Duplex
4004 E 8th Ave · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$590,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent 4plex conveniently located near JBER, two 3 beds unit upstairs and two units with 2 beds downstairs. Plenty of parking spaces as well as alley access.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- 8 parking spots
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 5-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $590k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $556k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $555k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,559/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1248% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($555k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.57%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $571,070
- List price
- $590,000
- Delta
- 3.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3940 E 9th Ave | 0.07mi | 10/4.0 | 3,568 (0%) | 11mo | $590,000 | $165 | 88 |
| 366 Flower St | 0.32mi | 10/4.0 | 3,568 (0%) | 8mo | $450,000 | $126 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-53,592
- Equity at exit
- $87,971
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $39,249
- Equity at exit
- $51,012
Cash invested: $165,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99508
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 17.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,559 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,094
- Tax from tax record
- −$560 /mo · $6,719/yr
- Insurance
- −$246
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,167
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $826 | -5% $659 | +0% $492 | +5% $325 | +10% $158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $272 | +0% $492 | +5% $711 | +10% $931 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $789 | -0.5pp $642 | base $492 | +0.5pp $339 | +1.0pp $183 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 5 | — | $5,560 |
| #1 | 5 | — | $2,780 |
| #2 | 5 | — | $2,780 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,559 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $147,500
- Closing costs
- $17,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $590,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $590,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $590,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $590,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $590,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $590,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $590,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $590,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $590,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $590,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-10$590,000 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Excellent 4plex conveniently located near JBER, two 3 beds unit upstairs and two units with 2 beds downstairs. Plenty of parking spaces as well as alley access.
-
2025-07-07soldstatus Closed 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Excellent owner-occupant 4plex conveniently located near the base. Long-term tenants & professionally managed. In the last 15 years: updated windows & Exterior paint. rin 2015, property went through weatherization program, adding new boiler & energy-efficient upgrades Plenty of parking; units lease quickly. Laundry machines leased (and Lease survives sale.)
-
2025-07-07soldstatus
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Excellent owner-occupant 4plex conveniently located near the base. Long-term tenants & professionally managed. In the last 15 years: updated windows & Exterior paint. rin 2015, property went through weatherization program, adding new boiler & energy-efficient upgrades Plenty of parking; units lease quickly. Laundry machines leased (and Lease survives sale.)
-
2025-05-11status Pending 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Excellent owner-occupant 4plex conveniently located near the base. Long-term tenants & professionally managed. In the last 15 years: updated windows & Exterior paint. rin 2015, property went through weatherization program, adding new boiler & energy-efficient upgrades Plenty of parking; units lease quickly. Laundry machines leased (and Lease survives sale.)
-
2025-05-05$535,000 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Excellent owner-occupant 4plex conveniently located near the base. Long-term tenants & professionally managed. In the last 15 years: updated windows & Exterior paint. rin 2015, property went through weatherization program, adding new boiler & energy-efficient upgrades Plenty of parking; units lease quickly. Laundry machines leased (and Lease survives sale.)
-
2018-11-21soldstatus
-
2018-04-19$475,000
-
2015-03-05soldstatus
-
2015-01-13$450,000
-
2014-07-22$450,000
-
2009-11-24soldstatus
-
2009-02-05$324,900
-
2008-07-03$350,000
-
2008-02-18$269,900
-
2007-10-26$299,500
-
2005-12-29soldstatus
-
2004-11-23soldstatus
-
2004-05-13$335,000
-
2001-04-17$224,900
-
1999-10-15soldstatus
-
1999-07-07$199,900
-
1995-03-17soldstatus
-
1994-10-06$168,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,719 · $560/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,870 · $572/mo
- Expected delta
- +$151/yr (+$13/mo · 2.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,049
- − Property taxes
- −$6,719
- − Insurance
- −$2,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,337
- − Management
- −$5,337
- − Depreciation
- −$17,164
- Taxable loss
- −$3,847
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$923
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,458
- Household income
- $79,314
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1248.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.82)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Two or more races 14% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 10% Pacific Islander 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.51%
- Current HPI
- 257.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+251.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $590,000 AKMLS
- 2025-07-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-07-07 Sold (MLS) — AKMLS
- 2025-05-11 Pending — AKMLS
- 2025-05-05 Listed $535,000 AKMLS
- 2018-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-19 Listed $475,000 AKMLS
- 2015-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-01-13 Listed $450,000 AKMLS
- 2014-07-22 Listed $450,000 AKMLS
- 2009-11-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-02-05 Listed $324,900 AKMLS
- 2008-07-03 Listed $350,000 AKMLS
- 2008-02-18 Listed $269,900 AKMLS
- 2007-10-26 Listed $299,500 AKMLS
- 2005-12-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-11-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-05-13 Listed $335,000 AKMLS
- 2001-04-17 Listed $224,900 AKMLS
- 1999-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-07-07 Listed $199,900 AKMLS
- 1995-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-10-06 Listed $168,000 AKMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,719 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…