7821 Rimbley Rd · Woodbury, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with garage door opener; 1-car garage (approx. 11 x 20, 7' door height)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential split entry (bi-level) home; Multiple levels
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt pitched roof (over 8 years old)
- Exterior features: Vinyl and wood exterior; Awning(s) and deck; Full chain link fence; Storage shed; Corner lot with light tree coverage; Public street frontage and public road maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Kitchen has an eat-in area
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (mix of upper and lower levels)
- Bathrooms: One full bath on the main floor; One 3/4 bath in the basement
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Main floor primary bedroom; Finished basement with egress window(s); Wood burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater; Water softener (owned); Humidifier
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $245k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Woodbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#6 in MN, #153 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- South Washington County School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #40 of 301 in MN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,405 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.80%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $431,878
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- -37.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-34,884
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-14,305
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55125
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,578/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8868 Meridian Way Woodbury, MN | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1868 | $3,032 | $1.62 | 1d | 2 | 0.20mi |
| 2150 Vining Dr Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1337 | $2,425 | $1.81 | 1d | 25 | 0.90mi |
| 7260 Guider Dr Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,779 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7255 Guider Dr Woodbury, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,557 | $2.53 | 1d | 17 | 1.01mi |
| 2497 Copper Cliff Trl Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $2,095 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8632 Savanna Oaks Bay Unit C Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,695 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3183 Juniper Ln Unit C Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,199 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 684-char remark
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2026-05-01$269,900 Active 684-char remark
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2026-04-25historical $269,900 684-char remark
-
2018-09-04soldstatus $229,000
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2018-08-30soldstatus $229,000 Sold 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-08-18status Pending 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-08-06historical Contingent - Inspection 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-07-20price $224,900 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-07-03price $229,900 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-06-10price $234,900 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
-
2018-06-01$239,900 Active 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Nice move-in ready 4 bed 2 bath home on a double lot which backs up to a park! Brand new roof and newer furnace. Kitchen with newer countertops, stainless-steel appliances and tiled backsplash. 2 FULL baths including a whirlpool tub! Large deck overlooks the park which has a playground, tennis & basketball courts. Sought after Woodbury schools: Royal Oaks Elementary, Woodbury Middle & High. Don't miss it!
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2004-09-02soldstatus $194,965
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2004-06-29soldstatus $202,000
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Just updated-new kit flr & paint! Sellers care & it shows. Perf. loc-dbl lot on pk w/tennis ct. Updates: furnace, siding, H20 heater, softnr, most applcs, roof & windows. Deck overlooks new patio area & pk. Newer storage shed. Fplc & whpl-best buy in Wby.
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2004-05-12historical
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Just updated-new kit flr & paint! Sellers care & it shows. Perf. loc-dbl lot on pk w/tennis ct. Updates: furnace, siding, H20 heater, softnr, most applcs, roof & windows. Deck overlooks new patio area & pk. Newer storage shed. Fplc & whpl-best buy in Wby.
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2004-05-07$205,000
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Just updated-new kit flr & paint! Sellers care & it shows. Perf. loc-dbl lot on pk w/tennis ct. Updates: furnace, siding, H20 heater, softnr, most applcs, roof & windows. Deck overlooks new patio area & pk. Newer storage shed. Fplc & whpl-best buy in Wby.
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2004-05-06historical
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2004-03-09$205,000
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1987-05-19soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,578 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,578 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$3,578
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,357
- − Management
- −$2,357
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$3,152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$756
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Washington County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733810
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,285
- Composite
- 51.8/100
- National rank
- #1670
- State rank
- #40 of 301 in MN
Livability — Woodbury
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #153
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodbury, MN
- County
- Washington County · 235,613 people
- City population
- 78,305
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,185
- Household income
- $119,260
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 278,554 people
- By 2030
- 290,465 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 310,014 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 324,118 · +16.4%
- By 2075
- 362,697 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 381,491 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.5% · R 44.6% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+9.2 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.03%
- Current HPI
- 241.9098
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+355.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Sold (MLS) $305,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Coming Soon $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $229,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-30 Sold (MLS) $229,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-18 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-06 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-20 Price Changed $224,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-03 Price Changed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-10 Price Changed $234,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-01 Listed $239,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $194,965 Public Records
- 2004-06-29 Sold (MLS) $202,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-07 Listed $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-06 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-09 Listed $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,578 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…