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107 Cynthia Cir
C Composite 55.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

107 Cynthia Cir · Roanoke, AL 36274
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1979 0.50 ac lot $76/sqft · 24% below area Est $145k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect starter home in a great community. This corner lot home is in walking distance of Handley Middle School and in close proximity to Hwy 431. Large yard space is just what the kids are looking for. Bring your vision and design to life with the large open living room and dining room concept, 3 bedrooms with a master and half bath. This home is being sold As-Is with endless possibilities for the savvy investor. Don't delay, schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Large yard space
  • Corner lot
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTCLOSE PROXIMITY TO HWY 431LARGE YARD SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.5% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#405 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roanoke City (town): math 16% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #78 of 129 in AL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.41%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,904
List price
$110,000
Delta
-24.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
269 Longshore St 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-11%) 4mo $100,000 $78 49
175 Rock Mills Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,474 (+2%) 16mo $60,000 $41 49
435 South St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-10%) 6mo $150,000 $116 42
445 Gaston St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,333 (-7%) 19mo $20,000 $15 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-10,597
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$125
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36274

Home prices YoY
-7.9%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $189 -5% $151 +0% $113 +5% $75 +10% $37
Rent -10% $26 -5% $70 +0% $113 +5% $157 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $169 -0.5pp $141 base $113 +0.5pp $85 +1.0pp $56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-02-28
    listed $110,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Perfect starter home in a great community. This corner lot home is in walking distance of Handley Middle School and in close proximity to Hwy 431. Large yard space is just what the kids are looking for. Bring your vision and design to life with the large open living room and dining room concept, 3 bedrooms with a master and half bath. This home is being sold As-Is with endless possibilities for the savvy investor. Don't delay, schedule your showing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,267
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,061
− Management
−$1,061
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$418
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$100
After-tax cash flow
$1,459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roanoke City
NCES district ID
0102850
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$34,287
Composite
23.36/100
National rank
#7906
State rank
#78 of 129 in AL

Livability — Roanoke

Score
56/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#22530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roanoke, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,827

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,095 people
By 2030
21,500 · -2.7%
By 2040
20,042 · -9.3%
By 2050
18,428 · -16.6%
By 2075
14,828 · -32.9%
By 2100
11,511 · -47.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.3% · R 82.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+53.4 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+39.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.15%
Current HPI
188.5223
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-24.3%/yr

Latest (2016): $39 · -56.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…