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404 Capitol Pkwy
C+ Composite 61.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,600

404 Capitol Pkwy · Montgomery, AL 36107
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1928 7,405 sqft lot $98/sqft · 92% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Unique flex space
  • Open-feel kitchen

Tags

MOVE-IN READYUNIQUE FLEX SPACEOPEN-FEEL KITCHENLARGE LIVING ROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $661 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $96k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,128 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.44%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,754
List price
$95,600
Delta
92.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
344 Arthur St 0.19mi 3/1.0 933 (-5%) 22mo $50,000 $54 65
2414 Chapman St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (+5%) 4mo $39,000 $38 62
2405 Palmetto St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,008 (+3%) 13mo $73,500 $73 59
321 Ryan St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,042 (+6%) 16mo $47,000 $45 52
405 E Shawnee Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 999 (+2%) 16mo $40,000 $40 49
420 Calloway St 0.47mi 2/0.5 (-1) 935 (-5%) 20mo $30,000 $32 47
2518 Poplar St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+9%) 23mo $27,000 $25 36
1728 Winona Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,073 (+10%) 23mo $113,000 $105 33
1423 Madison Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,118 (+14%) 19mo $55,000 $49 32
1224 Ryan St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 841 (-14%) 12mo $40,000 $48 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,425
Equity at exit
$14,254
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$36,233
Equity at exit
$8,266

Cash invested: $26,768 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36107

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$501
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $458/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $95,600
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $304 +0% $277 +5% $250 +10% $223
Rent -10% $192 -5% $235 +0% $277 +5% $320 +10% $363
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $302 base $277 +0.5pp $253 +1.0pp $227

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,900
Closing costs
$2,868
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1106 $950 $0.86 45d 1 0.35mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 45d 1 0.41mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 15d 1 0.41mi
1415 Madison Ave Apt E Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 825 $1,095 $1.33 15d 1 0.52mi
2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $625 $0.57 45d 1 0.75mi
424 N California St Apt D Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $778 $0.92 22d 1 0.83mi
517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 45d 1 0.90mi
2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 889 $895 $1.01 45d 1 0.90mi
2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1052 $725 $0.69 45d 1 0.93mi
2205 E 5th St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1020 $800 $0.78 45d 1 0.93mi
2454 Spruce Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 45d 1 0.95mi
319 Olivia Ct Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $700 $0.82 22d 1 1.00mi
311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1104 $825 $0.75 45d 1 1.04mi
1347 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 15d 1 1.05mi
301 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 841 $935 $1.11 15d 1 1.05mi
1343 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 15d 1 1.05mi
122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $975 $0.89 22d 1 1.10mi
7 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 961 $850 $0.88 45d 1 1.24mi
671 S Perry St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0–2.0 525 $1,725 $3.29 22d 1 1.32mi
432 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 15d 1 1.43mi
80 Turner Pl Unit 14 Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 620 $750 $1.21 45d 1 1.45mi
2727 Boultier St Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,582 $1.48 15d 3 1.46mi
1814 Pinecrest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $990 $0.94 45d 1 1.48mi
2006 Harmon St Unit 3 Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 800 $500 $0.62 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,600 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,600 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,600 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,600 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,600 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,600 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,600 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,600 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,600 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,600 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,600 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,600 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,600 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,600 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,600 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,600 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-04-08
    price $95,600 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.

  18. 2026-02-17
    listed $105,000 Active 892-char remark
    Show marketing remark (892 chars)

    A Great Value-Add Opportunity Near Downtown Montgomery. Move-In Ready And Marvelous, 404 S Capitol Pkwy Presents 2 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, And An Extremely Functional Floor Plan For An Enhanced Living Experience! A Unique Flex Space Adjacent To Bedroom 2 Can Clone As A 3rd Bedroom Or Office Space. The Open-Feel Kitchen And Breakfast Spaces Are Excellent Sightlines To Your Large Living Room! Whether You're A First Time Buyer, Or In the Market For Rental Property To Add To Or Begin Your Property Portfolio, This Is Your Deal! * * This Property Can Also Be Purchased Along With 122 S Capitol Ave, 2040 McKinley Ave, 2106 Capitol Ave, 2134 Winona Ave, 218 N Lewis St, And 690 Ponce De Leon Ave-All Or In Part At A Portfolio Package Price Of $800,000. * * Conveniently Located Near Some Of The Best Dining And Entertainment Downtown Montgomery Has To Offer. Please Verify Any Pertinent Info.

  19. 2013-09-26
    listed $92,000
  20. 2005-09-09
    soldstatus $62,600
  21. 2004-06-19
    listed $66,000
  22. 1999-01-18
    listed $62,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$458 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$458 · $38/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,013
− Mortgage interest
−$5,355
− Property taxes
−$458
− Insurance
−$478
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$2,781
Taxable income
$1,859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$446
After-tax cash flow
$2,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,001
Household income
$32,492
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
642.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.16%
Current HPI
147.8065
Rent YoY
▲ 5.05%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $95,600 MAAR
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $105,000 MAAR
  • 2013-09-26 Listed $92,000 MAAR
  • 2005-09-09 Sold (MLS) $62,600 MAAR
  • 2004-06-19 Listed $66,000 MAAR
  • 1999-01-18 Listed $62,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $458 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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