🏷️ Likely Rental
947 N Rockton Ave · Rockford, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant-occupied 2-story home offering a great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, spacious living and dining areas, a functional kitchen, newer vinyl windows and driveway parking. Enclosed back porch provides additional usable space. Sold as-is
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Enclosed back porch
- Newer vinyl windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession subject to tenant's rights
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property built over 100 years ago; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 145.27; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 9 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second floor); Master bedroom on the second floor (approx. 10 x 14); Second bedroom on the second floor (approx. 10 x 13); Third bedroom on the second floor (approx. 9 x 13)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Separate dining room; Family room; Living room; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: R K Welsh Elem School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,719 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 435 students, 0% FRL); West Middle School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #627 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 849 students, 0% FRL); Guilford High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 2,071 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.04%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 N Rockton Ave | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $72 | 78 |
| 730 Woodlawn Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-7%) | 2mo | $92,900 | $75 | 76 |
| 314 Underwood St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $52 | 64 |
| 1512 Price St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (+6%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $104 | 62 |
| 621 Napoleon St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,437 (+9%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $31 | 62 |
| 529 Summer St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $97 | 60 |
| 928 North Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,482 (+12%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $101 | 59 |
| 928 North Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,482 (+12%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $101 | 59 |
| 618 Napoleon St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-9%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $96 | 59 |
| 1428 North Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+9%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 1311 Grant Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,191 (-10%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 1902 Bruner St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,420 (+8%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $60 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $37,477
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 52.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.52×
- Total profit
- $118,589
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61103
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $638
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728 N Winnebago St Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,025 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 922 N Church St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 913 N Main St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1121 N Church St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 203 Carlton Ter Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1146 Fairview Ave Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,250 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1405 N Court St Unit 1407 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $1,100 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 303 Forest Ave Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1568 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,325 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 912 Furman St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 607 N 2nd St Unit 607-6 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1832 N Main St Rockford, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,199 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 207 N Central Ave Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2208 Fremont St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 314 N Longwood St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2011 School St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2308 Fremont St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1112 Crosby St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1826 Green St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1138 Revell Ave Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2222 Andrews St Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2305 School St Unit 2305-7 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3007 Huffman Blvd Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 300-char remark
-
2026-06-07$65,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,151 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,313 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$162/yr (+$14/mo · 14.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,732
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,151
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,691
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockford SD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1734510
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,533
- Composite
- 12.21/100
- National rank
- #9649
- State rank
- #533 of 620 in IL
Livability — Rockford
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #876
- US rank
- #17035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockford, IL
- County
- Winnebago County · 147,297 people
- City population
- 147,297
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,869
- Household income
- $51,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1402.0
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,080 people
- By 2030
- 260,684 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 238,405 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 216,129 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 172,882 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 135,336 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.02%
- Current HPI
- 215.8559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.11%
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-04 Listed $65,000 NWIAR
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,151 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…