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221 W 13th St
C+ Composite 60.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

221 W 13th St · Newport, KY 41071
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,275 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1900 2,744 sqft lot Est $218k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home has remarkable city view, enjoyable all day and night- 3 bedrooms, 1-1/2 baths. A lower level kitchen and dining room. This home has fresh paint and carpet inside and a fenced yard for your enjoyment. So much to love for a fantastic price- call your agent today for a private showing!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Lower level kitchen
  • 2,744 sq ft lot

Tags

LOWER LEVEL KITCHENFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; House; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Block foundation; Block, vinyl siding and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Vinyl-clad windows with vinyl frames
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Metal fencing; City street frontage; Paved road access; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with city view; Bedroom 2 with city view; Bedroom 3; Office
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Primary bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in lower level / basement; Full basement with storage area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,901 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.74%
Cash-on-cash
8.72%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,025
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
94 Home St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,288 (+1%) 2mo $210,000 $163 80
330 W 9th St W 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,234 (-3%) 0mo $132,500 $107 74
939 Patterson St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,392 (+9%) 2mo $127,500 $92 66
423 Hodge St 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,164 (-9%) 3mo $199,500 $171 65
516 W 12th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,434 (+12%) 2mo $260,000 $181 64
403 Forrest St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+2%) 3mo $297,000 $228 63
827 Dayton St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,276 (+0%) 2mo $234,000 $183 63
8 W Ridge Pl 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-2%) 1mo $192,000 $154 59
335 Keturah St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,361 (+7%) 3mo $213,500 $157 57
63 Parkview Ave 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,452 (+14%) 2mo $288,000 $198 55
7 Parkview Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,395 (+9%) 0mo $259,900 $186 55
409 E 13th St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,083 (-15%) 1mo $180,000 $166 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,220
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$44,398
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41071

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $493/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,484
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $520 -5% $464 +0% $407 +5% $350 +10% $294
Rent -10% $249 -5% $328 +0% $407 +5% $486 +10% $565
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $458 base $407 +0.5pp $355 +1.0pp $302

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
128 W 9th St Newport, KY 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,650 $1.63 2d 1 0.38mi
911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 21d 1 0.41mi
809 Isabella St Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1519 $2,200 $1.45 44d 1 0.47mi
203 W 8th St Newport, KY 2.0 1.5 1456 $2,300 $1.58 21d 1 0.50mi
1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 44d 1 0.52mi
344 E 13th St Unit 1 Covington, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 24d 1 0.62mi
814 Washington Ave Unit 2 Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 24d 1 0.66mi
929 Boone St Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1458 $1,495 $1.03 44d 1 0.67mi
210 W 5th St Newport, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,800 $2.13 3d 15 0.73mi
1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 3d 1 0.90mi
508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,800 $1.48 2d 1 0.94mi
100 Aqua Way Newport, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $3,850 $3.53 2d 4 1.04mi
103 E 3rd St Covington, KY 2.0 2.5 1291 $3,250 $2.52 2d 1 1.11mi
512 Wallace Ave Unit 512/18 Covington, KY 2.0 2.0 900 $1,299 $1.44 8d 1 1.12mi
2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY 3.0 1.5 1598 $1,779 $1.11 4d 1 1.16mi
3949 Vision CIR Southgate, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1132 $2,515 $2.22 2d 10 1.16mi
1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY 3.0 2.0 1865 $2,100 $1.13 20d 1 1.19mi
118 Beech St Newport, KY 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,400 $1.49 2d 1 1.28mi
50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1273 $3,640 $2.86 2d 9 1.31mi
1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1420 $2,365 $1.67 2d 14 1.33mi
1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY 3.0 2.5 1850 $3,000 $1.62 24d 1 1.35mi
35 Gettysburg Square Rd Fort Thomas, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,630 $2.04 3d 29 1.41mi
621 E Mehring Way Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 938 $2,249 $2.40 2d 12 1.42mi
601 E Pete Rose Way Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0–2.5 1039 $2,936 $2.83 2d 22 1.43mi
239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY 2.0 2.0 1093 $1,645 $1.50 4d 2 1.47mi
515 Main St Covington, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 934 $2,215 $2.37 2d 8 1.48mi
121 E Freedom Way Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 988 $2,999 $3.03 2d 27 1.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-27
    listed $199,900 Active
  15. 2025-04-14
    historical
  16. 2025-02-18
    price $239,000
  17. 2025-02-05
    listed $299,000 Active
  18. 2016-06-30
    soldstatus $50,000
  19. 2008-04-30
    historical
  20. 2008-02-26
    listed $69,900
  21. 2001-06-27
    historical
  22. 2001-03-27
    listed $43,000
  23. 2001-03-18
    historical
  24. 2000-12-18
    listed $43,900
  25. 1997-09-11
    soldstatus $29,000
  26. 1995-07-19
    soldstatus $13,000
  27. 1991-05-09
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$493 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,719 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$1,226/yr (+$102/mo · 248.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,994
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$493
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$1,650
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$396
After-tax cash flow
$4,487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport Independent
NCES district ID
2104440
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,783
Composite
16.51/100
National rank
#9182
State rank
#160 of 165 in KY

Livability — Newport

Score
82/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#1070

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, KY
County
Campbell County · 84,793 people
City population
19,680
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
19,680
Household income
$59,976
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,668 people
By 2030
96,886 · +1.3%
By 2040
97,734 · +2.2%
By 2050
96,413 · +0.8%
By 2075
90,211 · -5.7%
By 2100
79,434 · -17.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Campbell

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.38%
Current HPI
244.9069
Rent YoY
▲ 4.64%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+952.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $199,900 NKMLS
  • 2025-04-14 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2025-02-18 Price Changed $239,000 NKMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $299,000 NKMLS
  • 2016-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-30 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2008-02-26 Listed $69,900 NKMLS
  • 2001-06-27 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2001-03-27 Listed $43,000 NKMLS
  • 2001-03-18 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2000-12-18 Listed $43,900 NKMLS
  • 1997-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1995-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1991-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $493 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…