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916 Littleport Ln
D Composite 40.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

916 Littleport Ln · Channelview, TX 77530
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1983 4,199 sqft lot Est $221k · at est. $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

Key facts

  • Cozy fireplace
  • Functional layout
  • Cul-de-sac

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING SPACECOZY FIREPLACEFENCED BACKYARDFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller disclosure available
  • HOA & community: Sterling Green CIA homeowner association; Annual association fee of $300

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1983; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas oven; Gas range; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (14 x 11); Two additional bedrooms on second floor (9 x 13; 9 x 10); Total of 7 rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom on first floor (6 x 14); Secondary bathroom on second floor (5 x 10)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Gas and wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-685/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Channelview — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#598 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Channelview ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #640 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Aguirre J H (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 975 students, 76% FRL); Channelview H S (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,893 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $220k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,571 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,364
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15145 Sheffield Ter 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,606 (+4%) 2mo $229,950 $143 88
826 Ivyhollow Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,593 (+3%) 3mo $175,000 $110 74
1118 Chestnut Bough St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,499 (-3%) 1mo $225,000 $150 70
1054 Somercotes Ln 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,410 (-9%) 3mo $229,950 $163 70
15418 Lost Lariat Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,545 (-0%) 3mo $254,900 $165 63
1343 Wrotham Ln 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (+0%) 3mo $224,900 $145 60
1342 Padstow Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+8%) 1mo $229,000 $138 60
1327 Padstow Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,417 (-8%) 1mo $229,000 $162 60
734 Dell Dale St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,471 (-5%) 0mo $150,000 $102 58
726 Brookview St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,369 (-12%) 3mo $190,000 $139 57
1331 Padstow Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (+7%) 2mo $214,900 $130 57
1322 Great Dover Cir 0.60mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,464 (-5%) 3mo $200,000 $137 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-29,041
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$16,615
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77530

Rents YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,926 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$308 /mo · $3,696/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$-57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,998
Max offer price $209,923
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
947 Leadenhall Cir Channelview, TX 3.0 2.5 1620 $1,856 $1.15 7d 1 0.17mi
15255 Ferness Ln Channelview, TX 4.0 2.0 1326 $1,668 $1.26 2d 10 0.28mi
810 Townley St Channelview, TX 3.0 3.5 1713 $1,925 $1.12 44d 1 0.45mi
1335 Willersley Ln Channelview, TX 3.0 2.0 1669 $1,775 $1.06 3d 1 0.52mi
1379 Dell Dale St Channelview, TX 4.0 2.0 1444 $1,893 $1.31 5d 1 0.77mi
14831 Waterside Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,779 $1.09 3d 1 1.18mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-27
    listed $220,000 Active
  15. 2021-03-02
    soldstatus
  16. 2021-03-01
    historical 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

  17. 2021-03-01
    soldstatus Sold 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

  18. 2021-02-08
    status Pending 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

  19. 2021-02-04
    status Option Pending 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

  20. 2021-01-29
    listed $142,000 Active 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!

  21. 2012-04-30
    historical
  22. 2011-11-04
    listed $99,000
  23. 2011-11-01
    historical
  24. 2011-05-02
    listed $99,000
  25. 2005-01-06
    soldstatus
  26. 1996-04-01
    soldstatus $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,696 · $308/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,026 · $336/mo
Expected delta
+$330/yr (+$28/mo · 8.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,109
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,696
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,849
− Management
−$1,849
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$4,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,058
After-tax cash flow
$373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Channelview ISD
NCES district ID
4813590
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$52,320
Composite
25.18/100
National rank
#7513
State rank
#640 of 826 in TX

Livability — Channelview

Score
66/100
State rank
#598
US rank
#11392

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Channelview, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
31,527
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,527
Household income
$62,195
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
966.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 31% White 16% Black 9% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 61%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 60% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.05%
Current HPI
292.1862
Rent YoY
▲ 16.85%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-03-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-03-01 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2021-02-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-02-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Listed $142,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-04-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2011-11-04 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2011-11-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2011-05-02 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,696 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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