1882 Niagara Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305

$154,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,380 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1928 5,080 sqft lot Est $124k · 25% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

Key facts

• 2 family home
• Manageable yard
• Fully finished attic

Tags

• 2 FAMILY HOME
• FULLY FINISHED ATTIC
• IN UNIT LAUNDRY
• MAINTENANCE FREE EXTERIOR
• OFF LANE GARAGE
• MANAGEABLE YARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1×2bd/1.2ba + 1×3bd/1.2ba units multifamily listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $588/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $155k).
• Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,005/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $155k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $154,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.94% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.41%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.55%
• DSCR: 2.45
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $123,760
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1867 Michigan Ave	0.26mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,100 (-12%)	2mo	$87,000	$41	62
2488 Whitney Ave	0.58mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,384 (+0%)	4mo	$85,000	$36	61
2443 Pierce Ave	0.50mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,112 (-11%)	4mo	$120,000	$57	49
2455 La Salle Ave	0.63mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,152 (-10%)	3mo	$112,000	$52	48
2409 La Salle Ave	0.59mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,154 (-10%)	6mo	$185,000	$86	46
1110 Willow Ave	0.70mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,430 (+2%)	15mo	$115,000	$47	42
1010 Ontario Ave	0.74mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,242 (-6%)	14mo	$129,000	$58	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.15×
• Total profit: $49,963
• Equity at exit: $23,096

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.24×
• Total profit: $140,505
• Equity at exit: $13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14305

• Home prices YoY: -10.9%
• Active inventory: 142
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,005 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$812
• Tax from tax record: −$320 /mo · $3,846/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$631
• Net cashflow: $1,177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,516

Max offer price $154,900

Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,264	-5% $1,220	+0% $1,177	+5% $1,133	+10% $1,089
Rent	-10% $939	-5% $1,058	+0% $1,177	+5% $1,295	+10% $1,414
Rate	-1.0pp $1,255	-0.5pp $1,216	base $1,177	+0.5pp $1,136	+1.0pp $1,096

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
1× unit	2	1.2	$1,466
1× unit	3	1.2	$1,539
Total (2 units)			$3,005

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,725
• Closing costs: $4,647
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1312 Ontario Ave Niagara Falls, NY	2.0	1.0	1956	$1,200	$0.61	45d	1	0.45mi
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,500	$0.94	18d	1	0.68mi
3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY	4.0	1.5	1750	$2,200	$1.26	45d	1	1.08mi
1935 Niagara St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY	3.0	1.0	2685	$1,200	$0.45	15d	1	1.36mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-04-06
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-25
   listed $154,900 Active
3. 2023-08-09
   soldstatus $60,000 Closed Sale or Rented 433-char remark

   Show marketing remark (433 chars)

   GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

4. 2023-05-18
   status Pending Sale 433-char remark

   Show marketing remark (433 chars)

   GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

5. 2023-04-28
   status Under Contract- Do Not Show 433-char remark

   Show marketing remark (433 chars)

   GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

6. 2023-04-25
   price $60,000 433-char remark

   Show marketing remark (433 chars)

   GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

7. 2022-11-22
   listed $79,900 Active 433-char remark

   Show marketing remark (433 chars)

   GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR EITHER AN OWNER OCCUPANT OR INVESTOR. This moneymaker, a solid large double (in need of refreshing), has loads of potential! Maintenance free exterior, a wonderful upper apartment on two floors and a lower unit which is rented. There's a garage out back off the lane. The yard is fenced and it's close to the shopping district! See it! Buy it! The price has already been adjusted to allow for your improvements!

8. 2022-11-20
   historical
9. 2022-10-19
   price $79,900
10. 2022-07-11
    status Active
11. 2022-06-30
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
12. 2022-05-18
    listed $89,900 Active
13. 2015-01-30
    soldstatus $60,000
14. 2014-09-16
    soldstatus $42,000
15. 2014-07-28
    soldstatus $22,000
16. 2014-07-17
    soldstatus $22,000
17. 2014-03-11
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,846 · $320/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,846 · $320/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,060
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,677
• − Property taxes: −$3,846
• − Insurance: −$774
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,885
• − Management: −$2,885
• − Depreciation: −$4,506
• Taxable income: $12,487
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,997
• After-tax cash flow: $11,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Niagara Falls City School District
• NCES district ID: 3620820
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $32,488
• Composite: 24.5/100
• National rank: #7655
• State rank: #578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #956
• US rank: #18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Niagara Falls, NY
• County: Niagara County · 157,377 people
• City population: 62,983
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• Population (ZIP): 16,696
• Household income: $51,004
• Rent vs Own: 38.4% rent · 61.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 204,149 people
• By 2030: 197,900 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 182,239 · -10.7%
• By 2050: 165,198 · -19.1%
• By 2075: 129,416 · -36.6%
• By 2100: 96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

• 2024 margin: R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -43.08%
• Current HPI: 350.8741
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+418.1% since first listed

17 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-06 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2026-03-25 Listed $154,900 WNYREIS
• 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $60,000 WNYREIS
• 2023-05-18 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2023-04-28 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2023-04-25 Price Changed $60,000 WNYREIS
• 2022-11-22 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS
• 2022-11-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
• 2022-10-19 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
• 2022-07-11 Relisted — WNYREIS
• 2022-06-30 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2022-05-18 Listed $89,900 WNYREIS
• 2015-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 2014-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
• 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $22,000 WNYREIS
• 2014-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
• 2014-03-11 Listed $29,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,846 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.