376 Millwood Rd · Lavon, TX
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just as the majestic pecan tree is long-lived, the Pecan II floor plan promises to stand the test time, providing happy memories for years to come. The three-bedroom design is artful with a large living area where you can relax after work or build the ultimate sandwich in the gourmet kitchen. The bread was freshly baked in the oven this morning. There is just enough time before bed to work on your Downward Dog in the yoga room you created in one of the bedrooms. Feeling stress-free, It's time to hop in the walk-in shower before curling up in the sitting area of your stunning primary suite with your favorite book!
Key facts
- 4,600 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-312 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (15.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (18.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Lavon — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#588 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nesmith El (math 46% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,097 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 768 students, 44% FRL); Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 750 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.77%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,490
- List price
- $289,990
- Delta
- -6.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Millwood Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (0%) | 2mo | $289,990 | $175 | 93 |
| 128 Millwood Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,657 (0%) | 3mo | $289,990 | $175 | 83 |
| 1144 Del Rio Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (-2%) | 2mo | $304,990 | $187 | 82 |
| 329 Millwood Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-9%) | 1mo | $280,990 | $187 | 80 |
| 1153 Del Rio Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (-2%) | 2mo | $307,990 | $189 | 79 |
| 320 Millwood Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,503 (-9%) | 1mo | $282,990 | $188 | 78 |
| 136 Millwood Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-9%) | 1mo | $282,990 | $188 | 70 |
| 1149 Del Rio Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (+8%) | 2mo | $314,990 | $176 | 64 |
| 816 Harrison Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,669 (+1%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $180 | 63 |
| 252 Rosewood Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,838 (+11%) | 4mo | $314,900 | $171 | 50 |
| 209 Maverick Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,838 (+11%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $174 | 48 |
| 165 Winterwood Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,866 (+13%) | 4mo | $389,900 | $209 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-66,737
- Equity at exit
- $43,238
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-83,136
- Equity at exit
- $25,073
Cash invested: $81,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 17 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.5 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $300,000 ($181/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- 29% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75166
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Active inventory
- 750
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,368 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$54
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $-312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-112 | -5% $-212 | +0% $-312 | +5% $-413 | +10% $-513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-499 | -5% $-406 | +0% $-312 | +5% $-219 | +10% $-125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-166 | -0.5pp $-239 | base $-312 | +0.5pp $-387 | +1.0pp $-464 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,498
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1136 Del Rio Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $2,600 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 223 Rosewood Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2139 | $2,281 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 242 Maverick Ct Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2250 | $2,050 | $0.91 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 579 White Water Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 73d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 269 Sunshine Ln Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2072 | $2,700 | $1.30 | 93d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 902 Tulip TRL Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2087 | $2,500 | $1.20 | 93d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 436 Grant Ln Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,099 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 453 Harding Ln Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2155 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 93d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 471 Harding Ln Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,950 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 476 Eisenhower Ln Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,875 | $1.21 | 70d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 707 Oakhurst Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,265 | $1.24 | 30d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 584 Arthur Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2177 | $2,050 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 468 Crestridge Dr Unit 468CD Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 794 Yorkshire Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 786 Yorkshire Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 471 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 590 Arthur Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 766 Camden Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $6,200 | $3.44 | 52d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 778 Camden Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,750 | $1.07 | 62d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 509 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 783 Camden Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $2,049 | $1.40 | 30d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 711 Camden Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 986 Olive Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2131 | $2,350 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 946 Olive Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,549 | $1.57 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 518 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 30d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 527 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 30d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 736 Richmond Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $2,150 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 760 Richmond Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 536 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 64d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 551 London Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2095 | $2,195 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 557 London Dr Unit 557LD Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 56d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 788 Wellington Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $3,399 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 772 Wellington Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 360 Elevon Pkwy Unit 9107 Lavon, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,425 | $1.18 | 7d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 575 London Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 64d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 592 Crestridge Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2095 | $2,195 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 787 Wellington Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 739 Wellington Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $1,950 | $1.04 | 93d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 600 Crestridge Dr Lavon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 776 Devonshire Dr Lavon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 41d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community features include pool, playground, sidewalks, curbs, and jogging/bike pathsGreen/energy efficient elements: energy-efficient appliances, HVAC, insulation and lightingWater-conservation features: low-flow fixtures and water-smart landscaping
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAAnnual HOA fee with full use of facilitiesHOA managed by Neighborhood Management, Inc
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered/garage spaces2-car garage with garage door opener and garage facing front
- Security
- Prewired securitySmoke detectorsCarbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerLocated in a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne storyNew construction (incomplete)Located in Nicholson Ranch planned developmentProperty not attached
- Construction
- Built in 2026Brick, rock/stone and siding exteriorComposition roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Private yardGuttersExterior lightingCovered patioWood backyard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalElectric cooktopElectric ovenPantry
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl plankTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airCeiling fansTankless water heater
- Interior features
- Open floorplanPantryWalk-in closetsCable TV availableHigh-speed internet available6 total roomsOne living areaOne dining areaSmart home features
- Laundry & utility
- Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility room
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $289,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $289,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $289,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $289,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $289,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $289,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $289,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $289,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $289,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $289,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $289,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $289,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $289,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $289,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $289,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $289,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $289,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $289,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $289,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $289,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $289,990 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $289,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $289,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $289,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $289,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $289,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $289,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $289,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $289,990 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $289,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $289,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $289,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $289,990 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $289,990 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $289,990 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 693-char remark
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2026-06-17$289,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Just as the majestic pecan tree is long-lived, the Pecan II floor plan promises to stand the test time, providing happy memories for years to come. The three-bedroom design is artful with a large living area where you can relax after work or build the ultimate sandwich in the gourmet kitchen. The bread was freshly baked in the oven this morning. There is just enough time before bed to work on your Downward Dog in the yoga room you created in one of the bedrooms. Feeling stress-free, It's time to hop in the walk-in shower before curling up in the sitting area of your stunning primary suite with your favorite book!
-
2026-06-16$289,990 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Just as the majestic pecan tree is long-lived, the Pecan II floor plan promises to stand the test time, providing happy memories for years to come. The three-bedroom design is artful with a large living area where you can relax after work or build the ultimate sandwich in the gourmet kitchen. The bread was freshly baked in the oven this morning. There is just enough time before bed to work on your Downward Dog in the yoga room you created in one of the bedrooms. Feeling stress-free, It's time to hop in the walk-in shower before curling up in the sitting area of your stunning primary suite with your favorite book!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,419
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,244
- − Property taxes
- −$4,350
- − Insurance
- −$2,952
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,274
- − Management
- −$2,274
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$8,758
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,102
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This home is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for an investor looking to maximize both resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lavon
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #588
- US rank
- #11230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,210,074 people
- City population
- 6,989
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,989
- Household income
- $132,101
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% Black 7% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.22%
- Current HPI
- 221.0
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $289,990 Zillow
- 2026-06-16 Listed $289,990 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…