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3426 Round Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

3426 Round Rd · Baltimore, MD 21225
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,485 sqft · Townhouse public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1995 1,525 sqft lot Est $198k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all savvy investors! Don't miss this rare chance to snag a solid home in Baltimore at an incredible value. Just minutes from I95, this brick-front townhome is a prime addition to any rental portfolio. Built in 1995, this 1,620 Sq Ft home resides in a well established neighborhood and features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms—a rare find at this price point that guarantees high tenant demand. The heavy lifting is already done. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC, and a recently replaced water heater. While this home requires a clean-out and cosmetic updates, its "good bones" and the partially finished basement with a full bath provides a solid foundation f

Key facts

  • Full bath
  • Newer hvac
  • Brick front townhome

Tags

BRICK FRONT TOWNHOMENEWER HVACRECENTLY REPLACED WATER HEATERPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTFULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $150,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$197,505) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Arundel Elementary (427 students, 81% FRL); Baltimore City College (math 50% / reading 79%, grade B-, #55 of 222 statewide, top 26%, 1,497 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 79% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+53 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $124k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.12%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,505
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3426 Round Rd 0.00mi 3/3.0 1,485 (0%) 0mo $145,000 $98 98
248 W Edgevale Rd 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+8%) 11mo $274,000 $171 44
614 Cheraton Rd 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+3%) 15mo $205,000 $133 43
625 Cheraton Rd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+3%) 18mo $202,000 $132 42
2821 Round Rd 0.31mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,324 (-11%) 24mo $175,000 $132 39
313 Cherry Hill Rd 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-10%) 9mo $135,000 $100 34
227 W Meadow Rd 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,635 (+10%) 13mo $229,000 $140 33
3049 Ascension St 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,262 (-15%) 15mo $180,000 $143 28
202 W Edgevale Rd 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-11%) 24mo $245,000 $186 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$329
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$38,021
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21225

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,830 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,909/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,382
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3010 Alabama Ave Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 17d 1 0.58mi
2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,650 $1.61 14d 1 0.60mi
607 Cheraton Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 14d 1 0.60mi
130 Reedbird Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 1152 $1,700 $1.48 23d 1 0.63mi
217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 992 $1,800 $1.81 23d 1 0.66mi
202 W Edgevale Rd Unit A Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1824 $1,650 $0.90 4d 1 0.69mi
49 Talbott St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 23d 1 0.73mi
303 Arden Rd W Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,500 $1.80 17d 1 0.77mi
732 Old Riverside Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.5 1570 $1,900 $1.21 43d 1 0.79mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 17d 1 1.04mi
3544 4th St Brooklyn, MD 4.0 2.5 1800 $1,940 $1.08 23d 1 1.06mi
3569 4th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.5 1256 $1,200 $0.96 17d 1 1.08mi
4400 4th St Unit BASEMENT Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 925 $1,350 $1.46 43d 1 1.22mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 23d 1 1.22mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 20d 1 1.22mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 4d 1 1.22mi
3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.5 1060 $1,500 $1.42 17d 1 1.24mi
3822 6th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1580 $1,850 $1.17 23d 1 1.25mi
2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 890 $1,569 $1.76 43d 1 1.34mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1104 $1,950 $1.77 23d 1 1.36mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,275 $1.15 43d 1 1.36mi
4201 Audrey Ave Unit 1 Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 23d 1 1.38mi
3840 8th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1088 $1,606 $1.48 4d 1 1.41mi
117 E Cromwell St Unit A Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1603 $3,750 $2.34 43d 1 1.41mi
2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $4,786 $4.84 2d 152 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $150,000 Active
  3. 2026-03-12
    historical
  4. 2026-02-25
    listed $169,000 Active
  5. 2019-10-01
    soldstatus $123,560
  6. 2019-08-26
    soldstatus $123,560 Closed
  7. 2019-07-17
    status Pending
  8. 2019-02-28
    status Active
  9. 2019-02-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2019-02-16
    listed $119,900 Active
  11. 2016-07-01
    historical Expired
  12. 2016-07-01
    historical
  13. 2016-06-18
    price
  14. 2016-06-14
    price
  15. 2016-06-04
    price
  16. 2016-03-18
    price
  17. 2016-02-25
    price
  18. 2016-01-26
    price
  19. 2016-01-06
    price
  20. 2015-12-14
    price
  21. 2015-10-25
    listed Active
  22. 2015-10-25
    listed $89,900
  23. 1995-04-04
    soldstatus $54,550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,909 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,909 · $242/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,961
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,909
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,757
− Management
−$1,757
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,023
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$485
After-tax cash flow
$3,766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
34,062
Household income
$54,020
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.44%
Current HPI
254.5089
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $123,560 Public Records
  • 2019-08-26 Sold (MLS) $123,560 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-17 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-28 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-21 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-16 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-06-18 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-06-14 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-06-04 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-03-18 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-02-25 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-01-26 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2016-01-06 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2015-12-14 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2015-10-25 Listed MRIS
  • 2015-10-25 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $54,550 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,909 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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