3317 Sawtooth Dr · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Alert! This well cared for 3 Bedroom 3 Full bath westside Townhome. New Roof 2024 . HVAC , Private fenced back yard and nice shed in back. Freshly pressure washed and carpets being cleaned. Beautiful lake with walking path for residents
Key facts
- New roof
- $21 HOA
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $250; Association maintains common areas and grounds
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Home design: Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Privacy fencing; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 — 13 x 10; Bedroom 3 — 12 x 11; Additional bedroom — 13 x 13
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Tray ceilings; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Primary bedroom on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.98%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,574
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3361 Sawtooth Dr | 0.05mi | 3/3.0 | 1,338 (0%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $138 | 96 |
| 3320 Sugar Berry Way | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 | 1,338 (0%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $134 | 95 |
| 3326 Sawtooth Dr | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 | 1,383 (+3%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $117 | 88 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #1704 | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $128 | 79 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #2902 | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $115 | 78 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #1801 | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $123 | 77 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #3604 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #2904 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+0%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $123 | 72 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #1601 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $130 | 72 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #2704 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+0%) | 6mo | $151,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 4434 Gearhart Rd #5304 | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+0%) | 5mo | $148,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 3156 Huntington Woods | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-13%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $146 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-18,904
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,857
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32303
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,639 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $671/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $224 | +0% $172 | +5% $119 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $42 | -5% $107 | +0% $172 | +5% $236 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $219 | base $172 | +0.5pp $124 | +1.0pp $75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3348 Sugar Berry Way #1 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1338 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3875 Gaffney Loop Tallahassee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2626 Faversham Dr Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2295 Del Carmel Way Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1802 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2295 Del Carmel Way Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1802 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2281 Del Carmel Way Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1280 | $1,599 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3400 Old Bainbridge Rd #203 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1368 | $1,650 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2222 Del Carmel Way Unit 2226 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1280 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2222 Del Carmel Way Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1280 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2227 Willie Vause Rd Unit B Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3380 Fred George Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,700 | $1.90 | 14d | 9 | 1.18mi |
| 2772 Westbrook Ct Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1325 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2749 Pecan Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 850 Capital Walk Dr Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1152 | $1,599 | $1.39 | 14d | 21 | 1.42mi |
| 2022 Trimble Rd Apt 1 Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1841 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2022 Trimble Rd Apt 1 Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1841 | $775 | $0.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2022 Trimble Rd Apt 3 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1192 | $700 | $0.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $184,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $184,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $184,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $184,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $184,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $184,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $184,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $184,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-16$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $671 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,535 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$864/yr (+$72/mo · 128.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$671
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,574
- − Management
- −$1,574
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable loss
- −$1,058
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,313/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,785
- Household income
- $62,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2919.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.24%
- Current HPI
- 241.3131
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $190,000 CATRS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $671 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…