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1311 N Van Buren St
D+ Composite 49.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1311 N Van Buren St · Marion, IL 62959
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily · 46 Days on market
Built 2011 Good condition 0.53 ac lot $132/sqft · 37% above area Est $98k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity is knocking with this unique property offering TWO mobile homes situated across FIVE lots, providing extra space, flexibility, and investment potential. Whether you’re looking to live in one and rent the other, accommodate extended family, or expand your portfolio, this setup delivers. The first home features 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, along with a spacious kitchen complete with appliances that stay. You’ll appreciate the dedicated laundry room and the newer back deck. The second home offers a clean, modern feel with neutral gray tones throughout and an open-concept layout connecting the living and kitchen areas. This home includes 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, m

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Newer back deck
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMNEWER BACK DECKOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTDETACHED 1-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Double wide body type; One story (main level primary living) ; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Built in 2011; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Additional/extra lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Egress windows in bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable available; High-speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#896 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Marion CUSD 2 (urban): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #317 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Jr High School (math 16% / reading 31%, grade F, #371 of 665 statewide, top 56%, 726 students, 0% FRL); Marion High School (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #457 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 1,159 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $135k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $130,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.04%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,327
List price
$135,000
Delta
37.30%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1315 N Glendale St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,030 (+1%) 21mo $120,000 $117 64
908 N Johnson St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (+2%) 2mo $151,000 $146 60
1208 Morgan Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,032 (+1%) 6mo $70,000 $68 54
403 N Madison St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (+2%) 17mo $72,500 $70 40
603 N Logan St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 970 (-5%) 9mo $89,000 $92 39
907 N Garfield St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+10%) 14mo $64,980 $58 34
407 N Buchanan St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,139 (+12%) 6mo $50,000 $44 33
314 Red Row 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (+4%) 23mo $210,000 $199 33
1703 Beverly St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (+13%) 18mo $63,000 $55 32
106 E Stockton St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (+15%) 24mo $91,500 $78 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,380
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$54,453
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62959

Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $149,900 Active 979-char remark
  19. 2025-07-31
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,870 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$1,194/yr (+$100/mo · 176.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,309
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,305
− Management
−$1,305
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$206
After-tax cash flow
$2,831/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics. The property offers a unique opportunity with two homes on five lots, providing flexibility and investment potential.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and makes the property more inviting
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves the look and feel of the bathrooms

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and makes the property more inviting
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves the look and feel of the bathrooms

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion CUSD 2
NCES district ID
1724600
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,221
Composite
22.07/100
National rank
#8189
State rank
#317 of 620 in IL

Livability — Marion

Score
61/100
State rank
#896
US rank
#17434

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, IL
County
Williamson County · 38,451 people
City population
27,793
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
27,793
Household income
$71,063
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
763.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,553 people
By 2030
70,090 · +0.8%
By 2040
70,345 · +1.1%
By 2050
69,394 · -0.2%
By 2075
63,590 · -8.6%
By 2100
51,154 · -26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -38.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.8 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.41%
Current HPI
137.5955
Rent YoY
▲ 8.40%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $135,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $149,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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