1030 East Ave S #170 · Palmdale, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offering approximately 1,820 sqft of spacious and comfortable living. This well-maintained home features both a large family room and separate living room, a formal dining area, and a breakfast counter perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The generously sized primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and private bathroom with dual sinks, a separate shower, and a relaxing garden tub. Upgraded windows throughout enhance energy efficiency while helping reduce outside noise, and newer modern flooring in warm, neutral tones complements any style of décor. Additional features include indoor laundry, a covered carport with parking for two vehicles, and convenient guest parking nearby. Included in the sale are the refrigerator, washer, dryer, stove, and deep freezer. Ideally located near shopping, grocery stores, and freeway access. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and grassy play area. Don't miss this
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Walk-in closet
- Upgraded windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed in the community
- HOA & community: Land lease of $663 per month (park land lease)
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Boulders park
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Public/district water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (standard); Cable connected; Telephone on property
- Home design: Single-story; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile home approximately 28 ft wide by 64 ft long; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Year built per assessor; Total of one story
- Exterior features: In-ground community pool; Front yard; Gutters and curbs; Biking trails; Dog park; Foothill nearby; Lake nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Freezer
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminated flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathtub(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Storage space; Front door entry; One-level home
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 4.5% in Palmdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#861 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Palmdale Elementary (suburban): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #1,147 of 1,400 in CA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 410 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,245/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 4384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.38%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,328
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 E Avenue S #89 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+3%) | 13mo | $224,000 | $121 | 84 |
| 1030 E Avenue S #186 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (+3%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $100 | 84 |
| 1030 S Avenue #139 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (+4%) | 19mo | $202,000 | $109 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $44,223
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $128,242
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93550
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$681
- Net cashflow
- $1,292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1138 E Avenue R7 Palmdale, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,455 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 37414 Drexel St Palmdale, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 37058 Alton Dr Palmdale, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2078 | $7,000 | $3.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1715 Boysenberry Way Palmdale, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1744 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 239 Katherine Ct Palmdale, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1386 | $2,900 | $2.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 38225 9th St E Unit 1 Palmdale, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-15price $210,000 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Recently upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offering approximately 1,820 sqft of spacious and comfortable living. This well-maintained home features both a large family room and separate living room, a formal dining area, and a breakfast counter perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The generously sized primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and private bathroom with dual sinks, a separate shower, and a relaxing garden tub. Upgraded windows throughout enhance energy efficiency while helping reduce outside noise, and newer modern flooring in warm, neutral tones complements any style of décor. Additional features include indoor laundry, a covered carport with parking for two vehicles, and convenient guest parking nearby. Included in the sale are the refrigerator, washer, dryer, stove, and deep freezer. Ideally located near shopping, grocery stores, and freeway access. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and grassy play area. Don't miss this
-
2026-05-14$210,000 Active
-
2026-02-26$215,000 Active 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Recently upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offering approximately 1,820 sqft of spacious and comfortable living. This well-maintained home features both a large family room and separate living room, a formal dining area, and a breakfast counter perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The generously sized primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and private bathroom with dual sinks, a separate shower, and a relaxing garden tub. Upgraded windows throughout enhance energy efficiency while helping reduce outside noise, and newer modern flooring in warm, neutral tones complements any style of décor. Additional features include indoor laundry, a covered carport with parking for two vehicles, and convenient guest parking nearby. Included in the sale are the refrigerator, washer, dryer, stove, and deep freezer. Ideally located near shopping, grocery stores, and freeway access. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, and grassy play area. Don't miss this
-
2023-11-20soldstatus $197,500 Closed 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own a great 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1820 sq ft. Double Wide Manufacture Home. Some of the many great features includes both a spacious Family Room and Living Room, Formal Dining area, Breakfast counter, Large master bedroom with walk in closet, Master Bath has double sinks, seperate shower and a garden tub. Indoor laundry, Covered Carport with parking large enough for 2 cars, and guest parking across the street. Also included in the sale is the refrigerator, washer, dryer and deep freezer. This home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores and the freeway. The park has a beautiful club house, pool and grassy play area. Hurry and make your appointment before this home is gone!
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2023-10-10status Pending 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own a great 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1820 sq ft. Double Wide Manufacture Home. Some of the many great features includes both a spacious Family Room and Living Room, Formal Dining area, Breakfast counter, Large master bedroom with walk in closet, Master Bath has double sinks, seperate shower and a garden tub. Indoor laundry, Covered Carport with parking large enough for 2 cars, and guest parking across the street. Also included in the sale is the refrigerator, washer, dryer and deep freezer. This home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores and the freeway. The park has a beautiful club house, pool and grassy play area. Hurry and make your appointment before this home is gone!
-
2023-10-04status Active 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own a great 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1820 sq ft. Double Wide Manufacture Home. Some of the many great features includes both a spacious Family Room and Living Room, Formal Dining area, Breakfast counter, Large master bedroom with walk in closet, Master Bath has double sinks, seperate shower and a garden tub. Indoor laundry, Covered Carport with parking large enough for 2 cars, and guest parking across the street. Also included in the sale is the refrigerator, washer, dryer and deep freezer. This home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores and the freeway. The park has a beautiful club house, pool and grassy play area. Hurry and make your appointment before this home is gone!
-
2023-09-20status Pending 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own a great 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1820 sq ft. Double Wide Manufacture Home. Some of the many great features includes both a spacious Family Room and Living Room, Formal Dining area, Breakfast counter, Large master bedroom with walk in closet, Master Bath has double sinks, seperate shower and a garden tub. Indoor laundry, Covered Carport with parking large enough for 2 cars, and guest parking across the street. Also included in the sale is the refrigerator, washer, dryer and deep freezer. This home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores and the freeway. The park has a beautiful club house, pool and grassy play area. Hurry and make your appointment before this home is gone!
-
2023-09-01$199,999 Active 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own a great 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath, 1820 sq ft. Double Wide Manufacture Home. Some of the many great features includes both a spacious Family Room and Living Room, Formal Dining area, Breakfast counter, Large master bedroom with walk in closet, Master Bath has double sinks, seperate shower and a garden tub. Indoor laundry, Covered Carport with parking large enough for 2 cars, and guest parking across the street. Also included in the sale is the refrigerator, washer, dryer and deep freezer. This home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores and the freeway. The park has a beautiful club house, pool and grassy play area. Hurry and make your appointment before this home is gone!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,596 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$608/yr (+$51/mo · 61.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,115
- − Management
- −$3,115
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $12,798
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,072
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,437/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale repair and paint siding — Improves home's overall appearance
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale repair and paint siding — Improves home's overall appearance ↑
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palmdale Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0629580
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,652
- Composite
- 25.34/100
- National rank
- #12888
- State rank
- #1147 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Palmdale
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #861
- US rank
- #23501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmdale, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 177,644
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,645
- Household income
- $62,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4384.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 15% Black 14% White 12% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 55% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.38%
- Current HPI
- 440.8844
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+5.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $210,000 AVMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $215,000 AVMLS
- 2023-11-20 Sold (MLS) $197,500 AVMLS
- 2023-10-10 Pending — AVMLS
- 2023-10-04 Relisted — AVMLS
- 2023-09-20 Pending — AVMLS
- 2023-09-01 Listed $199,999 AVMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…