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8111 Warwick St
C+ Composite 62.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

8111 Warwick St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 789 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1951 5,227 sqft lot $95/sqft · 46% above area Est $68k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Immediate cash flow
  • Easy access to i-96

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING OPPORTUNITYFUNCTIONAL KITCHENCOMFORTABLE BEDROOMSIMMEDIATE CASH FLOWPRIME LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO I-96

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,225/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.21%
Cash-on-cash
28.29%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,370
List price
$75,000
Delta
9.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8309 Brace St 0.23mi 3/1.5 864 (+10%) 1mo $28,500 $33 71
7756 Westwood St 0.25mi 3/1.0 871 (+10%) 2mo $90,000 $103 70
7313 Grandville Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 765 (-3%) 0mo $70,000 $92 66
8686 Artesian St 0.36mi 3/1.0 864 (+10%) 2mo $35,000 $41 66
7320 Westwood St 0.51mi 3/1.0 738 (-6%) 2mo $115,000 $156 64
8225 Grandville Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 906 (+15%) 2mo $36,500 $40 63
8863 Vaughan St 0.68mi 3/1.0 800 (+1%) 4mo $58,500 $73 63
9109 Stahelin Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (+6%) 3mo $25,000 $30 53
7282 Plainview Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 730 (-8%) 1mo $19,000 $26 53
8277 Stout St 0.63mi 3/1.0 879 (+11%) 0mo $45,000 $51 51
7280 Heyden St 0.74mi 2/1.5 (-1) 739 (-6%) 4mo $75,000 $101 44
8411 Fielding St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 693 (-12%) 1mo $47,000 $68 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$15,780
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$40,431
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,225 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $579/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $598
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $538 -5% $516 +0% $495 +5% $474 +10% $453
Rent -10% $398 -5% $447 +0% $495 +5% $544 +10% $592
Rate -1.0pp $533 -0.5pp $514 base $495 +0.5pp $476 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 44d 1 0.40mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 6d 1 0.45mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 44d 1 0.46mi
7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 0.52mi
8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,294 $1.22 6d 1 0.53mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 44d 1 0.56mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 44d 1 0.62mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 19d 1 0.63mi
20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 0.67mi
7411 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 888 $1,428 $1.61 13d 1 0.75mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 6d 1 0.88mi
19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 44d 1 0.91mi
6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,299 $1.35 17d 1 0.93mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 2d 15 0.96mi
8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 806 $1,528 $1.90 44d 1 1.00mi
9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,400 $1.43 44d 1 1.12mi
6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 25d 1 1.12mi
9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.13mi
20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.14mi
9410 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.14mi
20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.14mi
9404 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.15mi
20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.15mi
20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.15mi
20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.16mi
20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.17mi
20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.17mi
20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.31mi
20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.32mi
20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.33mi
9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.33mi
20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.33mi
7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 981 $1,150 $1.17 16d 1 1.35mi
5965 Evergreen Rd Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,350 $1.64 6d 1 1.44mi
5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 667 $1,540 $2.31 4d 10 1.46mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 25d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 682-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $75,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 296 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 295 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 292 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 291 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 287 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 286 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 283 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $75,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  16. 2026-05-12
    price $75,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  17. 2026-02-18
    price $80,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  18. 2026-02-18
    price $80,000 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  19. 2025-08-21
    listed $85,000 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  20. 2025-08-21
    listed $85,000 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit!!!! this well-maintained property w Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity

  21. 2021-06-09
    soldstatus $79,900
  22. 2016-03-31
    historical
  23. 2016-03-31
    historical
  24. 2016-03-01
    listed $10,000
  25. 2016-03-01
    listed $10,000
  26. 2016-01-01
    historical
  27. 2015-12-23
    historical
  28. 2015-08-05
    price $10,000
  29. 2015-08-02
    listed $18,000 Active
  30. 2015-07-16
    listed $10,000
  31. 2008-06-24
    soldstatus $7,500
  32. 2007-07-30
    listed $16,000
  33. 2007-07-27
    historical
  34. 2007-07-05
    historical
  35. 2007-05-07
    historical
  36. 2007-04-05
    listed $40,500
  37. 2007-04-05
    listed $44,900
  38. 2007-04-05
    listed $44,900
  39. 2007-04-04
    historical
  40. 2006-08-14
    listed $49,900
  41. 1994-03-29
    soldstatus $39,000
  42. 1993-08-19
    soldstatus $20,205

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$579 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$867 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$288/yr (+$24/mo · 49.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,703
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$579
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,176
− Management
−$1,176
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,203
After-tax cash flow
$4,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+271.2% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2016-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-12-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-05 Price Changed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-02 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-16 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-24 Sold (MLS) $7,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-30 Listed $16,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-05 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-05 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-05 Listed $40,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-14 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 1994-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1993-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,205 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $579 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…