🏢 Co-op
4 Fordham Hill Oval Unit 8C · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$266,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to The York building, aka 4 Fordham Hill Oval. Fordham Hill is a well-maintained, gated cooperative community with a campus-like atmosphere situated in the heart of the Bronx. This gorgeous 2BR 1.5BA unit features modern kitchen & baths, beautiful wood parquet floors, open floor plan for a customizable living space and magnificent W/NW views of the Harlem River, Inwood/Upper Manhattan, Kingsbridge, S Riverdale, The Henry Hudson Bridge & the NJ Palisades. Residents are treated to a host of amenities that include 24hr security, on-site laundry room, garage parking at a discounted rate & all utilities + basic cable are included in the maintenance. Local attractions include The Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Van Cortlandt Park & Yankee Stadium, to name a few. Conveniently close to highways and all major public transportation, makes for a quick commute to Manhattan, NJ & all points north, south, east & west. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1950
- Listed 49 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Fordham Hill Owners Corp; HOA covers air conditioning, cable TV, electricity, gas, heat, hot water, sewer, trash, and water; Community amenities include fitness center, park, playground, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Off-street parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Electric service by Con-Edison; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry level: 8
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom (one of the rooms)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Breakfast bar; Chef's kitchen with galley layout; Open floorplan; Pantry; Primary bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Shared/common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $266k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $266k).
- Recommended offer: $258k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,058/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 9659% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.03%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.5% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $101,395
- Equity at exit
- $84,005
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.19×
- Total profit
- $312,305
- Equity at exit
- $106,550
Cash invested: $74,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10468
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,395
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$332 /mo · $3,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$852
- Net cashflow
- $1,367
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,500
- Closing costs
- $7,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 W 206th St Unit 1202E New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $6,250 | $6.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $3,938 | $3.48 | 21d | 3 | 1.02mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 1 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 19d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 2 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- cablesecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $266,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $266,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $266,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $266,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $266,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $266,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $266,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $266,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $266,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $266,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $266,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $266,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-30$266,000 Active
-
2026-04-27historical $266,000
-
2020-07-07soldstatus $265,000 Closed 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Welcome to The York building, aka 4 Fordham Hill Oval. Fordham Hill is a well-maintained, gated cooperative community with a campus-like atmosphere situated in the heart of the Bronx. This gorgeous 2BR 1.5BA unit features modern kitchen & baths, beautiful wood parquet floors, open floor plan for a customizable living space and magnificent W/NW views of the Harlem River, Inwood/Upper Manhattan, Kingsbridge, S Riverdale, The Henry Hudson Bridge & the NJ Palisades. Residents are treated to a host of amenities that include 24hr security, on-site laundry room, garage parking at a discounted rate & all utilities + basic cable are included in the maintenance. Local attractions include The Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Van Cortlandt Park & Yankee Stadium, to name a few. Conveniently close to highways and all major public transportation, makes for a quick commute to Manhattan, NJ & all points north, south, east & west. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2020-03-27status Pending 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Welcome to The York building, aka 4 Fordham Hill Oval. Fordham Hill is a well-maintained, gated cooperative community with a campus-like atmosphere situated in the heart of the Bronx. This gorgeous 2BR 1.5BA unit features modern kitchen & baths, beautiful wood parquet floors, open floor plan for a customizable living space and magnificent W/NW views of the Harlem River, Inwood/Upper Manhattan, Kingsbridge, S Riverdale, The Henry Hudson Bridge & the NJ Palisades. Residents are treated to a host of amenities that include 24hr security, on-site laundry room, garage parking at a discounted rate & all utilities + basic cable are included in the maintenance. Local attractions include The Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Van Cortlandt Park & Yankee Stadium, to name a few. Conveniently close to highways and all major public transportation, makes for a quick commute to Manhattan, NJ & all points north, south, east & west. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2020-02-12status Pending 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Welcome to The York building, aka 4 Fordham Hill Oval. Fordham Hill is a well-maintained, gated cooperative community with a campus-like atmosphere situated in the heart of the Bronx. This gorgeous 2BR 1.5BA unit features modern kitchen & baths, beautiful wood parquet floors, open floor plan for a customizable living space and magnificent W/NW views of the Harlem River, Inwood/Upper Manhattan, Kingsbridge, S Riverdale, The Henry Hudson Bridge & the NJ Palisades. Residents are treated to a host of amenities that include 24hr security, on-site laundry room, garage parking at a discounted rate & all utilities + basic cable are included in the maintenance. Local attractions include The Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Van Cortlandt Park & Yankee Stadium, to name a few. Conveniently close to highways and all major public transportation, makes for a quick commute to Manhattan, NJ & all points north, south, east & west. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2019-11-29$269,000 Active 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Welcome to The York building, aka 4 Fordham Hill Oval. Fordham Hill is a well-maintained, gated cooperative community with a campus-like atmosphere situated in the heart of the Bronx. This gorgeous 2BR 1.5BA unit features modern kitchen & baths, beautiful wood parquet floors, open floor plan for a customizable living space and magnificent W/NW views of the Harlem River, Inwood/Upper Manhattan, Kingsbridge, S Riverdale, The Henry Hudson Bridge & the NJ Palisades. Residents are treated to a host of amenities that include 24hr security, on-site laundry room, garage parking at a discounted rate & all utilities + basic cable are included in the maintenance. Local attractions include The Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Van Cortlandt Park & Yankee Stadium, to name a few. Conveniently close to highways and all major public transportation, makes for a quick commute to Manhattan, NJ & all points north, south, east & west. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,
-
2019-10-29historical
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2019-10-07price $265,000
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2019-07-29price $275,000
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2019-07-11$290,000 Active
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2014-12-01historical Expired
-
2014-11-30historical
-
2014-10-14price
-
2014-05-16Active
-
2014-05-14$150,000
-
2012-11-28historical
-
2012-11-28historical
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2012-05-28$169,000
-
2012-05-28
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,900
- − Property taxes
- −$3,990
- − Insurance
- −$1,330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,895
- − Management
- −$3,895
- − Depreciation
- −$7,738
- Taxable income
- $12,944
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,106
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,557
- Household income
- $46,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9659.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Black 17% Two or more races 15% White 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 69% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.50%
- Current HPI
- 249.8923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+57.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $266,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $266,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-07 Sold (MLS) $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-29 Listed $269,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-07 Price Changed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-29 Price Changed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-11 Listed $290,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-01 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2014-11-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-14 Price Changed — HGMLS
- 2014-05-16 Listed — HGMLS
- 2014-05-14 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-28 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2012-11-28 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-28 Listed — HGMLS
- 2012-05-28 Listed $169,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…