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3748 Fitzwater Rd
B- Composite 66.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

3748 Fitzwater Rd · Butman, MI 48624
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,986 sqft · SingleFamily · 236 Days on market
Built 1968 2.10 ac lot $81/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • New flooring
  • Steel roof

Tags

2 BEAUTIFUL ACRESUPDATED KITCHENMUD ROOMSTEEL ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Gladwin Community Schools (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #232 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.67%
Cash-on-cash
19.21%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$336,575
List price
$159,900
Delta
-52.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$19,686
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$75,717
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48624

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,137 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $793/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$717

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,229
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 236 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 235 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 234 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 233 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 231 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 230 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 226 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 225 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 224 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $159,900 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 220 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 219 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 218 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 217 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    status Active 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  18. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  19. 2026-05-02
    price $170,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  20. 2026-05-01
    price $185,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  21. 2026-04-09
    price $190,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  22. 2026-01-31
    price $195,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  23. 2026-01-17
    price $210,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  24. 2025-10-15
    listed $225,000 Active 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Looking for room to spread out? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home sits on 2 beautiful acres and offers the perfect mix of country living and modern updates. You will love the large living room for relaxing with the whole family. The updated kitchen with plenty of space for everything! A convenient mud room with laundry connects to the attached 2 car garage for easy everyday living. This home has many newer updates including steel roof, new siding, drywall, new flooring in several areas, as well as new kitchen cabinets. A few finishing touches will make this home truly shine and give you the chance to add your personal style. Outside enjoy a 24x40 Pole Barn perfect for hobbies, storage or a workshop and a wide open yard ready for gardens, play or pets. This house is only minutes from Sugar Springs and right around the corner is Dollar General.

  25. 2020-01-13
    historical
  26. 2020-01-13
    historical
  27. 2020-01-13
    historical
  28. 2020-01-13
    historical
  29. 2019-08-12
    listed $98,900
  30. 2019-08-12
    listed $98,900
  31. 2019-07-19
    listed $98,900
  32. 2019-07-19
    listed $98,900
  33. 2018-07-31
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$793 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,628 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$835/yr (+$70/mo · 105.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,640
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$793
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,051
− Management
−$2,051
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$6,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,521
After-tax cash flow
$7,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladwin Community Schools
NCES district ID
2615990
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$38,917
Composite
32.93/100
National rank
#5595
State rank
#232 of 540 in MI

Livability — Butman

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,269

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.67%
Current HPI
238.0744
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $185,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-01-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-12 Listed $98,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-08-12 Listed $98,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-07-19 Listed $98,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-19 Listed $98,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-31 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $793 · -62.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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