504 Arches Ln · Ruckersville, VA 22923

$394,990

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,749 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,534 sqft lot Garage $226/sqft · 8% below area Est $429k · 8% under $105/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +11.0/15.0
• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• Schools +5.6/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

HOMESITE SPECIAL ON LOT 82! Creekside 2-Story Single Family Homes, Greene County’s NEWEST amenity filled community featuring 2 pools, clubhouse w/ fitness center, playground, pickleball, walking trails and much more! Located north of Charlottesville on 29, set in a peaceful setting with beautiful mountain views. This is a to be built Sequoia Floorplan, featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths and a 2-car garage. Highlighted by a spacious great room adjoining a gourmet kitchen with an island overlooking the dining area. Your luxury owner’s suite includes a dual-vanity bath and walk-in closet. You are going to love everything about the Sequoia.

Key facts

• Pickleball
• 2 pools
• Playground

Tags

• 2 POOLS
• CLUBHOUSE W FITNESS CENTER
• PLAYGROUND
• PICKLEBALL
• WALKING TRAILS
• BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $395k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-380 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $340k (13.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (21.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $311k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.0% in Ruckersville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#318 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Greene County Public School District (town): math 40% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #88 of 131 in VA (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Ruckersville Elementary (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C+, #583 of 1,108 statewide, top 53%, 506 students, 68% FRL); William Monroe Middle (math 36% / reading 65%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 675 students, 67% FRL); William Monroe High (math 40% / reading 78%, grade C+, #256 of 319 statewide, top 81%, 957 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 32% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 204 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Greene County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($389k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $310,772 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.14%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.12%
• DSCR: 0.82
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $428,746
• List price: $394,990
• Delta: -7.87%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
48 Sequoia Dr	0.17mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,723 (-2%)	2mo	$428,175	$249	81
383 White Sands Blvd	0.11mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,696 (-3%)	3mo	$443,675	$262	80
40 Sequoia Dr	0.17mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,696 (-3%)	1mo	$445,625	$263	79
140 Gunnison Dr	0.17mi	4/3.0	1,925 (+10%)	3mo	$465,000	$242	71
6092 Flintstone Dr	0.49mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,730 (-1%)	3mo	$389,900	$225	68
26 Sequoia Dr	0.19mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,559 (-11%)	0mo	$425,775	$273	66
39 Gunnison Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,533 (-12%)	3mo	$446,857	$291	66
365 White Sands Blvd	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,559 (-11%)	2mo	$434,540	$279	65
225 Trailfork Rd	0.74mi	4/2.5	1,760 (+1%)	2mo	$407,490	$232	63
352 Daniels Rd	0.43mi	4/2.0	1,597 (-9%)	1mo	$400,000	$250	62
44 Flintstone Ct	0.23mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,993 (+14%)	2mo	$420,000	$211	60
193 Trailfork Rd Lot 76	0.73mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,554 (-11%)	2mo	$373,389	$240	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.20×
• Total profit: $-88,070
• Equity at exit: $58,894

10-year hold

• IRR: -17.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.03×
• Total profit: $-107,368
• Equity at exit: $34,152

Cash invested: $110,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 37 active · 44 under contract
• Months of supply: 5.4 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $399,000 ($250/sqft)
• Median days on market: 36 d
• This list price: 46% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -1.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 22923

• Home prices YoY: -3.6%
• Active inventory: 239
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,108 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,071
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$494 /mo · $5,925/yr
• Insurance: −$165
• HOA: −$105
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$653
• Net cashflow: $-380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,588

Max offer price $340,063

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-107	-5% $-243	+0% $-380	+5% $-516	+10% $-653
Rent	-10% $-625	-5% $-502	+0% $-380	+5% $-257	+10% $-134
Rate	-1.0pp $-181	-0.5pp $-279	base $-380	+0.5pp $-482	+1.0pp $-586

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $98,748
• Closing costs: $11,850
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
92 Everglades RD Barboursville, VA	4.0	2.5	1903	$2,795	$1.47	62d	1	0.17mi
32 Estes Ct Barboursville, VA	3.0	2.5	1400	$2,600	$1.86	62d	1	0.50mi
591 Preddy Creek Rd Barboursville, VA	3.0	2.0	1200	$2,250	$1.88	23d	1	0.53mi
144 Lake Saponi Dr #7 Barboursville, VA	3.0	1.5	1260	$2,000	$1.59	22d	1	0.68mi
95 Terrace Greene Cir Barboursville, VA	1.0–4.0	1.0–3.5	1464	$2,950	$2.01	0d	12	0.71mi
50 Grayson Village DR Barboursville, VA	3.0	2.5	1470	$2,095	$1.43	0d	1	0.74mi
59 Grayson Village DR Barboursville, VA	3.0	2.5	1470	$2,100	$1.43	0d	1	0.83mi
54 Mannie Ct Barboursville, VA	4.0	2.0	1680	$2,600	$1.55	62d	1	0.85mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Model: SEQUOIAAddress: 504 Arches Ln, Barboursville, VA 22923Parcel number: TBD
• HOA & community: Association with monthly feeAssociation fee: $105 monthlyAssociation maintains common areas, clubhouse, fitness facility, playground, pool(s), roads, snow removal, trashCommunity amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, meeting room, picnic area, playground, pool, tennis courts, trails, sidewalks

