1403 Clark St · Bryan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New construction 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a dedicated study, offering additional flexibility for a home office or multipurpose space. Thoughtfully designed with a functional layout, modern finishes, and comfortable living areas. See private remarks to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- 5,502 sq ft lot
- Built 2024
- Listed 59 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $257k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities C-.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.00%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,833
- List price
- $264,900
- Delta
- -7.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3436 Omaha Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (+11%) | 9mo | $348,000 | $214 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-11,496
- Equity at exit
- $39,497
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $30,318
- Equity at exit
- $22,904
Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77808
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,753 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,389
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,171/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $644 | -5% $569 | +0% $494 | +5% $419 | +10% $344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $386 | +0% $494 | +5% $603 | +10% $712 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $628 | -0.5pp $562 | base $494 | +0.5pp $426 | +1.0pp $356 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,225
- Closing costs
- $7,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3185 Normandy Way Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1002 Venice Dr Unit 1328054P Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $4,430 | $3.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2131 Naples Way Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $264,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $264,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $264,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $264,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $264,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $264,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $264,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $264,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $264,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $264,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $264,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $264,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $264,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$264,900 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
New construction 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a dedicated study, offering additional flexibility for a home office or multipurpose space. Thoughtfully designed with a functional layout, modern finishes, and comfortable living areas. See private remarks to schedule a showing.
-
2025-11-13price $264,900
-
2025-07-15price $269,900
-
2025-05-12price $274,900
-
2025-04-17$285,000 Active
-
2024-04-02soldstatus
-
2024-02-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,171 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,848 · $404/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,677/yr (+$223/mo · 123.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,839
- − Property taxes
- −$2,171
- − Insurance
- −$1,324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,643
- − Management
- −$2,643
- − Depreciation
- −$7,706
- Taxable income
- $1,708
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$410
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,797
- Household income
- $113,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 110.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.49%
- Current HPI
- 216.65
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $264,900 BCSRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $264,900 BCSRMLS
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $269,900 BCSRMLS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $274,900 BCSRMLS
- 2025-04-17 Listed $285,000 BCSRMLS
- 2024-04-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,171 · +45.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…