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3948 Minnesota St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,900

3948 Minnesota St · Detroit, MI 48212
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 937 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1962 3,049 sqft lot Est $43k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Detroit. Modest bungalow-style 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with basement and enclosed front porch. Property is being sold strictly as-is, sight unseen, with no interior access available. Buyer to conduct all due diligence to the extent possible prior to submitting an offer. Room sizes, property condition, utilities, and all property details are estimated and should be independently verified by buyer/buyer's agent. Do not attempt to access the property without authorization.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1962
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.07 acres; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $752 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 32.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $34,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.60%
Cap rate
32.16%
Cash-on-cash
92.39%
DSCR
5.11
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,102
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17833 Binder St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 4mo $46,000 $46 83
17885 Binder St 0.10mi 3/1.0 844 (-10%) 6mo $75,000 $89 74
17955 Charest St 0.35mi 3/1.0 880 (-6%) 4mo $51,800 $59 70
17139 Mackay St 0.71mi 3/1.0 896 (-4%) 1mo $30,000 $33 59
18905 Dean St 0.61mi 3/1.0 990 (+6%) 6mo $88,900 $90 57
18660 Klinger St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 880 (-6%) 0mo $21,000 $24 56
18830 Hasse St 0.69mi 3/1.0 898 (-4%) 7mo $36,500 $41 55
17892 Mitchell St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,051 (+12%) 7mo $32,500 $31 55
18547 Anglin St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+7%) 6mo $93,000 $93 52
18654 Klinger St 0.52mi 3/2.0 860 (-8%) 7mo $22,000 $26 52
13826 Gallagher St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-15%) 3mo $90,000 $113 46
19155 Ryan Rd 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,068 (+14%) 2mo $45,000 $42 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
93.2%
Equity multiple
5.33×
Total profit
$42,281
Equity at exit
$5,204
10-year hold
IRR
96.0%
Equity multiple
11.09×
Total profit
$98,595
Equity at exit
$3,018

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48212

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$752

Break-even live

Break-even rent $305
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 17d 1 0.49mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.62mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 16d 1 0.74mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.82mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 0.90mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.90mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 16d 1 0.92mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.93mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 0.97mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.97mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 0.98mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 21d 1 0.98mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 4d 1 1.10mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 14d 1 1.10mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 1.12mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 1.12mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.14mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.18mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $34,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $34,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $34,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $34,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 497-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $34,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,092
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$9,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,162
After-tax cash flow
$6,866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
43,384
Household income
$38,186
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
1175.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Asian 29% Black 19% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 1% American 1%
Foreign-born
41%
Languages at home
36% English-only · Other Indo-European 28% Arabic 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.41%
Current HPI
292.9126
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,922 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…