1620 Sumneytown Pike · Woxall, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- Breakfast bar
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Water from a private well; On-site septic system; Electric service available
- Home design: Manufactured home; One-story living (all main-level bedrooms and bath)
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Above-grade finished area estimated at 840; Other structures listed above and below grade
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: none
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating fuel: oil and electric; Ductless / mini-split cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Living Room and Kitchen included among rooms
- Laundry & utility: Hot water is electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,110 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Souderton Area SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #59 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.00%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,040
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -56.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $47,572
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $125,677
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19438
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $1,027
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,089 | -5% $1,058 | +0% $1,027 | +5% $995 | +10% $964 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $851 | -5% $939 | +0% $1,027 | +5% $1,114 | +10% $1,202 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,082 | -0.5pp $1,055 | base $1,027 | +0.5pp $998 | +1.0pp $969 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-12$110,000 Active 1448-char remark
-
2025-06-03historical
-
2025-05-21$139,000 Active
-
2021-01-25soldstatus $50,000
-
2020-12-30soldstatus $50,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-12-30soldstatus $50,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-12-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-12-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-11-24price $50,000
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-11-24price $50,000
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-11-24status Active
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-11-24status Active
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-10-17historical
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-09-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-09-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-09-19historical
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-08-19$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-08-19$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!
-
2010-09-24historical
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2009-10-27$74,900
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1993-09-29soldstatus $40,000
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1990-06-13soldstatus $77,500
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1986-08-12soldstatus $27,500
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1985-04-30soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,518 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$220/yr (+$18/mo · 16.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,298
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,136
- − Management
- −$2,136
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $11,214
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,691
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Souderton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221870
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,449
- Composite
- 53.84/100
- National rank
- #1411
- State rank
- #59 of 539 in PA
Livability — Woxall
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1110
- US rank
- #12626
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,438
- Household income
- $138,134
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 653.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.96%
- Current HPI
- 280.149
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+450.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-12-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-12-01 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2020-11-24 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-24 Price Changed $50,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-11-24 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-24 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2020-10-17 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2020-09-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-19 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2020-09-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-19 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-19 Listed $79,900 GLVRMLS
- 2010-09-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-10-27 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1990-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 1986-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 1985-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,298 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…