9 Dove Ct Unit V · Croton-on-Hudson, NY 10520

$279,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Condo · 57 Days on market

Built 1969

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.2/30.0
• DSCR +8.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Schools +6.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This well-maintained two-bedroom, one-bath co-op at Dove Court offers comfortable living in a prime Croton-on-Hudson location. The residence features hardwood floors throughout, freshly painted white walls, and generous natural light in every room. The spacious living room flows into a separate dining area and opens to a private deck with wooded views. The primary bedroom provides ample space, while the second bedroom offers excellent versatility for a guest room or home office. The kitchen is equipped with solid wood cabinetry, green countertops, brand new never used stainless steel appliances including a gas ovena and range, dishwasher and full sized refrigerator, and under-cabinet light

Key facts

• Private deck
• Solid wood cabinetry
• Green countertops

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• PRIVATE DECK
• SOLID WOOD CABINETRY
• GREEN COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• MOSAIC TILE FLOORING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $279k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
• Recommended offer: $271k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.6% in Croton-on-Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Hendrick Hudson Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #143 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Frank G Lindsey Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 359 students, 25% FRL); Blue Mountain Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #178 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 489 students, 31% FRL); Hendrick Hudson High School (math 87% / reading 84%, grade A, #358 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 727 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $270,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.92%
• DSCR: 1.49
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $132
• Equity at exit: $41,600

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.75×
• Total profit: $58,640
• Equity at exit: $24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10520

• Active inventory: 70
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,341 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$702
• Net cashflow: $711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,441

Max offer price $279,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,750
• Closing costs: $8,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
65 Furnace Dock Rd Unit 2F Croton-On-Hudson, NY	2.0	1.0	1044	$2,975	$2.85	1d	1	0.28mi
26 Scenic Dr Croton-On-Hudson, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,180	$2.91	1d	1	0.35mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: gas
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-25
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-26
   listed $279,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,089
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,628
• − Property taxes: −$4,185
• − Insurance: −$1,395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,207
• − Management: −$3,207
• − Depreciation: −$8,116
• Taxable income: $4,350
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,044
• After-tax cash flow: $7,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hendrick Hudson Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3614190
• Math proficiency: 62% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 72% ▲ 15.00%
• Median HH income: $88,159
• Composite: 60.49/100
• National rank: #846
• State rank: #143 of 590 in NY

Livability — Croton-on-Hudson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Westchester County · 709,332 people
• City population: 12,368
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 12,368
• Household income: $142,791
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 495.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -589.29%
• Current HPI: 249.6641
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-25 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-26 Listed $279,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid