Fourplex
1737 13th Ave · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$397,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Now vacant! Large and Lovely, this vacant Victorian fourplex has all the trimmings to complete a fabulous restoration. Sitting pretty above the street on a large lot, there are four large units. This intricate Victorian includes front and back porches, a large front, side and a shaded back yard with mature trees. Property may have an attic as well - REO bank owned, go and explore the possibilities! Sold at auction via Hubzu.
Key facts
- Attic
- Victorian fourplex
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $398k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $817/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $398k).
- Recommended offer: $362k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,613/mo this rent would consume 126% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($362k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; list at $398k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1878 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1878 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.23%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $924,391
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1715 9th Ave | 0.27mi | 4/4.0 | 2,603 (-5%) | 22mo | $980,000 | $376 | 60 |
| 1914 22nd Ave | 0.61mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 2,738 (-0%) | 8mo | $735,000 | $268 | 60 |
| 2600-2602 8th Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 2,724 (-1%) | 11mo | $905,000 | $332 | 52 |
| 1430 7th Ave | 0.43mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,914 (+6%) | 15mo | $1,100,000 | $377 | 52 |
| 1812 15th Ave | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,336 (-15%) | 22mo | $799,000 | $342 | 48 |
| 269 Athol Ave | 0.69mi | 4/4.0 | 2,840 (+4%) | 22mo | $900,000 | $317 | 43 |
| 219 Foothill Blvd | 0.72mi | 4/4.0 | 3,114 (+14%) | 12mo | $1,050,000 | $337 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $135,160
- Equity at exit
- $59,269
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $351,486
- Equity at exit
- $34,369
Cash invested: $111,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94606
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 17.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,613 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,085
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$497 /mo · $5,962/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,599
- Net cashflow
- $3,267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,542 | -5% $3,405 | +0% $3,267 | +5% $3,130 | +10% $2,993 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,666 | -5% $2,967 | +0% $3,267 | +5% $3,568 | +10% $3,869 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,467 | -0.5pp $3,368 | base $3,267 | +0.5pp $3,164 | +1.0pp $3,059 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | — | $7,612 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $1,903 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $1,903 |
| #3 | 1 | — | $1,903 |
| #4 | 1 | — | $1,903 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,613 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,375
- Closing costs
- $11,925
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2422 E 24th St Unit 1 Oakland, CA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2364 | $3,500 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 621 Calmar Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2024 | $5,529 | $2.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2025-10-16status Pending
-
2025-07-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-30$397,500 Active
-
2025-04-08historical
-
2025-02-12Active
-
2025-02-12historical
-
2024-12-30$754,500 Active
-
2024-07-17historical
-
2024-04-18$754,500 Active
-
2024-04-01historical
-
2023-04-02price $754,500
-
2023-03-03price $794,200
-
2023-02-02price $835,900
-
2023-01-04$879,800 Active
-
2002-10-31soldstatus $195,454
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $91,356
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,266
- − Property taxes
- −$5,962
- − Insurance
- −$1,988
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,308
- − Management
- −$7,308
- − Depreciation
- −$11,564
- Taxable income
- $34,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,390
- After-tax cash flow
- $30,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,966
- Household income
- $72,470
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3757.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 32% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 20% Black 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 19% Chinese 14% Vietnamese 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -798.52%
- Current HPI
- 334.5111
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+103.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-16 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-07-14 Contingent — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-06-30 Listed $397,500 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-04-08 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-02-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-02-12 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-12-30 Listed $754,500 CRMLS
- 2024-07-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-04-18 Listed $754,500 CRMLS
- 2024-04-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-04-02 Price Changed $754,500 CRMLS
- 2023-03-03 Price Changed $794,200 CRMLS
- 2023-02-02 Price Changed $835,900 CRMLS
- 2023-01-04 Listed $879,800 CRMLS
- 2002-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $195,454 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $55,728 · +230.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…