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281 Dune Rd Unit 16B
A Composite 89.1
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$900,000

281 Dune Rd Unit 16B · Westhampton Beach, NY 11978
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 675 sqft · Townhouse · 138 Days on market
Built 1969 Excellent condition $1333/sqft · 8% below area Est $982k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing 281 Dune Rd Unit #16B, a gem nestled in the heart of Westhampton Beach. This newly renovated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom co-op is ready to welcome its next owner with open doors. Perched above the ocean and bay, this residence offers breathtaking views that will leave you in awe every morning. Imagine waking up to the gentle sound of waves lapping against the shore, and the sight of the sun rising over the calm waters. That's the kind of life this seasonal residence promises from April - October. But the allure of this property doesn't stop at its stunning views. This residence is conveniently located near the vibrant and popular Main Street of Westhampton Beach Village. This means you have easy access to a variety of shops, restaurants, theater, and entertainment options, ensuring you're never far from the action. For those days when you prefer to stay home, the property offers a heated pool. Whether you're in the mood for a refreshing swim or a relaxing soak, the pool is ready to cater to your needs. And when you're ready for a change of pace, the inviting ocean is just steps away from your door. This newly renovated co-op is a diamond in the rough, offering the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and luxury. With its prime location, stunning views, and top-notch amenities, it's a property that's not to be missed. This co-op is ready to meet your needs and exceed your expectations. So why wait? Step into a life of luxury and convenience at 281 Dune Rd Unit 16B.

Key facts

  • Breathtaking views
  • Heated pool
  • Parking

Tags

BREATHTAKING VIEWSHEATED POOLSTEPS AWAY FROM THE OCEAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $900k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($69k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $900k).
  • Recommended offer: $792k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 9.0% in Westhampton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 72d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $15,199/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($792k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $792,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.56%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$981,709
List price
$900,000
Delta
-8.32%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
281 Dune Unit 8A 0.01mi 2/1.5 750 (+11%) 34mo $465,000 $620 59
58 Library Ave 1.08mi 2/1.5 675 (0%) 28mo $675,000 $1,000 43
459 Dune Rd Unit 7B 1.19mi 1/1.0 (-1) 650 (-4%) 16mo $478,000 $735 37
459 Dune Rd Unit 3B 1.19mi 1/1.0 (-1) 650 (-4%) 25mo $505,000 $777 30
35 Library Ave Unit 8X 1.08mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (-11%) 11mo $675,000 $1,125 28
473 Dune Rd Unit 17B 1.28mi 1/1.5 (-1) 550 (-18%) 12mo $725,000 $1,318 23
473 Dune Rd Unit 6B 1.28mi 1/1.5 (-1) 550 (-18%) 13mo $735,000 $1,336 22
473 Dune Rd Unit 5B 1.27mi 1/1.0 (-1) 535 (-21%) 22mo $750,000 $1,402 13

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
4.41×
Total profit
$859,013
Equity at exit
$810,791
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
9.89×
Total profit
$2,240,229
Equity at exit
$1,748,502

Cash invested: $252,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
4 active
Median asking
$550,000 ($1006/sqft)
Median days on market
118 d
This list price
75% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+44.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 11978

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$15,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,720
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,125 /mo · $13,500/yr
Insurance
$375
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,192
Net cashflow
$5,788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,873
Max offer price $900,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6,410 -5% $6,099 +0% $5,788 +5% $5,477 +10% $5,166
Rent -10% $4,587 -5% $5,187 +0% $5,788 +5% $6,388 +10% $6,988
Rate -1.0pp $6,241 -0.5pp $6,017 base $5,788 +0.5pp $5,554 +1.0pp $5,317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$225,000
Closing costs
$27,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
274 Dune Rd #6 Westhampton Beach, NY 1.0 1.0 565 $5,000 $8.85 94d 1 0.09mi
274 Dune Rd #19 Westhampton Beach, NY 1.0 1.0 684 $12,000 $17.54 61d 1 0.09mi
274 Dune Rd Unit 9 Westhampton Beach, NY 1.0 1.0 506 $10,500 $20.75 72d 1 0.09mi
260 Dune Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 2.0 2.0 550 $26,000 $47.27 5d 3 0.17mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-09
    days on market $900,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-08-08
    days on market $900,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $900,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $900,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $900,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $900,000 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $900,000 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $900,000 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $900,000 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $900,000 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $900,000 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $900,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $900,000 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $900,000 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $900,000 Active 119 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $900,000 Active 118 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $900,000 Active 116 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $900,000 Active 115 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $900,000 Active 114 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $900,000 Active 113 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $900,000 Active 112 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $900,000 Active 111 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $900,000 Active 110 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $900,000 Active 109 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $900,000 Active 108 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $900,000 Active 107 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $900,000 Active 105 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $900,000 Active 104 DOM
  29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $900,000 Active 103 DOM
  30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $900,000 Active 102 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $900,000 Active 101 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $900,000 Active 100 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $900,000 Active 99 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $900,000 Active 98 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $900,000 Active 97 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $900,000 Active 96 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $900,000 Active 95 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $900,000 Active 94 DOM
  39. 2026-06-24
    days on market $900,000 Active 92 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $900,000 Active 90 DOM
  41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $900,000 Active 89 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $900,000 Active 86 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $900,000 Active 85 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $900,000 Active 84 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $900,000 Active 83 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $900,000 Active 81 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $900,000 Active 77 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $900,000 Active 76 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $900,000 Active 75 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $900,000 Active 72 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$182,391
− Mortgage interest
−$50,414
− Property taxes
−$13,500
− Insurance
−$4,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,591
− Management
−$14,591
− Depreciation
−$26,182
Taxable income
$58,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14,067
After-tax cash flow
$55,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This newly renovated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom co-op is in excellent condition with stunning ocean and bay views. The property is move-in ready and offers high ROI for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Reorganizing the interior layout — Can increase functionality and appeal
B Composite school gradezoned avg 74/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Westhampton Beach Elementary School B+ NY #525/2,108 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Westhampton Middle School B+ NY #136/729 Nat'l #1,545/14,009 High Westhampton Beach Senior High School A+ NY #147/1,100 Nat'l #235/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3631020
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$88,137
Composite
65.91/100
National rank
#444
State rank
#81 of 590 in NY
C Composite livability gradescore 64/100

Livability — Westhampton Beach

Score
64/100
State rank
#740
US rank
#14093

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westhampton Beach, NY
County
Suffolk County · 1,505,262 people
City population
4,705
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
4,705
Household income
$125,179
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+136.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $900,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-16 Listed $975,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-02 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-05 Price Changed $575,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-01 Listed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-31 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-13 Listed $380,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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