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15 Alcoma Dr
B- Composite 68.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

15 Alcoma Dr · North Sioux City, SD 57049
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Other public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1975 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Fenced back yard
  • Single level living

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL LIVINGLARGE DECKFENCED BACK YARDCONVENIENT OFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#59 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dakota Valley School District 61-8 (suburban): math 45% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #16 of 59 in SD (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Dakota Valley Elementary - 02 (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #32 of 253 statewide, top 14%, 365 students, 11% FRL); Dakota Valley Middle School - 03 (math 39% / reading 60%, grade C, #55 of 143 statewide, top 46%, 342 students, 10% FRL); Dakota Valley High School - 01 (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #28 of 151 statewide, top 19%, 448 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.06%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$4,946
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$27,381
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57049

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,134/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $692
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
340 Streeter Dr North Sioux City, SD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,048 $1.40 43d 3 0.28mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricestatusdays on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  10. 2026-03-23
    listed $84,900 Active
  11. 1999-09-03
    soldstatus $70,000
  12. 1996-03-09
    soldstatus $75,750
  13. 1993-01-05
    soldstatus $46,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,134 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,134 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,570
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,134
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,006
− Management
−$1,006
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$534
After-tax cash flow
$2,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dakota Valley School District 61-8
NCES district ID
4636990
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$71,366
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2451
State rank
#16 of 59 in SD

Livability — North Sioux City

Score
71/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#7085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Sioux City, SD
Population (ZIP)
7,814

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,155 people
By 2030
16,737 · +3.6%
By 2040
17,804 · +10.2%
By 2050
18,877 · +16.8%
By 2075
23,022 · +42.5%
By 2100
29,133 · +80.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 28.7% · R 69.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+38.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.14%
Current HPI
175.7612
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending NWIA
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $84,900 NWIA
  • 1999-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1996-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,750 Public Records
  • 1993-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $46,250 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,134 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…