14719 Houston Whittier St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 112 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.04%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,729
- List price
- $77,500
- Delta
- 41.61%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14866 Houston Whittier St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+8%) | 9mo | $32,000 | $34 | 73 |
| 12641 Kelly Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-3%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $18 | 63 |
| 15255 Young St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 919 (+7%) | 9mo | $72,500 | $79 | 61 |
| 14981 Flanders St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 755 (-12%) | 1mo | $30,005 | $40 | 61 |
| 15001 Flanders St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 769 (-11%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 11384 Stockwell St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 922 (+7%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $33 | 56 |
| 12834 August Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 897 (+4%) | 15mo | $22,000 | $25 | 48 |
| 14915 Troester St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 755 (-12%) | 14mo | $78,000 | $103 | 48 |
| 9730 Outer Dr E | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 907 (+5%) | 14mo | $31,000 | $34 | 47 |
| 9802 Philip St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 802 (-7%) | 15mo | $27,000 | $34 | 42 |
| 14531 Promenade St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 741 (-14%) | 8mo | $19,000 | $26 | 41 |
| 10609 Stratman St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 979 (+14%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $92 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $18,743
- Equity at exit
- $11,556
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $50,873
- Equity at exit
- $6,701
Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$406
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $729/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,375
- Closing costs
- $2,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 13067 Wade St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $900 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12716 Riad St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,266 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $77,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $77,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-03-13status Active 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
* Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity
-
2026-03-09historical 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
* Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity
-
2026-02-25$77,500 Active 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
* Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity
-
2026-02-25$77,500 Active 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
* Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity
-
2021-10-22soldstatus $77,500
-
2007-05-29soldstatus $70,000
-
2007-02-13$80,000
-
2007-01-02soldstatus $12,000
-
2006-06-26$15,500
-
2005-08-09soldstatus $65,000
-
2004-04-07soldstatus $60,000
-
1995-02-17soldstatus $6,500
-
1991-10-02soldstatus $16,159
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $729 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$232/yr (+$19/mo · 31.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,341
- − Property taxes
- −$729
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$2,255
- Taxable income
- $5,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+379.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $77,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-25 Listed $77,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2007-05-29 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-02-13 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-01-02 Sold (MLS) $12,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-06-26 Listed $15,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1995-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records
- 1991-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $16,159 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $729 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…