7402 Charles St · Frederic, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for rental income or a place to call home? This home is listed at an affordable price with lots of protentional. Home features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Large shed and corner lot. Home does need some updates.
Key facts
- Boiler replaced
- Metal roof
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Crawford Ausable Schools (town): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 75 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $110k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.55%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $73,770
- Equity at exit
- $99,007
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.70×
- Total profit
- $206,171
- Equity at exit
- $213,512
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49733
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $432/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $250 | +0% $219 | +5% $188 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $131 | -5% $175 | +0% $219 | +5% $263 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $247 | base $219 | +0.5pp $191 | +1.0pp $162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 667-char remark
-
2026-05-31$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $432 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,062 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$630/yr (+$53/mo · 146.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$432
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crawford Ausable Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2611030
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,396
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #4086
- State rank
- #140 of 540 in MI
Livability — Frederic
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,910
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,042 people
- By 2030
- 12,520 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 11,292 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 10,157 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 8,338 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 6,765 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.5% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: -1.7pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+1.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.47%
- Current HPI
- 291.6348
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+181.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $109,900 FSBO.com
- 2025-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-12 Sold (MLS) $48,000 WWMLS
- 2021-03-12 Listed $45,000 WWMLS
- 2017-03-01 Sold (MLS) $39,000 WWMLS
- 2016-08-10 Listed $39,000 WWMLS
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $432 · -54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…