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3927 S Sanna Wind Way
D- Composite 35.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$430,000

3927 S Sanna Wind Way · Langley, WA 98260
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1996 7,770 sqft lot $256/sqft · 43% below area Est $753k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover exceptional value in this beautifully renovated home near the waterfront village of Langley. This one-level residence is priced to sell quick and offers a rare opportunity for anyone seeking a stylish, affordable living option in an in-demand market. Open floor plan, vaulted ceilings and bright interior create an inviting space ready for immediate move-in or rental income potential. Property has been carefully updated by a local builder/owner with high-quality finishes througout. Situated moments from trails and a vibrant local community, this home delivers both relaxation and convenience. Offers are encouraged as this outstanding deal won’t last long. Reach out today to sche

Key facts

  • Waterfront village
  • Open floor plan
  • Renovated home

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEWATERFRONT VILLAGEOPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSBRIGHT INTERIORRENTAL INCOME POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $430k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-887 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (36.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (46.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (46.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.3% in Langley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#88 in WA, #1,696 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • South Whidbey School District (rural): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #87 of 291 in WA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: South Whidbey Elementary (571 students, 35% FRL); South Whidbey Middle (204 students, 41% FRL); South Whidbey High School (384 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 402 units permitted in Island County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Island County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($391k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $228,604 (46.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.84%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
15.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$753,340
List price
$430,000
Delta
-42.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3898 Lone Lake Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,552 (-8%) 21mo $525,000 $338 56
3751 Bells Ln 0.48mi 2/2.5 1,858 (+11%) 2mo $1,165,000 $627 52
3704 Bells Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,576 (-6%) 17mo $465,000 $295 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.0%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-126,322
Equity at exit
$64,114
10-year hold
IRR
-37.1%
Equity multiple
-0.52×
Total profit
$-183,315
Equity at exit
$37,179

Cash invested: $120,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98260

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
15.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,255
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,109/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$480
Net cashflow
$-887

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,409
Max offer price $273,271
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-644 -5% $-766 +0% $-887 +5% $-1,009 +10% $-1,131
Rent -10% $-1,068 -5% $-978 +0% $-887 +5% $-797 +10% $-707
Rate -1.0pp $-671 -0.5pp $-778 base $-887 +0.5pp $-999 +1.0pp $-1,112

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,500
Closing costs
$12,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-02
    price $430,000
  2. 2026-02-02
    listed $435,000 Active
  3. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $419,000 Sold
  4. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $419,000
  5. 2021-02-19
    status Pending
  6. 2021-02-12
    status Pending Inspection
  7. 2020-12-05
    listed $419,000 Active
  8. 2011-12-15
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,109 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,214 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$1,105/yr (+$92/mo · 35.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,432
− Mortgage interest
−$24,087
− Property taxes
−$3,109
− Insurance
−$2,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,195
− Management
−$2,195
− Depreciation
−$12,509
Taxable loss
−$18,811
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,515
After-tax cash flow
$-6,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Whidbey School District
NCES district ID
5308190
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$62,601
Composite
50.31/100
National rank
#4050
State rank
#87 of 291 in WA

Livability — Langley

Score
80/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#1696

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Island County · 71,196 people
City population
5,320
Metro
Oak Harbor, WA
Population (ZIP)
5,320
Household income
$101,987
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,019 people
By 2030
81,329 · -0.8%
By 2040
78,552 · -4.2%
By 2050
77,042 · -6.1%
By 2075
80,799 · -1.5%
By 2100
84,451 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Slovak 7% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Island

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.3% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+10.3pp toward D · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -370.15%
Current HPI
211.9851
Rent YoY
Metro
Oak Harbor, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+855.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $430,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $435,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $419,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $419,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-19 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-12 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-05 Listed $419,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,109 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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