826 Dill St · Newport, AR
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cottage style home has some updates on the main floor and more square footage to add in the walk-out basement.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 5.0% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#167 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Newport School District (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #194 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.84%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,868
- List price
- $34,900
- Delta
- -60.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 Mclain St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $65 | 63 |
| 1105 Josephine St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-6%) | 8mo | $99,900 | $97 | 63 |
| 719 Mclain Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-6%) | 21mo | $118,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 1103 Josephine St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,199 (+10%) | 11mo | $89,900 | $75 | 58 |
| 1516 Hines St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-10%) | 0mo | $122,500 | $124 | 56 |
| 1304 Congress St | 0.35mi | 3/— | 1,182 (+9%) | 24mo | $53,000 | $45 | 50 |
| 410 Prospect St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,220 (+12%) | 11mo | $98,000 | $80 | 50 |
| 1616 Dill Street St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,147 (+5%) | 17mo | $63,000 | $55 | 45 |
| 1818 Eubanks St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (+7%) | 21mo | $22,000 | $19 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $46,427
- Equity at exit
- $31,441
- IRR
- 59.6%
- Equity multiple
- 12.79×
- Total profit
- $115,193
- Equity at exit
- $67,803
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72112
- Home prices YoY
- 15.6%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 McLain St Apt B Newport, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $34,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $34,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $34,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $34,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $34,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $34,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $34,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $34,900 Price Change 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,900 Price Change 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,900 Price Change 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Price Change 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricestatusdays on market $34,900 Price Change 66 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $52,900 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
This cottage style home has some updates on the main floor and more square footage to add in the walk-out basement.
-
2026-03-23$59,900 New Listing 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
This cottage style home has some updates on the main floor and more square footage to add in the walk-out basement.
-
2022-12-27soldstatus $77,000
-
2022-12-22soldstatus $76,600 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
none
-
2022-12-21soldstatus $76,500
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2022-11-01$76,600 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
none
-
2022-10-15$76,000
-
2019-12-06soldstatus $49,755
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $4,900
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,176
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500023
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,425
- Composite
- 19.67/100
- National rank
- #8734
- State rank
- #194 of 238 in AR
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #14064
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,092
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,368 people
- By 2030
- 15,875 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 14,998 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 14,363 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 13,207 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 11,276 · -31.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.3pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+33.0 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.46%
- Current HPI
- 203.03
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+6.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $52,900 CARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $59,900 CARMLS
- 2022-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-22 Sold (MLS) $76,600 CARMLS
- 2022-12-21 Sold (MLS) $76,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2022-11-01 Listed $76,600 CARMLS
- 2022-10-15 Listed $76,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2019-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,755 Public Records
Property tax history
-23.7%/yrLatest (2025): $16 · -68.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…