51 Calhoun Way NE · Ludowici, GA 31316

$297,700

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,240 sqft · SingleFamily · 10 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition 7,405 sqft lot $30/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.6/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• DSCR +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 51 Calhoun Way NE in Paxton Hill of Ludowici. Minutes to Hinesville & Ft. Stewart! Modern design meets everyday comfort in this Addison 2 plan with an open-concept main floor. A perfect layout for gatherings, with plank flooring throughout the living spaces. Step inside to a flex space just off the foyer, flowing seamlessly into the family room with cozy fireplace. From here, step onto your back patio! The kitchen is a true highlight—featuring granite counters, a spacious island, corner pantry, & a large dining area with bay window overlooking the backyard. Upstairs, you'll find three secondary bedrooms, a hall bath with quartz vanity, convenient laundry room, an

Key facts

• Spacious island
• Flex space
• Cozy fireplace

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN FLOOR
• FLEX SPACE
• COZY FIREPLACE
• BACK PATIO
• GRANITE COUNTERS
• SPACIOUS ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Directions: From McClelland Rd NE in Ludowici, enter Paxton Hill phase 3A via Calhoun Way and follow to lot 381.
• HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $30 monthly fee

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
• Home design: Single-family residence; New construction / Under construction; Two stories; No common walls
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Paxton Hill subdivision
• Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Level lot; Paved road access; Windows with energy-efficient features

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Accessible full bath
• Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump
• Interior features: Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings; Double pane windows; Gas fireplace in the family room
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Laundry in hall

🏗️ New construction. The $297,700 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $311,360.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $298k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (7.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (17.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $246k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
• Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
• Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $245,967 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.37%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.28%
• DSCR: 0.85
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $311,360
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15 Loganberry Ln NE	0.69mi	4/2.5	2,236 (-0%)	4mo	$298,800	$134	64
522 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,254 (+1%)	3mo	$315,350	$140	62
590 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,151 (-4%)	2mo	$298,475	$139	57
609 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.72mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,256 (+1%)	2mo	$310,875	$138	56
506 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,256 (+1%)	3mo	$309,250	$137	55
564 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,256 (+1%)	3mo	$308,750	$137	55
83 Avondale Dr NE	0.69mi	4/2.5	2,415 (+8%)	1mo	$314,000	$130	54
18 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.71mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,256 (+1%)	8mo	$322,315	$143	52
535 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,065 (-8%)	4mo	$288,625	$140	50
542 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	4/4.0	2,395 (+7%)	3mo	$312,925	$131	45
509 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,002 (-11%)	4mo	$299,775	$150	45
665 Doctor's Creek Rd NE	0.72mi	4/2.0	1,926 (-14%)	1mo	$320,910	$167	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.92×
• Total profit: $-6,896
• Equity at exit: $108,869

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $36,124
• Equity at exit: $146,691

Cash invested: $87,181 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31316

• Home prices YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 412
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,460 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,633
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$389 /mo · $4,670/yr
• Insurance: −$130
• HOA: −$30
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$517
• Net cashflow: $-239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,762

Max offer price $276,835

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-23	-5% $-131	+0% $-239	+5% $-346	+10% $-454
Rent	-10% $-433	-5% $-336	+0% $-239	+5% $-141	+10% $-44
Rate	-1.0pp $-82	-0.5pp $-159	base $-239	+0.5pp $-319	+1.0pp $-401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,840
• Closing costs: $9,341
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15 Clark St Ludowici, GA	3.0	2.0	1497	$1,995	$1.33	45d	1	0.70mi
59 Forest St NE Ludowici, GA	4.0	2.0	1800	$1,900	$1.06	45d	1	1.12mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $30 · $360/yr

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $297,700 Active 10 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $297,700 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $297,700 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $297,700 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $297,700 Active 5 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $297,700 Active 4 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $297,700 Active 2 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   remarks 685-char remark
9. 2026-06-13
   listed $297,700 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,516
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,441
• − Property taxes: −$4,670
• − Insurance: −$1,557
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,361
• − Management: −$2,361
• − HOA: −$360
• − Depreciation: −$9,058
• Taxable loss: −$8,292
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,990
• After-tax cash flow: $-873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a modern design and open-concept layout. It's ready for move-in and would benefit from minor exterior updates and smart home features to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and freshens the home's appearance.
• Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and prevents water damage to the siding.
• Both Install smart home features — Improves convenience and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal, making the home more attractive at night.
• Both Install a smart thermostat — Saves energy and attracts eco-conscious buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and freshens the home's appearance. ↑
• Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and prevents water damage to the siding. ↑
• Both Install smart home features — Improves convenience and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal, making the home more attractive at night. ↑
• Both Install a smart thermostat — Saves energy and attracts eco-conscious buyers and renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Long County
• NCES district ID: 1303360
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $45,958
• Composite: 22.51/100
• National rank: #8090
• State rank: #115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #74
• US rank: #6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ludowici, GA
• County: Long County · 13,812 people
• City population: 13,812
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• Population (ZIP): 13,812
• Household income: $74,766
• Rent vs Own: 29.6% rent · 70.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,669 people
• By 2030: 28,223 · +14.4%
• By 2040: 35,430 · +43.6%
• By 2050: 42,403 · +71.9%
• By 2075: 56,996 · +131.0%
• By 2100: 64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.16%
• Current HPI: 195.2978
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Hinesville, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Listed $297,700 Hive MLS