3803 60th St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner is licensed sales agent. Excellent home for first time buyers. Located near elementary & middle schools. Freshly painted, inside & out. New water heater. Large utility room with built in storage & space for an extra freezer. Seller does not have a survey
Key facts
- Well maintained home
- Spacious living area
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-169/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.40%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-26,487
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-29,694
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79413
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,601/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3806 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3631 54th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1145 | $1,099 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4303 58th St Unit a Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6027 Orlando Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4313 58th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $1,099 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5324 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4213 54th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,550 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5330 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5302 Kenosha Ave Unit 5330 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5302 Kenosha Ave Unit 5324 Kenosha Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5202 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1082 | $1,022 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5018 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1245 | $1,275 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4210 52nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $1,575 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4313 53rd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4314 52nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4320 52nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3236 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $1,524 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4608 60th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,650 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7201 Memphis Ave Unit b Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1627 | $1,250 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3415 49th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3712 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $1,400 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6711 Hartford Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $975 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4602 54th St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $975 | $1.28 | 14d | 11 | 0.88mi |
| 3417 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,550 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4711 58th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3505 46th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $1,550 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4806 60th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,375 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3612 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6911 Gary Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4602 50th St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1080 | $1,368 | $1.27 | 14d | 9 | 1.06mi |
| 6914 Fremont Ave Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $995 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2821 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2823 54th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $1,825 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4501 71st St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,095 | $1.30 | 44d | 9 | 1.11mi |
| 2817 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4818 66th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $975 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7001 Utica Ave Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 13 | 1.13mi |
| 2827 66th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4310 42nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3019 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-10$149,500 Active
-
2022-01-31soldstatus
-
2022-01-25soldstatus 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Owner is licensed sales agent. Excellent home for first time buyers. Located near elementary & middle schools. Freshly painted, inside & out. New water heater. Large utility room with built in storage & space for an extra freezer. Seller does not have a survey
-
2021-12-13$129,900 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Owner is licensed sales agent. Excellent home for first time buyers. Located near elementary & middle schools. Freshly painted, inside & out. New water heater. Large utility room with built in storage & space for an extra freezer. Seller does not have a survey
-
2002-01-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,601 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,736 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,601
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,275
- − Management
- −$1,275
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable loss
- −$2,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,343
- Household income
- $69,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.52%
- Current HPI
- 239.8854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+15.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — LARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $149,500 LARMLS
- 2022-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-01-25 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2021-12-13 Listed $129,900 LARMLS
- 2002-01-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,601 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…