404 Capitol Pkwy · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Unique flex space
- Open-feel kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $661 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $96k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.44%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,754
- List price
- $95,600
- Delta
- 92.15%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344 Arthur St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 933 (-5%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $54 | 65 |
| 2414 Chapman St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (+5%) | 4mo | $39,000 | $38 | 62 |
| 2405 Palmetto St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (+3%) | 13mo | $73,500 | $73 | 59 |
| 321 Ryan St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,042 (+6%) | 16mo | $47,000 | $45 | 52 |
| 405 E Shawnee Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (+2%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $40 | 49 |
| 420 Calloway St | 0.47mi | 2/0.5 (-1) | 935 (-5%) | 20mo | $30,000 | $32 | 47 |
| 2518 Poplar St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+9%) | 23mo | $27,000 | $25 | 36 |
| 1728 Winona Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,073 (+10%) | 23mo | $113,000 | $105 | 33 |
| 1423 Madison Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+14%) | 19mo | $55,000 | $49 | 32 |
| 1224 Ryan St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 841 (-14%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $48 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $4,425
- Equity at exit
- $14,254
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $36,233
- Equity at exit
- $8,266
Cash invested: $26,768 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$501
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $458/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $304 | +0% $277 | +5% $250 | +10% $223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $192 | -5% $235 | +0% $277 | +5% $320 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $302 | base $277 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $227 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,900
- Closing costs
- $2,868
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $950 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1415 Madison Ave Apt E Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,095 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $625 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 424 N California St Apt D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $778 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $895 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $725 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2205 E 5th St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $800 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2454 Spruce Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 319 Olivia Ct Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $700 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $825 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1347 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 301 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $935 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1343 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $850 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 671 S Perry St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 525 | $1,725 | $3.29 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 432 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 80 Turner Pl Unit 14 Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $750 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2727 Boultier St Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,582 | $1.48 | 15d | 3 | 1.46mi |
| 1814 Pinecrest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $990 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2006 Harmon St Unit 3 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $500 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,600 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,600 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,600 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,600 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,600 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,600 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,600 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,600 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,600 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,600 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,600 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,600 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,600 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,600 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,600 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,600 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $95,600 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.
-
2026-02-17$105,000 Active 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.
-
2013-09-26$92,000
-
2005-09-09soldstatus $62,600
-
2004-06-19$66,000
-
1999-01-18$62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,355
- − Property taxes
- −$458
- − Insurance
- −$478
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$2,781
- Taxable income
- $1,859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$446
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+53.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $95,600 MAAR
- 2026-02-17 Listed $105,000 MAAR
- 2013-09-26 Listed $92,000 MAAR
- 2005-09-09 Sold (MLS) $62,600 MAAR
- 2004-06-19 Listed $66,000 MAAR
- 1999-01-18 Listed $62,500 MAAR
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $458 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…