6845 SW 18th St · Topeka, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful home! A must see!! This well cared for home is move in ready! Elegant coffered ceiling in living room, new back splash in kitchen. Hardwood and laminate flooring throughout make cleaning a breeze. Great family room in basement with space for built in TV. Privacy fence in backyard with large deck make for great summer entertaining. Schedule today and come take a look inside.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Fully fenced
- Newer appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Storm doors
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Basement is concrete and partially finished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Auburn Washburn (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #29 of 169 in KS (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washburn Rural Middle School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #72 of 219 statewide, top 38%, 943 students, 36% FRL); Washburn Rural High (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #83 of 327 statewide, top 25%, 1,884 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.91%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,512
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1727 SW Hidden Valley Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,660 (-3%) | 19mo | $250,000 | $151 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-9,732
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $25,053
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66615
- Home prices YoY
- -12.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,476 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,653/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-05$220,000 Active
-
2016-06-22soldstatus
-
2016-06-20soldstatus 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
Beautiful home! A must see!! This well cared for home is move in ready! Elegant coffered ceiling in living room, new back splash in kitchen. Hardwood and laminate flooring throughout make cleaning a breeze. Great family room in basement with space for built in TV. Privacy fence in backyard with large deck make for great summer entertaining. Schedule today and come take a look inside.
-
2016-04-20$155,000 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
Beautiful home! A must see!! This well cared for home is move in ready! Elegant coffered ceiling in living room, new back splash in kitchen. Hardwood and laminate flooring throughout make cleaning a breeze. Great family room in basement with space for built in TV. Privacy fence in backyard with large deck make for great summer entertaining. Schedule today and come take a look inside.
-
2013-07-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,653 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,653 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,709
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,653
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,377
- − Management
- −$2,377
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $1,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$355
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn Washburn
- NCES district ID
- 2003200
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,903
- Composite
- 34.91/100
- National rank
- #5073
- State rank
- #29 of 169 in KS
Livability — Topeka
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #8848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Shawnee County · 118,130 people
- City population
- 118,130
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,943
- Household income
- $107,656
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 77.0
Population outlook (Shawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,277 people
- By 2030
- 177,762 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 172,341 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 166,330 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 152,417 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 134,782 · -24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shawnee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+3.0 2016: R+2.8 2012: R+1.7 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.55%
- Current HPI
- 238.2642
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+41.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-05 Listed $220,000 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-06-20 Sold (MLS) — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2016-04-20 Listed $155,000 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2013-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,653 · -14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…