625 Young St · Nokomis, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a corner lot with a detached 20' x 24' garage and a concrete driveway. This home is situated in a nice neighborhood consisting of single family residence. The home has approx. 1,456 sq. ft of living space. It offers a large living room, kitchen with dining area, a master bedroom with a master bath, 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath. The home has vinyl siding, vinyl thermal pane windows, a shingled roof, gas forced air furnace, CA, an on-demand water heater and the kitchen comes with the appliances (stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave plus the washing machine and a dryer). Don't wait! Look Now! Before this one is SOLD!!
Key facts
- 7,030 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (approximately 20' x 24')
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: City lot; Lot approximately 50' x 140'
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level (including a master suite)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen and dining room combined; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#547 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Nokomis CUSD 22 (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #241 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nokomis Jr/Sr High Sch (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 312 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.96%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 S Blue Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+0%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $106 | 88 |
| 927 E Union St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,511 (+4%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $23 | 68 |
| 123 S Oak St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (+8%) | 10mo | $149,500 | $95 | 62 |
| 518 Stevens St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-7%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $219 | 60 |
| 417 E Union | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+14%) | 9mo | $219,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 603 Capps Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-7%) | 12mo | $82,500 | $61 | 54 |
| 317 East St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (+11%) | 17mo | $245,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 515 N Elm St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-7%) | 22mo | $117,500 | $87 | 45 |
| 304 Pine St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,417 (-3%) | 20mo | $59,900 | $42 | 44 |
| 519 S Pine St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (-13%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $99 | 42 |
| 512 Lincoln St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (+13%) | 22mo | $89,900 | $54 | 35 |
| 323 N Pine St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,285 (-12%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $74 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $65,501
- Equity at exit
- $85,133
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.88×
- Total profit
- $181,982
- Equity at exit
- $183,593
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62075
- Home prices YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,972/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09status $94,500 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$94,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,972 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,059 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$1,972
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,117
- − Management
- −$1,117
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable income
- $1,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,338/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nokomis CUSD 22
- NCES district ID
- 1728560
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,673
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7132
- State rank
- #241 of 620 in IL
Livability — Nokomis
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #547
- US rank
- #11441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nokomis, IL
- City population
- 3,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,180
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,471 people
- By 2030
- 26,410 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 24,233 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 21,948 · -20.1%
- By 2075
- 16,686 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 11,369 · -58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.27%
- Current HPI
- 192.84
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+11.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $94,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,972 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…