1823 Covert Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home with basement - Investor Special! This property offers a great opportunity for investors looking to renovate and add value. Featuring a full basement with potential for additional living space or storage. Bring your vision and transform this property into a profitable investment. Don't miss out on this opportunity to expand your portfolio! Sold as-is.
Key facts
- New roof
- Hardwood floors
- 8,004 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listed by Key Associates of Rockport IN
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story; Zoned R-1 One-Family Residence; Located in the Southside Park subdivision
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Level lot; Lot approximately 58 x 138 (0.18 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Level lot
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lodge Community School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #859 of 994 statewide, top 87%, 382 students, 85% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 50% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.26%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,984
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 Ravenswood Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-2%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $93 | 84 |
| 1615 Ravenswood Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 805 (+5%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $124 | 83 |
| 1407 Waggoner Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (+1%) | 2mo | $94,500 | $122 | 81 |
| 1505 Jackson Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+2%) | 4mo | $38,750 | $50 | 79 |
| 1909 Taylor Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-9%) | 3mo | $96,000 | $138 | 74 |
| 2202 Ravenswood Dr | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-5%) | 3mo | $118,450 | $163 | 70 |
| 1119 Brookside Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-6%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $148 | 66 |
| 2020 E Blackford Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+9%) | 3mo | $138,500 | $165 | 52 |
| 1315 Marshall Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 659 (-14%) | 1mo | $82,500 | $125 | 52 |
| 1203 Lodge Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+12%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $69 | 47 |
| 1801 E Powell Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+15%) | 1mo | $168,500 | $191 | 46 |
| 2229 Margybeth Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-12%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $147 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $16,697
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $67,538
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47714
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,046 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,193/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $348
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $386 | -5% $367 | +0% $348 | +5% $329 | +10% $310 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $265 | -5% $307 | +0% $348 | +5% $389 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $365 | base $348 | +0.5pp $331 | +1.0pp $313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1505 Jackson Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $995 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1909 Plantation Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $700 | $0.90 | 22d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,035 | $0.90 | 22d | 8 | 0.42mi |
| 1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $900 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2210-104 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $785 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2270-318 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $900 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2232 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2501 Pollack Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,080 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1021 Jefferson Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $795 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 900 S Saint James Blvd Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1604 Marbo Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 715 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $895 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1290 Hatfield Dr Unit 1266 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1290 Hatfield Dr Unit 1150 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $775 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1290 Hatfield Dr Unit 1330 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $697 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1290 Hatfield Dr Unit 1378 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $775 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2818 S Villa Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,295 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 210 S Weinbach Ave Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1320 Lee Ct Evansville, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1007 | $1,032 | $1.03 | 14d | 36 | 1.45mi |
| 3700 Justus Ct Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $975 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $67,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $67,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 172-char remark
-
2026-06-07$67,000 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,193 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,193 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$1,193
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,005
- − Management
- −$1,005
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $3,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$796
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,132
- Household income
- $55,910
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1394.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.80%
- Current HPI
- 211.1755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.86%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-16.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $67,000 IRMLS
- 2024-11-22 Sold (MLS) $54,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-31 Pending — IRMLS
- 2024-07-11 Price Changed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2024-06-28 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2024-06-16 Pending — IRMLS
- 2024-06-11 Price Changed $70,000 IRMLS
- 2024-06-04 Listed $80,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,193 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…