111 6th St NW · Rochester, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$221,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
Key facts
- 6,272 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1888
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $222k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.5% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#1 in MN, #27 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+.
- Rochester Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #152 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: John Marshall Senior High (math 37% / reading 58%, grade D, #162 of 471 statewide, top 35%, 1,573 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 509 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,267 units permitted in Olmsted County in 2024 (915 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Olmsted County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $121k; list at $222k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.78%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $16,922
- Equity at exit
- $33,026
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $76,133
- Equity at exit
- $19,151
Cash invested: $62,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55901
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,162
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$615
- Net cashflow
- $867
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,375
- Closing costs
- $6,645
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449 E Center St Rochester, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1165 | $3,795 | $3.26 | 13d | 40 | 0.60mi |
| 970 11th Ave NW Rochester, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,734 | $1.82 | 13d | 6 | 0.67mi |
| 950 11th Ave NW Rochester, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,695 | $1.38 | 13d | 8 | 0.70mi |
| 705 1st Ave SW Rochester, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1135 | $3,875 | $3.41 | 13d | 91 | 1.00mi |
| 1617 4th St NW Rochester, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,135 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 217 14th Ave SW Rochester, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1389 | $4,126 | $2.97 | 13d | 35 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-25status Active
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $221,500
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-21$235,000 Active
-
2026-03-20historical $235,000
-
2015-06-24soldstatus $121,000
-
2008-06-18soldstatus $75,000
-
2008-05-29soldstatus $75,000 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
-
2008-05-29soldstatus $75,000 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
-
2008-04-29historical 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
-
2008-02-27$79,900 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
-
2008-02-27$79,900 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Great starter home, walking distance to Mayo Clinic, new windows, new flooring, freshly painted interior, water heater, furnace, appliances 5 yrs old, large garage for storage.
-
1988-04-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,332 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,406 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$74/yr (+$6/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,407
- − Property taxes
- −$2,332
- − Insurance
- −$1,108
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,813
- − Management
- −$2,813
- − Depreciation
- −$6,444
- Taxable income
- $7,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,740
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,664/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2731800
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,540
- Composite
- 40.6/100
- National rank
- #3695
- State rank
- #152 of 301 in MN
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #27
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, MN
- County
- Olmsted County · 135,035 people
- City population
- 135,035
- Metro
- Rochester, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,495
- Household income
- $94,607
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1651.0
Population outlook (Olmsted County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,999 people
- By 2030
- 172,425 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 183,785 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 192,981 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 215,284 · +29.7%
- By 2100
- 224,887 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 12% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Olmsted
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.7) · D 54.3% · R 43.6% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 10.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.7 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+0.8 2012: D+3.2 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.08%
- Current HPI
- 253.7999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Metro
- Rochester, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+482.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $221,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Listed $235,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $235,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2008-05-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-27 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-27 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,332 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…