2000 S Apache Rd #24 · Buckeye, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 115°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 1997 Schultz single-wide mobile home (16'x64') offering low-maintenance living on a fully landscaped, large corner lot. This 2-bed, 2-bath home on leased land features a functional layout, tile and carpet flooring, and a kitchen with light wood cabinetry, laminate counters, and an included refrigerator. Enjoy ultimate peace of mind with major, high-value upgrades: a new roof with a 30-year guarantee (9/2022), a new A/C unit (8/2023), and a complete copper re-pipe (6/2024). Additionally includes a massive 12'x50' Arizona room with a workshop, a covered patio, and a covered 2-car carport with additional driveway parking. Washer and dryer are also include
Key facts
- New a/c unit
- Large corner lot
- Fully landscaped
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA maintains grounds
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces; 1 open parking space
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Gravel/stone front and back; No fencing; Community pool; Playground; Fitness center
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (possible)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full bath in primary bedroom; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 3.1% in Buckeye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#53 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Buckeye Union High School District (4284) (town): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #129 of 249 in AZ (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Youngker High School (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #206 of 381 statewide, top 54%, 2,099 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 1196 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.71%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,915
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 S Apache Rd #395 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+4%) | 2mo | $72,900 | $79 | 86 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #383 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+8%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $73 | 67 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #276 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+4%) | 1mo | $63,500 | $69 | 66 |
| 24926 W Watkins St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+4%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $281 | 50 |
| 2000 S Apache Rd #225 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+8%) | 11mo | $104,000 | $108 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $25,692
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $62,142
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85326
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1196
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $725
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24485 W Yuma Rd Buckeye, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $1,688 | $1.55 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 24085 W Ripple Rd Unit B Buckeye, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,750 | $2.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 23683 W Yuma Rd Buckeye, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,518 | $1.47 | 1d | 30 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,679
- − Management
- −$1,679
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $7,644
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,835
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,867/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1997 Schultz single-wide mobile home is in good condition with recent major upgrades, including a new roof, A/C unit, and copper re-pipe. The property offers low-maintenance living on a fully landscaped, large corner lot with a covered patio and carport.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Replace the carpet in the living room — Improves comfort and aesthetics.
- Rental Clean the kitchen counters — Keeps the kitchen looking clean and inviting for potential tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Replace the carpet in the living room — Improves comfort and aesthetics. ↑
- Rental Clean the kitchen counters — Keeps the kitchen looking clean and inviting for potential tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buckeye Union High School District (4284)
- NCES district ID
- 0401410
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,182
- Composite
- 22.91/100
- National rank
- #7995
- State rank
- #129 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Buckeye
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #9428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buckeye, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 117,540
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,359
- Household income
- $89,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 661.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 38% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 32%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.00%
- Current HPI
- 286.9242
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $95,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…