Duplex
3251 N 44th St Unit 3251A · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
Key facts
- Formal dinning room
- Manageable back yard
- Extra room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $223/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,138/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 2202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.62%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,403
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- 22.88%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3024 N 44th St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (+4%) | 1mo | $120,775 | $60 | 80 |
| 3148 N 39th St #3150 | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,044 (+6%) | 2mo | $128,888 | $63 | 71 |
| 3166 N 39th St #3168 | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,064 (+7%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 3287 N 49th St #3289 | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,710 (-11%) | 3mo | $181,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 3125 N 48th St #3127 | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 2,213 (+15%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $140 | 58 |
| 3259 N 35th St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,773 (-8%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $104 | 57 |
| 3260 N 34th St Unit 3260A | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,776 (-8%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $48 | 54 |
| 3068 N 34th St Unit 3068A | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,087 (+8%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 2838 N 40th St #2840 | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,202 (+14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $30 | 47 |
| 2866 N 52nd St #2868 | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,215 (+15%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $116 | 43 |
| 3233 W Auer Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,657 (-14%) | 1mo | $78,500 | $47 | 42 |
| 5601 W Brooklyn Pl | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,186 (+13%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $142 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $43,669
- Equity at exit
- $64,508
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $152,129
- Equity at exit
- $88,170
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53216
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 14.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $570 | -5% $508 | +0% $446 | +5% $384 | +10% $321 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $361 | +0% $446 | +5% $530 | +10% $615 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $536 | -0.5pp $492 | base $446 | +0.5pp $399 | +1.0pp $352 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,138 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,069 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,069 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,138 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2629 N 50th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,375 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2438 N 51st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2409 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,248 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2137 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2432 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1876 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4079 N 63rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-02status $179,900 Pending 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-24$179,900 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
-
2026-01-01historical 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
-
2025-09-22price $189,900 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
-
2025-09-04price $194,900 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
-
2025-08-18$199,900 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Nice 2/2 craftsmen / Bungalow style 2/2 duplex located north of Burleigh. This property has a lower unit with formal dinning room and all the old world charm you would expect. Long term residents. Manageable back yard and garage with extra room. New roof, porches, railings, upper level siding, and windows. Easy choice to make this one yours.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,052
- − Management
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $2,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$634
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This 2/2 duplex has a fair exterior with some weathered siding and overgrown landscaping. A moderate rehab is needed to paint the exterior and trim the landscaping to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown grass
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown grass | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,345
- Household income
- $46,752
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 381.0954
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-10.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $179,900 METROMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $189,900 METROMLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $194,900 METROMLS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $199,900 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…