1525 Meadow Ln · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$27,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Uncover the potential of this promising fixer-upper, ready for a complete transformation in a historic neighborhood. This property presents a unique opportunity for investors or homebuyers with a vision to renovate and create their dream home. This home is a blank canvas awaiting your design and personal touch. With its solid structure, its ripe for a full renovation, offering the chance to build instant equity in a neighborhood known for its character and charm. I deal for those looking to capitalize on the thriving Birmingham real estate market. This house can become a stunning and cozy residence. Don't miss this one, cal today!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 224 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 32.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $190 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $825 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.97%
- DSCR
- 5.14
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,399
- List price
- $27,500
- Delta
- -51.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1609 34th St SW | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (-4%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $28 | 77 |
| 5857 Court Q | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $83 | 74 |
| 5848 Court Q | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+6%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $56 | 68 |
| 1272 Pineview Rd | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+8%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $74 | 61 |
| 1437 58th St W | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (+9%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $55 | 58 |
| 5115 Avenue P | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (+1%) | 12mo | $24,900 | $33 | 58 |
| 5800 Court | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+14%) | 6mo | $83,700 | $97 | 56 |
| 1100 Pineview Rd | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 842 (+12%) | 5mo | $106,000 | $126 | 52 |
| 5321 Avenue K | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+5%) | 8mo | $30,100 | $38 | 50 |
| 2905 Steiner Ct | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 852 (+13%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $88 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.98×
- Total profit
- $30,615
- Equity at exit
- $4,100
- IRR
- 92.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.35×
- Total profit
- $64,284
- Equity at exit
- $2,378
Cash invested: $7,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35228
- Home prices YoY
- -3.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$144
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $499/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $597
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,875
- Closing costs
- $825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,073 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1417 Brighton Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $925 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $950 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $950 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1112 S Gale Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $825 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2300 31st St SW Unit ENSLEY2316 A Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,000 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1317 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $800 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $975 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1376 Creel Ct Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 340 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $910 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 336 McPherson Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2804 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2805 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,195 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 914 21st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $895 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $27,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $27,500 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,500 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $27,500 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $27,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $27,500 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,500 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $27,500 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $27,500 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,500 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,500 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $27,500 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Uncover the potential of this promising fixer-upper, ready for a complete transformation in a historic neighborhood. This property presents a unique opportunity for investors or homebuyers with a vision to renovate and create their dream home. This home is a blank canvas awaiting your design and personal touch. With its solid structure, its ripe for a full renovation, offering the chance to build instant equity in a neighborhood known for its character and charm. I deal for those looking to capitalize on the thriving Birmingham real estate market. This house can become a stunning and cozy residence. Don't miss this one, cal today!
-
2026-02-13price $35,000 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Uncover the potential of this promising fixer-upper, ready for a complete transformation in a historic neighborhood. This property presents a unique opportunity for investors or homebuyers with a vision to renovate and create their dream home. This home is a blank canvas awaiting your design and personal touch. With its solid structure, its ripe for a full renovation, offering the chance to build instant equity in a neighborhood known for its character and charm. I deal for those looking to capitalize on the thriving Birmingham real estate market. This house can become a stunning and cozy residence. Don't miss this one, cal today!
-
2025-11-05$40,000 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Uncover the potential of this promising fixer-upper, ready for a complete transformation in a historic neighborhood. This property presents a unique opportunity for investors or homebuyers with a vision to renovate and create their dream home. This home is a blank canvas awaiting your design and personal touch. With its solid structure, its ripe for a full renovation, offering the chance to build instant equity in a neighborhood known for its character and charm. I deal for those looking to capitalize on the thriving Birmingham real estate market. This house can become a stunning and cozy residence. Don't miss this one, cal today!
-
2022-12-02soldstatus $22,500 Sold 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
-2 bed, 1 bath 752 sqft -exterior: low piers and vinyl -Medium Level Rehab
-
2022-11-22status Pending 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
-2 bed, 1 bath 752 sqft -exterior: low piers and vinyl -Medium Level Rehab
-
2022-11-16$27,500 Active 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
-2 bed, 1 bath 752 sqft -exterior: low piers and vinyl -Medium Level Rehab
-
2022-01-19soldstatus $18,500 Sold
-
2022-01-12historical
-
2021-09-29$29,900 Active
-
2019-05-24price $42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $499 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $499 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,058
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,540
- − Property taxes
- −$499
- − Insurance
- −$138
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$800
- Taxable income
- $7,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,716
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,216
- Household income
- $50,815
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 456.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.84%
- Current HPI
- 134.8633
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-35.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $27,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $35,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $40,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-12-02 Sold (MLS) $22,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-11-22 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-11-16 Listed $27,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-01-19 Sold (MLS) $18,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-01-12 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-29 Listed $29,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-05-24 Price Changed $42,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $499 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…