511 Towerglen Dr · Princeton, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$272,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 21200560 - Built by Trophy Signature Homes - Ready Now! ~ The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There’s plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
Key facts
- Primary suite
- Gourmet kitchen
- Airy great room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $273k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Princeton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#969 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mckinney ISD (suburban): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #72 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 2125 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.86%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,490
- List price
- $272,990
- Delta
- -3.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 Towerglen Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,335 (0%) | 1mo | $269,990 | $202 | 97 |
| 513 Towerglen Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+13%) | 1mo | $274,990 | $183 | 78 |
| 804 Hadley Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+4%) | 3mo | $279,990 | $201 | 77 |
| 516 Towerglen Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+13%) | 1mo | $277,490 | $185 | 77 |
| 506 Towerglen Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,503 (+13%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $186 | 76 |
| 603 Green Grass Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+13%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $186 | 75 |
| 715 Dotty Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-1%) | 2mo | $276,097 | $209 | 70 |
| 707 Dotty Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-1%) | 3mo | $277,257 | $210 | 70 |
| 803 Dotty Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-1%) | 3mo | $275,736 | $209 | 70 |
| 1130 Old Stead Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-1%) | 0mo | $285,397 | $217 | 64 |
| 810 Leavenworth Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (+15%) | 3mo | $273,860 | $179 | 48 |
| 709 Dotty Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (+15%) | 3mo | $281,280 | $183 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-58,502
- Equity at exit
- $40,704
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-86,653
- Equity at exit
- $23,603
Cash invested: $76,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75071
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 2125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,324 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,432
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$68
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,248
- Closing costs
- $8,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 Towerglen Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 519 Green Grass Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 514 Green Grass Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 607 Clover Creek Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 11d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 610 Clover Creek Dr Unit 610 McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $2,250 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 600 Clover Creek Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 1d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 704 Summerberry Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,700 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 421 Bertney Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 114 Mountain Meadow Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 108 Mountain Meadow Ln McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4330 FM 75 Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1004 Knox River Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,999 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1004 Knox River Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,999 | $1.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 808 Leavenworth Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $3,300 | $2.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4908 Pebblewood Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,595 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 715 Dotty Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 206 Goosewood Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1209 Bridgewalk Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1209 Bridgewalk Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,350 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1211 Bridgewalk Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3906 Walmer WAY McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,950 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 519 Ridgedale DR McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,098 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 106 Travine Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 205 Travine Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 206 Berkshire Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,999 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4005 High Valley Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 517 River Ridge Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 501 Green Gables Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 405 Green Gables Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 503 Dorothy Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 501 Dorothy Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3407 Copperwood Dr McKinney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $68 · $816/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07price $270,990 719-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There's plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
-
2026-05-07price $270,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There's plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
-
2026-04-17price $269,990 719-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There's plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
-
2026-04-17price $269,990 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There's plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
-
2026-03-06$274,990 Active 719-char remark
Show marketing remark (719 chars)
MLS# 21200560 - Built by Trophy Signature Homes - Ready Now! ~ The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There’s plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
-
2026-03-05$274,990 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
The birch tree represents new beginnings and what better place to start anew than with a floor plan bearing the same name? Invite new neighbors over for a housewarming party featuring stuffed mushrooms. The secret ingredient is the gourmet kitchen you used to make them in. There's plenty of room to entertain in the airy great room, but with the patio door open, guests can enjoy fresh air. When conversation turns to work, take them to see the bedroom you converted into a home office. The spacious closet is perfect for storing supplies. After the party, snuggle with your spouse in the lovely primary suite. You made some great new friends today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,894
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,292
- − Property taxes
- −$4,095
- − Insurance
- −$1,365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,232
- − Management
- −$2,232
- − HOA
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$7,942
- Taxable loss
- −$6,078
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,459
- After-tax cash flow
- $40/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor updates to the exterior and interior could further enhance its appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and appearance
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckinney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829850
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,283
- Composite
- 50.46/100
- National rank
- #1862
- State rank
- #72 of 826 in TX
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #969
- US rank
- #17215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 34,171
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,964
- Household income
- $132,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.92%
- Current HPI
- 254.4946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.15%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-1.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $270,990 NTREIS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $270,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $269,990 NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $269,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-06 Listed $274,990 NTREIS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $274,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…