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625 Young St
B+ Composite 77.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,500

625 Young St · Nokomis, IL 62075
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1966 7,030 sqft lot Est $138k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Take a look at this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a corner lot with a detached 20' x 24' garage and a concrete driveway. This home is situated in a nice neighborhood consisting of single family residence. The home has approx. 1,456 sq. ft of living space. It offers a large living room, kitchen with dining area, a master bedroom with a master bath, 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath. The home has vinyl siding, vinyl thermal pane windows, a shingled roof, gas forced air furnace, CA, an on-demand water heater and the kitchen comes with the appliances (stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave plus the washing machine and a dryer). Don't wait! Look Now! Before this one is SOLD!!

Key facts

  • 7,030 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (approximately 20' x 24')
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: City lot; Lot approximately 50' x 140'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level (including a master suite)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen and dining room combined; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#547 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Nokomis CUSD 22 (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #241 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nokomis Jr/Sr High Sch (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 312 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $94,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.96%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
221 S Blue Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,458 (+0%) 10mo $155,000 $106 88
927 E Union St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,511 (+4%) 10mo $35,000 $23 68
123 S Oak St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,580 (+8%) 10mo $149,500 $95 62
518 Stevens St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-7%) 14mo $295,000 $219 60
417 E Union 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,660 (+14%) 9mo $219,000 $132 58
603 Capps Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,352 (-7%) 12mo $82,500 $61 54
317 East St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,612 (+11%) 17mo $245,000 $152 54
515 N Elm St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-7%) 22mo $117,500 $87 45
304 Pine St 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,417 (-3%) 20mo $59,900 $42 44
519 S Pine St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,266 (-13%) 5mo $125,000 $99 42
512 Lincoln St 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,650 (+13%) 22mo $89,900 $54 35
323 N Pine St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,285 (-12%) 14mo $95,000 $74 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$65,501
Equity at exit
$85,133
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
7.88×
Total profit
$181,982
Equity at exit
$183,593

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62075

Home prices YoY
15.1%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$496
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,972/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $885
Max offer price $94,500
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,625
Closing costs
$2,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $94,500 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-03
    listed $94,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,972 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$86/yr (+$7/mo · 4.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,959
− Mortgage interest
−$5,293
− Property taxes
−$1,972
− Insurance
−$472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$2,749
Taxable income
$1,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$297
After-tax cash flow
$2,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nokomis CUSD 22
NCES district ID
1728560
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$42,673
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7132
State rank
#241 of 620 in IL

Livability — Nokomis

Score
66/100
State rank
#547
US rank
#11441

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nokomis, IL
City population
3,180
Population (ZIP)
3,180

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,471 people
By 2030
26,410 · -3.9%
By 2040
24,233 · -11.8%
By 2050
21,948 · -20.1%
By 2075
16,686 · -39.3%
By 2100
11,369 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.27%
Current HPI
192.84
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $94,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,972 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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