221 W 13th St · Newport, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home has remarkable city view, enjoyable all day and night- 3 bedrooms, 1-1/2 baths. A lower level kitchen and dining room. This home has fresh paint and carpet inside and a fenced yard for your enjoyment. So much to love for a fantastic price- call your agent today for a private showing!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Lower level kitchen
- 2,744 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; House; Built in 1900
- Construction: Block foundation; Block, vinyl siding and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Vinyl-clad windows with vinyl frames
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Metal fencing; City street frontage; Paved road access; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with city view; Bedroom 2 with city view; Bedroom 3; Office
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Primary bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in lower level / basement; Full basement with storage area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.72%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,025
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 Home St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+1%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $163 | 80 |
| 330 W 9th St W | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,234 (-3%) | 0mo | $132,500 | $107 | 74 |
| 939 Patterson St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+9%) | 2mo | $127,500 | $92 | 66 |
| 423 Hodge St | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,164 (-9%) | 3mo | $199,500 | $171 | 65 |
| 516 W 12th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+12%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 403 Forrest St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+2%) | 3mo | $297,000 | $228 | 63 |
| 827 Dayton St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,276 (+0%) | 2mo | $234,000 | $183 | 63 |
| 8 W Ridge Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-2%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 335 Keturah St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,361 (+7%) | 3mo | $213,500 | $157 | 57 |
| 63 Parkview Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,452 (+14%) | 2mo | $288,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 7 Parkview Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,395 (+9%) | 0mo | $259,900 | $186 | 55 |
| 409 E 13th St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,083 (-15%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $166 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,220
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $44,398
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41071
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $493/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $407
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $520 | -5% $464 | +0% $407 | +5% $350 | +10% $294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $328 | +0% $407 | +5% $486 | +10% $565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $458 | base $407 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 W 9th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 809 Isabella St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 344 E 13th St Unit 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 814 Washington Ave Unit 2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 929 Boone St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 210 W 5th St Newport, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,800 | $2.13 | 3d | 15 | 0.73mi |
| 1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 100 Aqua Way Newport, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $3,850 | $3.53 | 2d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 103 E 3rd St Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,250 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 512 Wallace Ave Unit 512/18 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,779 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3949 Vision CIR Southgate, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $2,515 | $2.22 | 2d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 118 Beech St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1273 | $3,640 | $2.86 | 2d | 9 | 1.31mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $2,365 | $1.67 | 2d | 14 | 1.33mi |
| 1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 35 Gettysburg Square Rd Fort Thomas, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,630 | $2.04 | 3d | 29 | 1.41mi |
| 621 E Mehring Way Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,249 | $2.40 | 2d | 12 | 1.42mi |
| 601 E Pete Rose Way Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1039 | $2,936 | $2.83 | 2d | 22 | 1.43mi |
| 239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 4d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 515 Main St Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,215 | $2.37 | 2d | 8 | 1.48mi |
| 121 E Freedom Way Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $2,999 | $3.03 | 2d | 27 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$199,900 Active
-
2025-04-14historical
-
2025-02-18price $239,000
-
2025-02-05$299,000 Active
-
2016-06-30soldstatus $50,000
-
2008-04-30historical
-
2008-02-26$69,900
-
2001-06-27historical
-
2001-03-27$43,000
-
2001-03-18historical
-
2000-12-18$43,900
-
1997-09-11soldstatus $29,000
-
1995-07-19soldstatus $13,000
-
1991-05-09soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $493 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,719 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,226/yr (+$102/mo · 248.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,994
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$493
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $1,650
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,487/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104440
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,783
- Composite
- 16.51/100
- National rank
- #9182
- State rank
- #160 of 165 in KY
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- City population
- 19,680
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,680
- Household income
- $59,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.38%
- Current HPI
- 244.9069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.64%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+952.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $199,900 NKMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $239,000 NKMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed $299,000 NKMLS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-30 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2008-02-26 Listed $69,900 NKMLS
- 2001-06-27 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2001-03-27 Listed $43,000 NKMLS
- 2001-03-18 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2000-12-18 Listed $43,900 NKMLS
- 1997-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1995-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 1991-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $493 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…