🏷️ Likely Rental
403 Ave S · Marble Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN SPECIAL * * * * $500 Off 1st Month's Rent Move in Special * * * * Available Now! Located in Marble Falls, just minutes from the city park and Marble Falls Elementary, this well-maintained home features vinyl plank flooring throughout and vaulted ceilings that create a bright, open feel. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, a double sink, electric range, vent hood, dishwasher, and generous counter space. The bathroom includes a full tub/shower combo with updated vanity and lighting. Spacious living area with ceiling fan and natural light. Includes full-size washer connections and a functional layout in a convenient location close to schools and amenities.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1998
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Duplex (residential income)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built on slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Has cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a multifamily listed at $1k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $1k).
- Recommended offer: $1k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 2494.7% vs local median 3.8% in Marble Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Marble Falls ISD (town): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #511 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marble Falls El (math 41% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 570 students, 70% FRL); Marble Falls Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 911 students, 67% FRL); Marble Falls H S (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,145 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 764 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,897/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 354% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $308 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($1k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 263.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2494.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8887.12%
- DSCR
- 396.43
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 444.69×
- Total profit
- $136,655
- Equity at exit
- $164
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 888.78×
- Total profit
- $273,435
- Equity at exit
- $95
Cash invested: $308 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78654
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 764
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,897 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $16/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$608
- Net cashflow
- $2,281
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,282 | -5% $2,281 | +0% $2,281 | +5% $2,281 | +10% $2,280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,052 | -5% $2,167 | +0% $2,281 | +5% $2,395 | +10% $2,510 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,282 | -0.5pp $2,281 | base $2,281 | +0.5pp $2,281 | +1.0pp $2,280 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,898 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,449 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,449 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,897 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275
- Closing costs
- $33
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Avenue P Unit A Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 16d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 305 S Avenue S Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,525 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 301 Firestone Dr Meadowlakes, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2101 | $2,700 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 125 Dove Ln Meadowlakes, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,300 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 435 Saint Andrews St Meadowlakes, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 725 Claremont Pkwy Unit A Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1402 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 719 Claremont Pkwy Unit A Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1368 | $1,645 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 702 Claremont Pkwy Unit B Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2003 Bluebonnet Dr Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,550 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 255 Braeburn Cir Meadowlakes, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1511 N Claremont Cir Unit A Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 413 Olympia Fields St Meadowlakes, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 911 Barrier Ln Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,295 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 342 Columbine St Meadowlakes, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,195 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,100 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,100 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,100 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,100 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,100 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,100 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,100 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,100 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,100 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,100 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,100 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,100 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,100 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,100 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,100 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$1,100 Active 680-char remark
-
2026-05-01soldstatus Closed 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
MOVE IN SPECIAL * * * * $500 Off 1st Month's Rent Move in Special * * * * Available Now! Located in Marble Falls, just minutes from the city park and Marble Falls Elementary, this well-maintained home features vinyl plank flooring throughout and vaulted ceilings that create a bright, open feel. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, a double sink, electric range, vent hood, dishwasher, and generous counter space. The bathroom includes a full tub/shower combo with updated vanity and lighting. Spacious living area with ceiling fan and natural light. Includes full-size washer connections and a functional layout in a convenient location close to schools and amenities.
-
2025-10-03$1,100 Active 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
MOVE IN SPECIAL * * * * $500 Off 1st Month's Rent Move in Special * * * * Available Now! Located in Marble Falls, just minutes from the city park and Marble Falls Elementary, this well-maintained home features vinyl plank flooring throughout and vaulted ceilings that create a bright, open feel. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, a double sink, electric range, vent hood, dishwasher, and generous counter space. The bathroom includes a full tub/shower combo with updated vanity and lighting. Spacious living area with ceiling fan and natural light. Includes full-size washer connections and a functional layout in a convenient location close to schools and amenities.
-
2024-11-08historical
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Two bedroom, one bath duplex in Marble Falls located near city park and Marble Falls elementary. Vinyl plank through out, vaulted ceilings, full size washer & dryer connections. Sorry, no pets allowed!
-
2024-10-28soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Two bedroom, one bath duplex in Marble Falls located near city park and Marble Falls elementary. Vinyl plank through out, vaulted ceilings, full size washer & dryer connections. Sorry, no pets allowed!
-
2024-10-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Two bedroom, one bath duplex in Marble Falls located near city park and Marble Falls elementary. Vinyl plank through out, vaulted ceilings, full size washer & dryer connections. Sorry, no pets allowed!
-
2024-08-07$1,100 Active
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Two bedroom, one bath duplex in Marble Falls located near city park and Marble Falls elementary. Vinyl plank through out, vaulted ceilings, full size washer & dryer connections. Sorry, no pets allowed!
-
2008-04-21soldstatus
-
1999-12-07soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$62
- − Property taxes
- −$16
- − Insurance
- −$6
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,781
- − Management
- −$2,781
- − Depreciation
- −$32
- Taxable income
- $29,086
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,981
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marble Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829010
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,663
- Composite
- 30.3/100
- National rank
- #6278
- State rank
- #511 of 826 in TX
Livability — Marble Falls
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marble Falls, TX
- County
- Burnet County · 35,210 people
- City population
- 20,650
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,650
- Household income
- $74,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,492 people
- By 2030
- 52,995 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 57,528 · +13.9%
- By 2050
- 61,444 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 71,098 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 74,634 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burnet
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.02%
- Current HPI
- 252.9861
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.62%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-98.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $1,100 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-01 Sold (MLS) — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-10-03 Listed $1,100 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-11-08 Delisted — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-28 Sold (MLS) — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-01 Pending — HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-08-07 Listed $1,100 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2008-04-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,472 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…