnston School District, this home offers quick access to local parks, trails, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy low-maintenance living in one of Johnston's most desirable areas steps from nature and minutes from everything you need!
-
2026-02-04$229,000 Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in the heart of Johnston! Located on a cul-de-sac, just steps from scenic Terra Lake and walking paths, Open-concept main living area with natural light and access to a south-facing deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen has been thoughtfully remodeled with quartz countertops and storage, plus all appliances stay. Upstairs is the primary with bedroom with ample closet space, an updated bathroom, 2nd bedroom and separate laundry area. In the lower level there is more space, a 3rd non-conforming bedroom, office and living area. Additional highlights include a 2-car attached garage, updated bathrooms, and maintenance-free living with exterior upkeep handled for you. Located in the highly rated Johnston School District, this home offers quick access to local parks, trails, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy low-maintenance living in one of Johnston's most desirable areas steps from nature and minutes from everything you need!
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2026-02-02historical
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2026-01-04price $229,000
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2025-11-21price $246,500
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2025-11-06$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,880 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,081 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$201/yr (+$17/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,921
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$2,880
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,594
- − Management
- −$1,594
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$8,279
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,987
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnston Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1915450
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,758
- Composite
- 69.43/100
- National rank
- #309
- State rank
- #24 of 289 in IA
Livability — Johnston
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #1344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnston, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 24,583
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,583
- Household income
- $106,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 685.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% American 3% Swiss 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.38%
- Current HPI
- 203.3508
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
-8.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Relisted — DMMLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $229,000 DMMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $229,000 DMMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $246,500 DMMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $250,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,880 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…