2480 Frost Dr · Aurora, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $363 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four-unit building
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $331; Master association fee of $388 charged yearly; Association covers exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single property; Townhouse with two stories; Entry level is 1; Fee-simple ownership with a homeowners association
- Construction: Built approximately 26–30 years ago; Aluminum, vinyl, and steel siding
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot dimensions listed (18396)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level measuring 11 x 12
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the second level measuring 13 x 12 with a full bath; Second bedroom on the second level measuring 10 x 10; Two additional bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Living room on the main level measuring 16 x 13; Family room; Dining room on the main level measuring 10 x 10
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the second level measuring 6 x 6
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (30.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Wolfs Crossing Elem School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 2,056 statewide, top 18%, 485 students, 0% FRL); Bednarcik Junior High School (math 39% / reading 38%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.41%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $284,308
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2513 Dickens Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-11%) | 3mo | $257,000 | $229 | 73 |
| 2413 Dickens Dr #0 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-11%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $231 | 72 |
| 2552 Dickens Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-11%) | 7mo | $253,000 | $226 | 72 |
| 2544 Dickens Dr #2544 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-9%) | 16mo | $258,000 | $224 | 69 |
| 2584 Dickens Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 | 1,116 (-11%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $237 | 68 |
| 2482 Frost Dr #2482 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-9%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $213 | 67 |
| 2473 Dickens Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-11%) | 11mo | $257,500 | $230 | 65 |
| 2509 Dickens Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (+10%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 2583 Dickens Ct #2583 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-9%) | 20mo | $254,900 | $222 | 62 |
| 2462 Frost Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-11%) | 21mo | $253,000 | $226 | 61 |
| 2411 Dickens Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,366 (+9%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $198 | 60 |
| 2487 Dickens Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 | 1,384 (+10%) | 23mo | $258,000 | $186 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $119,762
- Equity at exit
- $247,652
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $377,117
- Equity at exit
- $534,070
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60503
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$438 /mo · $5,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$363
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $-475
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-320 | -5% $-398 | +0% $-475 | +5% $-553 | +10% $-631 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-663 | -5% $-569 | +0% $-475 | +5% $-381 | +10% $-287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-337 | -0.5pp $-405 | base $-475 | +0.5pp $-547 | +1.0pp $-619 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2552 Dickens Dr Unit 2552 Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,150 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2554 Dickens Dr Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1116 | $2,050 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2454 Frost Dr Unit 2454 Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2565 Dickens Ct Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1116 | $2,300 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2503 Dickens Dr #2503 Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,050 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2873 Carlsbad Cir Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $2,990 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 260 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $2,400 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $2,400 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2000 Emblem Cir Oswego, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,362 | $2.45 | 0d | 31 | 0.88mi |
| 2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $2,595 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1482 | $2,395 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1482 | $2,300 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1627 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4462 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $3,400 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1588 | $2,795 | $1.76 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,850 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1588 | $2,795 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4475 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1555 | $3,100 | $1.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 246 Cooney Way Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $2,800 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4444 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $3,300 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4444 Monroe Ct Unit 4444 Naperville, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $3,300 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2909 Madison Dr Naperville, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $3,095 | $1.74 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2923 Madison Dr Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,550 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2933 Madison Dr Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $3,000 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2995 Madison Dr Naperville, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1793 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1315 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,999 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,999 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 616 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $363 · $4,356/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $274,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13$274,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,256 · $438/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,748 · $479/mo
- Expected delta
- +$492/yr (+$41/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$5,256
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,287
- − Management
- −$2,287
- − HOA
- −$4,356
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$10,371
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 308
- NCES district ID
- 1730270
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,945
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6028
- State rank
- #179 of 620 in IL
Livability — Aurora
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #4272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurora, IL
- County
- Will County · 412,448 people
- City population
- 186,692
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,789
- Household income
- $136,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19.0
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.31%
- Current HPI
- 232.382
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $274,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $5,256 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…