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1620 Sumneytown Pike
B Composite 71.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1620 Sumneytown Pike · Woxall, PA 19438
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1978 0.52 ac lot $131/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Half-acre lot
  • Breakfast bar
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

RENOVATED MOBILE HOMEHALF-ACRE LOTNEWLY RENOVATED KITCHENBREAKFAST BARPLENTY OF CABINET STORAGEUPDATED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water from a private well; On-site septic system; Electric service available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One-story living (all main-level bedrooms and bath)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Above-grade finished area estimated at 840; Other structures listed above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: none

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating fuel: oil and electric; Ductless / mini-split cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Living Room and Kitchen included among rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Hot water is electric

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,110 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Souderton Area SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #59 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.49%
Cash-on-cash
40.00%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,040
List price
$110,000
Delta
-56.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$47,572
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$125,677
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19438

Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,225 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$1,027

Break-even live

Break-even rent $925
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,089 -5% $1,058 +0% $1,027 +5% $995 +10% $964
Rent -10% $851 -5% $939 +0% $1,027 +5% $1,114 +10% $1,202
Rate -1.0pp $1,082 -0.5pp $1,055 base $1,027 +0.5pp $998 +1.0pp $969

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $110,000 Active 1448-char remark
  2. 2025-06-03
    historical
  3. 2025-05-21
    listed $139,000 Active
  4. 2021-01-25
    soldstatus $50,000
  5. 2020-12-30
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  6. 2020-12-30
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  7. 2020-12-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  8. 2020-12-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  9. 2020-11-24
    price $50,000
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  10. 2020-11-24
    price $50,000
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  11. 2020-11-24
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  12. 2020-11-24
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  13. 2020-10-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2020-09-19
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2020-09-19
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2020-09-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2020-08-19
    listed $79,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2020-08-19
    listed $79,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    This 842 sq. ft. home sits on a . 52 acre lot and features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Built in 1978, it has easy access to the nearby schools, grocery stores, and nearby coffee shops. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2010-09-24
    historical
  20. 2009-10-27
    listed $74,900
  21. 1993-09-29
    soldstatus $40,000
  22. 1990-06-13
    soldstatus $77,500
  23. 1986-08-12
    soldstatus $27,500
  24. 1985-04-30
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,298 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,518 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$220/yr (+$18/mo · 16.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,695
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,298
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,136
− Management
−$2,136
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$11,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,691
After-tax cash flow
$9,627/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Souderton Area SD
NCES district ID
4221870
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$79,449
Composite
53.84/100
National rank
#1411
State rank
#59 of 539 in PA

Livability — Woxall

Score
65/100
State rank
#1110
US rank
#12626

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 712,331 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
25,438
Household income
$138,134
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
653.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
856,074 people
By 2030
870,887 · +1.7%
By 2040
891,195 · +4.1%
By 2050
896,417 · +4.7%
By 2075
903,212 · +5.5%
By 2100
843,240 · -1.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -190.96%
Current HPI
280.149
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+450.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-21 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-12-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-01 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2020-11-24 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-11-24 Price Changed $50,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-11-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-11-24 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2020-10-17 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2020-09-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-09-19 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2020-09-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-19 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-19 Listed $79,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2010-09-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-10-27 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1993-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1990-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 1986-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 1985-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,298 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…