94 Meadow Cir · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge 3 bed room / 2 bath home with a 2 car garage. One of the largest home in Ridgewood Meadows located on a circle drive and lots of yard. Home has a very large Florida room with a family room and living room. Dining room, fireplace and split floor plan with a very large master and master bath. Located in the gated 55+ community of Ridgewood Meadows that offers a beautiful clubhouse, community activities, pickleball, tennis, fishing and a great pool. Close to the Ellenton Outlet Mall, restaurants, shopping and easy access to I-75.
Key facts
- Widened driveway
- 40x20 carport
- Large corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished; Total acreage approximately 0.13 (less than 1/4 acre)
- Financial info: Quarterly association fee applies (association fee listed; additional HOA/condo fee details apply); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly/quarterly dues required); Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard courts, guarded 24-hour security, and recreational facilities; Buyer approval and association approval required to join; Senior community; Pets allowed with restrictions (breed and number limits; max pet weight 25 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (21x20); Carport with 2 spaces
- Security: Gated community with 24-hour guard (association amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available and connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Underground utilities; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single story; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Concrete road access; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $199k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $138k; list at $219k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.24%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,320
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Meadow Cir | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-4%) | 11mo | $241,000 | $149 | 75 |
| 181 Nightingale Cir | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-4%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $117 | 75 |
| 100 Whipporwill Ct | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,606 (-4%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $93 | 74 |
| 165 Nightingale Cir | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (+2%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $169 | 72 |
| 166 Nightingale Cir | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-7%) | 12mo | $187,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 119 Mockingbird Ln | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,930 (+15%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $98 | 59 |
| 3445 71st Ave E | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,485 (-12%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 3607 70th Ave E | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $192 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-21,599
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-703
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34222
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,284 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,676/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$208
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3119 61st Dr E Ellenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $2,550 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2710 59th Dr E Ellenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $2,829 | $2.46 | 3d | 37 | 0.60mi |
| 482 Outer Dr Unit NA Ellenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5942 Factory Shops Blvd Ellenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $3,300 | $3.46 | 2d | 67 | 0.69mi |
| 3931 Day Bridge Pl Ellenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3808 Sunset Dr Ellenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,699 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7711 Desoto Dr Ellenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,599 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8314 Nancy Ln Ellenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,895 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3908 Lemonwood Dr N Ellenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4180 Yardly Dr Palmetto, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $3,139 | $3.07 | 3d | 15 | 1.39mi |
| 1143 Riverscape St Unit A Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $6,500 | $3.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $208 · $2,496/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-11price $219,000
-
2026-02-28$234,900 Active
-
2020-11-18soldstatus $138,000
-
2020-11-16soldstatus $139,000 Sold 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Huge 3 bed room / 2 bath home with a 2 car garage. One of the largest home in Ridgewood Meadows located on a circle drive and lots of yard. Home has a very large Florida room with a family room and living room. Dining room, fireplace and split floor plan with a very large master and master bath. Located in the gated 55+ community of Ridgewood Meadows that offers a beautiful clubhouse, community activities, pickleball, tennis, fishing and a great pool. Close to the Ellenton Outlet Mall, restaurants, shopping and easy access to I-75.
-
2020-10-14status Pending 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Huge 3 bed room / 2 bath home with a 2 car garage. One of the largest home in Ridgewood Meadows located on a circle drive and lots of yard. Home has a very large Florida room with a family room and living room. Dining room, fireplace and split floor plan with a very large master and master bath. Located in the gated 55+ community of Ridgewood Meadows that offers a beautiful clubhouse, community activities, pickleball, tennis, fishing and a great pool. Close to the Ellenton Outlet Mall, restaurants, shopping and easy access to I-75.
-
2020-10-08$169,900 Active 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Huge 3 bed room / 2 bath home with a 2 car garage. One of the largest home in Ridgewood Meadows located on a circle drive and lots of yard. Home has a very large Florida room with a family room and living room. Dining room, fireplace and split floor plan with a very large master and master bath. Located in the gated 55+ community of Ridgewood Meadows that offers a beautiful clubhouse, community activities, pickleball, tennis, fishing and a great pool. Close to the Ellenton Outlet Mall, restaurants, shopping and easy access to I-75.
-
1989-03-16soldstatus $86,700
-
1985-07-01soldstatus $1,000,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,676 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,818 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 8.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$1,676
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,192
- − Management
- −$2,192
- − HOA
- −$2,496
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$885
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$212
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,819
- Household income
- $64,355
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.75%
- Current HPI
- 293.2597
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-78.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listed $234,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-16 Sold (MLS) $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-08 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $86,700 Public Records
- 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,000,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,676 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…