14996 Pleasant Valley Rd #8 · Chillicothe, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing a brand-new manufactured home in Kenowa Estates, located in Chillicothe, Ohio. Situated on Lot 8, this Clayton Harborview model offers 1,140 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, combining modern construction with a practical and comfortable layout. With a 16x76 footprint, this home provides an efficient flow between the kitchen, living area, and bedrooms, creating a space that feels open while maintaining functionality. The layout is ideal for everyday living, offering a balance of shared and private areas throughout the home. The three-bedroom configuration allows for flexibility, whether you need space for family, guests, or a home office. Two full bathrooms add convenience and support a smooth daily routine for multiple occupants. Located in Kenowa Estates in Chillicothe, OH, residents benefit from a professionally managed community with a welcoming neighborhood setting. The location provides convenient access to local shopping, dining, and essential services while maintaining a quiet residential environment. This manufactured home in Chillicothe, Ohio offers an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership with modern design and reliable construction.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.2% in Chillicothe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#909 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Union-Scioto Local (town): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #331 of 656 in OH (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Ross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ross County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.50%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $33,696
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 151.96%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $18,443
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $57,581
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45601
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$84,900 Active 1204-char remark
Show marketing remark (1204 chars)
Introducing a brand-new manufactured home in Kenowa Estates, located in Chillicothe, Ohio. Situated on Lot 8, this Clayton Harborview model offers 1,140 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, combining modern construction with a practical and comfortable layout. With a 16x76 footprint, this home provides an efficient flow between the kitchen, living area, and bedrooms, creating a space that feels open while maintaining functionality. The layout is ideal for everyday living, offering a balance of shared and private areas throughout the home. The three-bedroom configuration allows for flexibility, whether you need space for family, guests, or a home office. Two full bathrooms add convenience and support a smooth daily routine for multiple occupants. Located in Kenowa Estates in Chillicothe, OH, residents benefit from a professionally managed community with a welcoming neighborhood setting. The location provides convenient access to local shopping, dining, and essential services while maintaining a quiet residential environment. This manufactured home in Chillicothe, Ohio offers an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership with modern design and reliable construction.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,587
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $5,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof, siding, and landscaping work. Immediate action is needed to stabilize the property's condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of damage and potential leaks.
- Major siding — Peeling and in need of repair.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt.
- Minor windows — May need cleaning or replacement.
- Major HVAC — Exterior suggests potential issues.
- Major fencing — Not visible but likely in need of repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof repair — Fixing the roof is critical for the home's structural integrity and will significantly increase its value.
- Resale exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint can greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and resale value.
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can improve both the home's resale and rental value.
- Resale HVAC replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting resale value.
- Resale fencing repair — A repaired fence will enhance the home's curb appeal and property value.
- Resale interior updates — Fresh paint and minor updates inside can significantly boost the home's resale value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of damage and potential leaks. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| siding · Peeling and in need of repair. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · May need cleaning or replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC · Exterior suggests potential issues. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| fencing · Not visible but likely in need of repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $75,500–253,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof repair — Fixing the roof is critical for the home's structural integrity and will significantly increase its value. ↑
- Resale exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint can greatly enhance the home's curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can improve both the home's resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale HVAC replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting resale value. ↑
- Resale fencing repair — A repaired fence will enhance the home's curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Resale interior updates — Fresh paint and minor updates inside can significantly boost the home's resale value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Scioto Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904953
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,050
- Composite
- 48.98/100
- National rank
- #2072
- State rank
- #331 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chillicothe
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #909
- US rank
- #17195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ross · 75,517 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,453
- Household income
- $57,430
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.6
Population outlook (Ross County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,482 people
- By 2030
- 74,035 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 70,702 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 66,706 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 55,398 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 42,197 · -44.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ross
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+2.4 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.40%
- Current HPI
- 205.7051
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $84,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…