🏷️ Likely Rental
3766 Altamahaw Church St · Altamahaw, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors! Located in the desirable rural area of Altamahaw/ Elon. Situated on a 0.27 acre lot, this property offers immediate value-add potential in a growing rental market. Built in 1950, this property retains classic charm with plenty of room for modernization to increase equity and monthly rent. Low property taxes! Home being sold AS IS. The . 17 acre (3625 Sutton St) lot right beside it is also for sale! Great opportunity to get both and add acreage! Whether you're expanding your portfolio or seeking a first rental property, this is a great entry investment with upside through renovation or rent optimization!
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 49 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,481; Lot about 0.27 acres
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (and other sewer types); Electricity available; Cable available; Phone service available; Sewer available; Water available; Public maintained road access
- Home design: House; Two levels
- Construction: Built with other construction materials
- Exterior features: Grassed vegetation; Fenced yard; Shingle roof; Other foundation (see remarks)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (see remarks); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other flooring (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $825 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#711 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Western Alamance Middle (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #209 of 475 statewide, top 45%, 822 students, 49% FRL); Western Alamance High (math 44% / reading 51%, grade D, #331 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,036 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $86k implies a 562% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.11%
- DSCR
- 2.83
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,175
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3441 Dodd Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+0%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $175 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $38,595
- Equity at exit
- $12,823
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $101,218
- Equity at exit
- $7,436
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27244
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,720 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $825
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $874 | -5% $849 | +0% $825 | +5% $801 | +10% $776 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $689 | -5% $757 | +0% $825 | +5% $893 | +10% $961 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $868 | -0.5pp $847 | base $825 | +0.5pp $803 | +1.0pp $780 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $86,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $86,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $86,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $86,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $86,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $86,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $86,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $86,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $86,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $86,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $86,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $86,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $86,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $86,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$86,000 Active
-
1986-08-19soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $705 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$143/yr (+$12/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,651
- − Management
- −$1,651
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable income
- $9,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,166
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Altamahaw
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #25797
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altamahaw, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 125
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,329
- Household income
- $75,323
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 270.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.54%
- Current HPI
- 219.7859
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+561.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $86,000 TMLS
- 1986-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…