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947 N Rockton Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

947 N Rockton Ave · Rockford, IL 61103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1900 5,227 sqft lot Est $110k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant-occupied 2-story home offering a great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio! This property features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, spacious living and dining areas, a functional kitchen, newer vinyl windows and driveway parking. Enclosed back porch provides additional usable space. Sold as-is

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Enclosed back porch
  • Newer vinyl windows

Tags

2 STORY HOMESPACIOUS LIVING AND DININGFUNCTIONAL KITCHENNEWER VINYL WINDOWSDRIVEWAY PARKINGENCLOSED BACK PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession subject to tenant's rights
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property built over 100 years ago; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 145.27; Lot under 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 9 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the second floor); Master bedroom on the second floor (approx. 10 x 14); Second bedroom on the second floor (approx. 10 x 13); Third bedroom on the second floor (approx. 9 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Separate dining room; Family room; Living room; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$109,560) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: R K Welsh Elem School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,719 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 435 students, 0% FRL); West Middle School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #627 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 849 students, 0% FRL); Guilford High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 2,071 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
18.06%
Cash-on-cash
42.04%
DSCR
2.87
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,560
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1021 N Rockton Ave 0.07mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 5mo $90,000 $72 78
730 Woodlawn Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,232 (-7%) 2mo $92,900 $75 76
314 Underwood St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-6%) 1mo $65,000 $52 64
1512 Price St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,392 (+6%) 0mo $145,000 $104 62
621 Napoleon St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,437 (+9%) 0mo $45,000 $31 62
529 Summer St 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,344 (+2%) 4mo $130,000 $97 60
928 North Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,482 (+12%) 1mo $149,900 $101 59
928 North Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,482 (+12%) 1mo $149,900 $101 59
618 Napoleon St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-9%) 5mo $115,000 $96 59
1428 North Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,435 (+9%) 1mo $115,000 $80 54
1311 Grant Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,191 (-10%) 3mo $99,000 $83 53
1902 Bruner St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,420 (+8%) 5mo $85,000 $60 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$37,477
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
52.6%
Equity multiple
7.52×
Total profit
$118,589
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61103

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $587
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
728 N Winnebago St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,600 $1.28 13d 1 0.21mi
2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,025 $0.89 43d 1 0.30mi
922 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 43d 1 0.44mi
1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,400 $1.46 43d 1 0.55mi
913 N Main St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,300 $2.19 21d 1 0.58mi
1121 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 21d 1 0.60mi
203 Carlton Ter Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 21d 1 0.61mi
1146 Fairview Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.5 1344 $1,250 $0.93 21d 1 0.63mi
1405 N Court St Unit 1407 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1530 $1,100 $0.72 43d 1 0.69mi
303 Forest Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1568 $1,800 $1.15 43d 1 0.76mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,325 $0.96 43d 1 0.82mi
912 Furman St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 13d 1 0.85mi
418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 13d 1 0.87mi
1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,200 $0.86 43d 1 0.94mi
607 N 2nd St Unit 607-6 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 43d 1 0.99mi
1832 N Main St Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 872 $1,199 $1.37 13d 1 1.02mi
207 N Central Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,500 $1.16 13d 1 1.08mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 13d 1 1.13mi
2208 Fremont St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 938 $1,400 $1.49 13d 1 1.22mi
314 N Longwood St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 43d 1 1.24mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 43d 1 1.24mi
2308 Fremont St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,600 $1.21 43d 1 1.27mi
1112 Crosby St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 21d 1 1.28mi
1826 Green St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 21d 1 1.37mi
1138 Revell Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 43d 1 1.38mi
2222 Andrews St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 13d 1 1.40mi
2305 School St Unit 2305-7 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $995 $1.14 43d 1 1.42mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 13d 1 1.42mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 43d 1 1.42mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 13d 1 1.45mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 21d 1 1.45mi
3007 Huffman Blvd Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,450 $1.12 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on marketlisting id $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 300-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $65,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,313 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$162/yr (+$14/mo · 14.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,732
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,151
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,339
− Management
−$1,339
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,691
After-tax cash flow
$5,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,869
Household income
$51,161
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
1402.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.02%
Current HPI
215.8559
Rent YoY
▲ 8.11%
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $65,000 NWIAR

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,151 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…