916 Littleport Ln · Channelview, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
Key facts
- Cozy fireplace
- Functional layout
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
- HOA & community: Sterling Green CIA homeowner association; Annual association fee of $300
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1983; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas oven; Gas range; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (14 x 11); Two additional bedrooms on second floor (9 x 13; 9 x 10); Total of 7 rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom on first floor (6 x 14); Secondary bathroom on second floor (5 x 10)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: High ceilings; Gas and wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-685/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Channelview — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#598 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Channelview ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #640 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Aguirre J H (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 975 students, 76% FRL); Channelview H S (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,893 students, 87% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $220k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.11%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,364
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15145 Sheffield Ter | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (+4%) | 2mo | $229,950 | $143 | 88 |
| 826 Ivyhollow Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,593 (+3%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $110 | 74 |
| 1118 Chestnut Bough St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (-3%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $150 | 70 |
| 1054 Somercotes Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,410 (-9%) | 3mo | $229,950 | $163 | 70 |
| 15418 Lost Lariat Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (-0%) | 3mo | $254,900 | $165 | 63 |
| 1343 Wrotham Ln | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+0%) | 3mo | $224,900 | $145 | 60 |
| 1342 Padstow Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+8%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 1327 Padstow Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (-8%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $162 | 60 |
| 734 Dell Dale St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,471 (-5%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $102 | 58 |
| 726 Brookview St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,369 (-12%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $139 | 57 |
| 1331 Padstow Ln | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+7%) | 2mo | $214,900 | $130 | 57 |
| 1322 Great Dover Cir | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-5%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $137 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-29,041
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $16,615
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77530
- Rents YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,926 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,696/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 947 Leadenhall Cir Channelview, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,856 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 15255 Ferness Ln Channelview, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,668 | $1.26 | 2d | 10 | 0.28mi |
| 810 Townley St Channelview, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1713 | $1,925 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1335 Willersley Ln Channelview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $1,775 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1379 Dell Dale St Channelview, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,893 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14831 Waterside Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,779 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-27$220,000 Active
-
2021-03-02soldstatus
-
2021-03-01historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
-
2021-03-01soldstatus Sold 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
-
2021-02-08status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
-
2021-02-04status Option Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
-
2021-01-29$142,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to your new charming cozy home! This home features high ceilings in the living area, a large kitchen to make all your gourmet meals. Enjoy the comfort of being in a Cul-de-sac when you arrive home! Come see the beautiful primary bedroom and bath, amazing size game room, and plenty of space for you to decorate as you desire! This home has what you are looking for and it won't last long! Book your appointment today and see why this is the home for you!
-
2012-04-30historical
-
2011-11-04$99,000
-
2011-11-01historical
-
2011-05-02$99,000
-
2005-01-06soldstatus
-
1996-04-01soldstatus $59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,696 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,026 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- +$330/yr (+$28/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,696
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,849
- − Management
- −$1,849
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$4,408
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Channelview ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4813590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,320
- Composite
- 25.18/100
- National rank
- #7513
- State rank
- #640 of 826 in TX
Livability — Channelview
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #598
- US rank
- #11392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Channelview, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 31,527
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,527
- Household income
- $62,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 966.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 31% White 16% Black 9% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 37% English-only · Spanish 60% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.05%
- Current HPI
- 292.1862
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.85%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+267.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
- 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-03-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-03-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-02-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-02-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-01-29 Listed $142,000 HARMLS
- 2012-04-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-11-04 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2011-11-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2011-05-02 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,696 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…