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spacesGarage faces frontGarage door openerOff-street parkingConcrete parkingElectricity to garage
• Security: Deadbolt(s)Smoke detector(s)Carbon monoxide detector(s)Radon mitigation system
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewerUnderground electricCable availableFiber optic available
• Home design: Detached propertyTwo levelsNew construction
• Construction: Built with stick built methods and insulated concrete forms (ICFs)Vinyl sidingBlown-in insulationPoured slab foundationArchitectural roof
• Exterior features: Concrete covered patioPatioLandscaped lotCommunity pool

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric rangeDisposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorENERGY STAR qualified appliancesKitchen island
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Second level)Bedroom (Second level)Bedroom (Second level)
• Flooring: CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom1 main level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling)Electric heatingHas heatingHas cooling
• Interior features: Double vanityWalk-in closet(s)Entrance foyerKitchen islandProgrammable thermostatRecessed lightingInsulated windowsLow emissivity windowsWindow screensTilt-in windowsLow VOC paint/materialsHERS Index Score verification
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Second level)Washer hookupDryer hookup

HOA detail $105/mo · $1,260/yr

• Likely covers: poolgym

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $394,990 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $394,990 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $394,990 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $394,990 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $394,990 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-05-14
   listed $394,990 Active 953-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $37,293
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,126
• − Property taxes: −$5,925
• − Insurance: −$1,975
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,983
• − Management: −$2,983
• − HOA: −$1,260
• − Depreciation: −$11,491
• Taxable loss: −$11,450
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,748
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 22 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a beautiful outdoor setting. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some landscaping and smart home upgrades to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers. ↑
• Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase the home's market value. ↑
• Both Install smart locks — Enhances security and can be a selling point for potential buyers. ↑
• Both Add a smart thermostat — Saves energy and can be a selling point for potential buyers. ↑

D Composite school gradezoned avg 56/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Ruckersville Elementary C+ VA #583/1,108 Nat'l #8,292/41,679 Middle William Monroe Middle C VA #226/342 Nat'l #3,367/14,009 High William Monroe High C+ VA #256/319 Nat'l #3,898/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Greene County Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5101710
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -37.00%
• Reading proficiency: 64% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $59,129
• Composite: 45.22/100
• National rank: #2668
• State rank: #88 of 131 in VA

C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Ruckersville

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #318
• US rank: #11455

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Orange County · 20,465 people
• Metro: Charlottesville, VA
• Population (ZIP): 6,435
• Household income: $118,125
• Rent vs Own: 25.2% rent · 74.8% own

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Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,465 people
• By 2030: 20,958 · +2.4%
• By 2040: 21,619 · +5.6%
• By 2050: 21,699 · +6.0%
• By 2075: 21,656 · +5.8%
• By 2100: 20,156 · -1.5%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 3%
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Greene

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.0% · R 61.7% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -21.9pp · 2024: -24.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -11.41%
• Current HPI: 303.0348
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Charlottesville, VA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Model: SEQUOIAAddress: 504 Arches Ln, Barboursville, VA 22923Parcel number: TBD
• HOA & community: Association with monthly feeAssociation fee: $105 monthlyAssociation maintains common areas, clubhouse, fitness facility, playground, pool(s), roads, snow removal, trashCommunity amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, meeting room, picnic area, playground, pool, tennis courts, trails, sidewalks

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage2 garage spacesGarage faces frontGarage door openerOff-street parkingConcrete parkingElectricity to garage
• Security: Deadbolt(s)Smoke detector(s)Carbon monoxide detector(s)Radon mitigation system
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewerUnderground electricCable availableFiber optic available
• Home design: Detached propertyTwo levelsNew construction
• Construction: Built with stick built methods and insulated concrete forms (ICFs)Vinyl sidingBlown-in insulationPoured slab foundationArchitectural roof
• Exterior features: Concrete covered patioPatioLandscaped lotCommunity pool

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric rangeDisposalMicrowaveRefrigeratorENERGY STAR qualified appliancesKitchen island
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Second level)Bedroom (Second level)Bedroom (Second level)
• Flooring: CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom1 main level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling)Electric heatingHas heatingHas cooling
• Interior features: Double vanityWalk-in closet(s)Entrance foyerKitchen islandProgrammable thermostatRecessed lightingInsulated windowsLow emissivity windowsWindow screensTilt-in windowsLow VOC paint/materialsHERS Index Score verification
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Second level)Washer hookupDryer hookup

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — CAAR
• 2026-05-14 Listed $394,990 CAAR